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SNF Predictions Week 18 | Lions vs Packers

Posted: Jan 6, 2023Last updated: Jan 9, 2023

Thank you for reading our Sunday Night Football predictions all season long.

While the 2022 SNF slate is now complete, you can still keep up with the latest NFL odds and NFL betting tips throughout the NFL playoffs.


The final NFC playoff berth will be on the line when the Detroit Lions square off against the Green Bay Packers in the final regular season game on Sunday Night Football.

The Packers (8-8) are having the ultimate roller-coaster season. Green Bay started 3-1, then lost seven of eight, before ripping off four straight wins. Green Bay will lock down the final NFC wild card berth with a victory Sunday night.

The Lions (8-8), who also were left for dead after starting the season 1-6, can both play spoiler and potentially sneak in as the NFC’s No. 7 seed with some help. Detroit is 7-2 in its past nine and will qualify for the playoffs for the first time since 2016 with a victory and a Seattle Seahawks loss to the Los Angeles Rams.

Here’s a look at our favorite Lions vs Packers betting tips for Sunday Night Football.

Pat Pickens’ NFL Betting Record: 52-67 (-2.5 Units)

Lions vs Packers Odds

The Packers were a 4.5-point favorite as of Tuesday morning by virtue of their home-field advantage and the fact they are one of the hottest teams in the NFC.

Green Bay’s moneyline odds were -220, meaning a $220 bet would be required to fetch $100 in profit or a user would net $0.45 profit per dollar wagered. Lions moneyline odds were +180 as of Tuesday morning, meaning a $100 wager on them to win would net $180 in profit.

Lions vs Packers Implied Score

Packers 27, Lions 22.5

The Lions are one of the highest-scoring teams in football, averaging about 27 points per game. Green Bay is averaging 30 points per game over its past seven.

Take a look at the best Lions odds and Packers odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Sunday Night Football Pick of the Day

Read more on this Lions vs Packers bet below.

Sunday Night Football Matchup

Each team’s season pivoted in Week 9 when the Lions stunned the Packers 15-9 at Ford Field. For Detroit, it marked the start of its recent hot streak where it has averaged 29 points per game over the past nine and launched itself back into playoff contention.

That six-point loss in Detroit, in which Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers threw three interceptions and two in the end zone, also was effectively rock bottom for the Packers. Green bay rallied to stun Dallas in OT the following week, one of its five wins over the past seven weeks.

The Packers are coming off a 41-17 rout of the Vikings at home Sunday, where their defense again put on a show. Green Bay’s defense, which has forced 12 turnovers over its four-game win streak, forced four more turnovers, including Darnell Savage Jr.‘s 75-yard interception return, plus scored on Keisean Nixon‘s 105-yard kickoff return for a TD.

That Jared Goff and the Lions are still in the hunt is astounding, particularly since the No. 1 pick of the 2016 draft is having a resurgent season in his second full campaign as Lions QB. Goff has thrown for 4,214 yards —just 474 off his single-season career high — plus 29 TDs and just seven interceptions.

But can Detroit sweep Green Bay and keep it out of the postseason, particularly if there’s nothing to play for? The Lions will know their fate by the time the game at Lambeau kicks off and could be simply playing for pride and a winning season if Seattle takes care of business at home against the injury-decimated Rams.

Sunday Night Football Prediction

Packers 35, Lions 28

Both teams are rolling, and it’s tempting to bet Detroit since the team has done a marvelous job playing hard for coach Dan Campbell. But it’s impossible to bet against Rodgers and Green Bay at home in a must-win game, especially against Detroit.

Rodgers is 18-7 in his career against Detroit, with just two losses in 12 career starts against the Lions at Lambeau — including his team’s 31-0 loss to Detroit in the 2018 season finale where Rodgers threw just five passes before giving way to backup DeShone Kizer.

Detroit can win, but I’ll believe it when I see it.

Sunday Night Football Bet Tips

Here are a few betting trends to consider before making your Lions vs Packers bets:

  • The Packers are 4-3 against the spread in games played at Lambeau this season.
  • There have been 50-plus points scored in 12 of Detroit’s 16 games this season.
  • Green Bay has won three straight at home against Detroit with an average margin of victory of 13.3 points.

Sunday Night Football Best Bets

Green Bay -4.5 at (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

There’s a chance that Green Bay rolls Detroit in a similar fashion to its Week 17 victory over Minnesota. I do think the Packers will win by about a touchdown. Whichever scenario plays out, Green Bay covers the five-plus points.

Want to bet on the Packers? Check out the best U.S. sportsbooks.

Over 49.5 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Lions are gritty and fun, particularly on offense where Goff has chucked the ball around to receivers like Amon-Ra St. Brown and D.J. Chark. Rodgers is finally finding some rapport with the likes of Christian Watson and Allen Lazard.

Not only are both teams red-hot, but their offenses are red-hot. Plus, Green Bay’s defense has even scored points.

This should be a shootout.

Want to bet on the Lions? Check out the best MI sportsbooks.

Sunday Night Football Prop Bet

Packers Over 27.5 Points (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Green Bay offense has only surpassed 27 points at home twice this season, including this past weekend against Minnesota. But the Lions’ defense has been suspect all season — it ranks fourth-worst in points allowed per game (25.7).

If Green Bay takes a big lead early, it may go into clock control mode, running the ball with Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon against the Lions’ 22nd-ranked rushing defense.

Plus, Rodgers is famous for his long memory, and you can bet those two end-zone INTs he threw in Green Bay’s loss at Detroit are gnawing hard at him.

Sunday Night Football Same-Game Parlay

Best SNF Same-Game Parlay (+174) at Caesars Sportsbook

  • Green Bay -2.5
  • Over 47.5 Points

As always, I’m recommending strategic teasing for this game. The Lions could play hard and lose by a field goal, but by teasing the spread down to 2.5, a Mason Crosby game-winning kick would make us a winner.

Green Bay will have to score 27 or 28 to win, and in this wager, a 27-21 Green Bay win would hit, as would a 26-23 Packers victory.

Author

Pat Pickens

Pat Pickens is a seasoned sportswriter who has covered the NHL since 2013 for various websites, including The New York Times, NHL.com, Sportsnet.ca, USA Today, the Associated Press and many others. His debut book, titled "The Whalers" about the history of the NHL's Hartford Whalers, was released in October 2021. His greatest successful wager was an LA Kings puck-line bet (+200) in Game 1 of the 2012 Western Conference Final.

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