Think you’ve got what it takes to outsmart your co-workers with your NFL ATS picks this season? Us too.
This season, The Game Day’s staff will be picking every NFL game against the spread in a season-long competition that will run through Super Bowl 59 in New Orleans. We’ll also break down our best ATS bet for each week, and see who can compile the best record over the course of the year.
Whether you’re playing in your office pick’em pool or a high-profile ATS picks contest, we’ll give you all the insight you need to stay ahead of the game all season long.
NFL odds used for these Week 16 ATS picks are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and current as of Wednesday, Dec. 18.
NFL Week 16 ATS Picks
TGD NFL Staff Writers: Frank Ammirante, John Arlia, Garrett Chorpenning, David Kaestle, Rich Migliorisi
| Week 16 | Ammirante | Arlia | Chorpenning | Kaestle | Migliorisi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN @ LAC (-2.5) | DEN | LAC | LAC | DEN | LAC |
| HOU @ KC (+2.5) | HOU | HOU | KC | KC | KC |
| PIT @ BAL (-6) | PIT | PIT | PIT | PIT | BAL |
| NYG @ ATL (-10) | NYG | NYG | ATL | ATL | NYG |
| DET @ CHI (+6.5) | CHI | DET | DET | DET | DET |
| CLE @ CIN (-7.5) | CIN | CLE | CIN | CIN | CIN |
| TEN @ IND (-4) | IND | IND | IND | TEN | IND |
| LAR @ NYJ (+3.5) | LAR | LAR | LAR | LAR | LAR |
| PHI @ WAS (+3.5) | WAS | WAS | PHI | WAS | PHI |
| ARI @ CAR (+4) | CAR | CAR | CAR | ARI | ARI |
| MIN @ SEA (+3) | SEA | SEA | MIN | SEA | MIN |
| NE @ BUF (-14) | NE | BUF | NE | NE | BUF |
| JAC @ LV (+1.5) | JAC | LV | LV | JAC | JAC |
| SF @ MIA (-1) | SF | SF | MIA | MIA | MIA |
| TB @ DAL (+4) | TB | DAL | TB | TB | TB |
| NO @ GB (-13.5) | GB | GB | GB | GB | GB |
| Best Bet | CIN -7.5 | LAR -3.5 | DET -6.5 | TB -4 | DET -6.5 |
2024 Season ATS Picks Record (Best Bet Record)
- Ammirante 106-111-7 (6-9)
- Arlia 96-121-7 (4-9-2)
- Chorpenning 125-92-7 (10-4-1)
- Kaestle 115-102-7 (11-4)
- Migliorisi 123-94-7 (10-5)
Sportsbook Play of the Day
NFL Week 16 ATS Best Bets
Bengals -7.5 (-110) vs Browns
The Bengals should be able to keep their slim playoff hopes alive by extending their winning streak to three games with a victory over the Browns.
Not only are the Bengals better than their 6-8 record, but they’re also getting an early Christmas gift with the Browns benching Jameis Winston for Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
While Jameis is turnover-prone, at least he could make big plays. With DTR under center, the Browns will struggle to generate any offense. – FRANK AMMIRANTE
Rams -3.5 (-108) @ Jets
Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams delivered a throwback performance against the lowly Jaguars last week, but I’m not buying into the hype around the Jets after everything I’ve seen this season.
Meanwhile, the Rams appear to be legitimate postseason contenders after beating the 49ers in San Francisco on Thursday Night Football. Sean McVay’s squad has had extra time to prepare for this cross-country trip and should keep rolling against a New York defense that has surrendered at least 25 points in each of its last five games.
Look for Matthew Stafford and the LA offense to get back on track as they push for the NFC West title. – JOHN ARLIA
Lions -6.5 (-110) @ Bears
The Lions lost their second game of the season in Week 15 and lost a few key pieces in the process. That won’t keep me from backing them to cover as 6.5-point favorites in Chicago this Sunday.
The last time Detroit lost a game, it rallied by rattling off 11 wins in a row. Dan Campbell knows exactly how to motivate this team to respond to adversity — and what better way to take out that frustration than beating up on a division opponent?
The Bears have lost eight games in a row and are coming off a short week after losing to the Vikings on Monday Night Football. The Lions are also 5-1 against the spread in road games this year, giving them a great chance to cover. – GARRETT CHORPENNING
The Lions will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing loss last week. Though they suffered a couple of significant injuries, this team will rally and handle a Bears team that is struggling with a rookie quarterback who is also banged up in Caleb Williams. – RICH MIGLIORISI
Buccaneers -4 (-110) @ Cowboys
After a four-game losing streak, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have now won four in a row. Granted, the first three were against the worst teams in the NFL (Raiders, Giants, and Panthers), but they proved it to be no fluke by blowing out the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 15. Baker and the Bucs’ offense hung a 40-spot on Jim Harbaugh’s top-ranked defense, which surrenders less than 18 points per game.
- Get ready for this primetime matchup with our Monday Night Football predictions.
Now Tampa heads to Dallas, playing its best football of the season. The Bucs are set to face the 30th-ranked defense on a field the Cowboys have a 1-6 record on this season, both straight up and against the spread. Roll with Baker and the Bucs. – DAVID KAESTLE
NFL Odds Against the Spread
Before making your football bets today, use our odds comparison tool to ensure you get the best ATS odds and betting lines:
