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TGD Staff NFL Picks ATS | Week 18

Last Updated: Jan 3, 2025

Think you’ve got what it takes to outsmart your co-workers with your NFL ATS picks this season? Us too.

This season, The Game Day’s staff will be picking every NFL game against the spread in a season-long competition that will run through Super Bowl 59 in New Orleans. We’ll also break down our best ATS bet for each week, and see who can compile the best record over the course of the year.

Whether you’re playing in your office pick’em pool or a high-profile ATS picks contest, we’ll give you all the insight you need to stay ahead of the game all season long.

NFL odds used for these Week 18 ATS picks are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and current as of Thursday, Jan. 2.

NFL Week 18 ATS Picks

TGD NFL Staff Writers: Frank Ammirante, John Arlia, Garrett Chorpenning, David Kaestle, Rich Migliorisi

Edit
Week 18AmmiranteArliaChorpenningKaestleMigliorisi
CLE @ BAL (-18)BALCLECLECLECLE
CIN @ PIT (+2)CINPITPITCINCIN
BUF @ NE (+2)BUFNENENEBUF
NO @ TB (-13.5)TBTBTBTBTB
CHI @ GB (-10)GBCHIGBGBGB
NYG @ PHI (-3)PHIPHINYGPHIPHI
CAR @ ATL (-8)ATLATLATLATLATL
WAS @ DAL (+4.5)WASWASWASWASWAS
HOU @ TEN (-1.5)HOUHOUHOUHOUHOU
JAC @ IND (-5)INDJACJACJACJAC
KC @ DEN (-10.5)DENKCDENKCKC
MIA @ NYJ (+1)MIANYJMIANYJNYJ
LAC @ LV (+4.5)LVLVLACLACLAC
SEA @ LAR (+6.5)LARSEASEASEASEA
SF @ ARI (-4)ARISFARISFSF
MIN @ DET (-2.5)MINMINDETDETMIN
Best BetMIN +2.5NYJ +1TB -13.5CIN -2CIN -2

2024 Season ATS Picks Record (Best Bet Record)

  • Ammirante 119-129-8 (8-9)
  • Arlia 115-133-8 (6-9-2)
  • Chorpenning 147-101-8 (12-4-1)
  • Kaestle 134-114-8 (12-5)
  • Migliorisi 143-105-8 (12-5)

Sportsbook Play of the Day

NFL Week 18 ATS Best Bets

Vikings +2.5 (-110) @ Lions

Lions’ head coach Dan Campbell recklessly played his starters for the entire game in Week 17 on Monday Night Football.

Now, Detroit will travel from coast to coast, going from San Francisco back home on a short week to play a Vikings team on a nine-game winning streak.

The Lions could have used a week of rest, especially given their injuries and the fact that they had an early bye back in Week 5.

Add in the fact that this defense has been torched by the Bills, Rams, and 49ers in recent weeks, and you can see why the Vikings look like live dogs in this spot. – FRANK AMMIRANTE

Jets +1 (-112) vs Dolphins

There’s nothing the Jets do better as a franchise than win meaningless football games that negatively affect their draft position. And since it doesn’t sound like Aaron Rodgers will be returning next season, he has no reason to hold back in what could be his final NFL game.

The Dolphins need a win and a Broncos loss to reach the postseason, but Denver is a 10.5-point favorite against a Kansas City squad playing its backups. Miami is likely to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley since Tua Tagovailoa is still dealing with a hip injury, and it needed overtime with Tagovailoa to beat the Jets at home in early December.

I’m backing New York to pull off this minor upset, with Rodgers hitting Davante Adams for his 500th career TD pass in the process. – JOHN ARLIA

Buccaneers -13.5 (-110) vs Saints

This is a massive spread, but it doesn’t feel crazy to suggest that Tampa Bay could win this one by 20-plus. New Orleans has nothing to play for and has already lost to the Buccaneers by 24 once this season, while Baker Mayfield’s squad has a lot on the line.

With a win, Tampa Bay will clinch a playoff spot and wrap up the NFC South. Should the Bucs lose, they could still find themselves on the outside looking in when it’s all said and done.

Nothing about this New Orleans team suggests it’ll play spoiler. Back the Buccaneers to win big. – GARRETT CHORPENNING

Bengals -2 (-108) @ Steelers

This is Joe Burrow’s final chance to make his case for MVP and get the Bengals into the playoffs following their atrocious start to the season.

While Cincinnati’s fate is not entirely in its own hands, the Bengals and Burrow can grab a statement win here on the road against a division rival in primetime.

To put the nail in the coffin on this pick, Cincinnati is 5-0 against the spread as a road favorite this season. – DAVID KAESTLE

The Bengals are fighting for their playoff lives, and to keep that hope alive, they need to pull out a win against the Steelers, who may be inclined to rest their starters if the division becomes out of reach with a Ravens win.

Cincinnati needs a lot to happen to make the playoffs, but it first must take care of business against Pittsburgh on Saturday. – RICH MIGLIORISI

NFL Odds Against the Spread

Before making your football bets today, use our odds comparison tool to ensure you get the best ATS odds and betting lines:

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TGD Staff

The Game Day's betting and fantasy sports analysts bring you 20+ years of experience.

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