It was a much better result in Week 2 for my bets, as I finished with a modest profit of 0.9 units. I won my top parlay while going two of three on my longshot, so it could have been an even better week.
In this article, you’ll read about my best football parlay bet along with a longshot and Same Game Parlay for Week 3.
Let’s make it two winning weeks in a row with my parlays for Week 3.
Best NFL Week 3 Parlay
Frank Ammirante 2023 Betting Record: 15-26 (-4.31 units)
All NFL gameday odds are current as of Thursday, Sept. 21 at noon from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 3 Top Parlay (+261)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.2 Units
- Chargers/Vikings: Over 54 (-110)
- Patriots/Jets: Under 37 (-112)
The top parlay starts off with the Over 54 in the Chargers vs Vikings game.
This line opened at 51.5 at Pinnacle on Sept. 17 and has already increased by 2.5 points, as the market expects this game to be a shootout.
Chargers’ games have combined for 70 and 51 points so far, while Vikings’ games have been at 17 and 62 points.
Both of these teams have strong aerial attacks, with Los Angeles led by Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, and Mike Williams and Minnesota countering with Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson, and promising rookie Jordan Addison.
Minnesota is a pass-first offense, as Cousins has 44 pass attempts in each of his two games this year. Los Angeles likes to air it out as well with Herbert, who attempted 41 passes vs the Titans last week and 699 in the 2022 season.
Each of these defenses have struggled so far, most notably with the Chargers allowing 466 passing yards to Tua Tagovailoa in Week 1. Expect a lot of points in this one.
I’ll finish it off with the Under 37 in the Patriots vs Jets game.
While this is a low bar, it highlights how much of a defensive showdown this can be, especially with Zach Wilson continuing to struggle.
The Jets’ quarterback completed only 12-of-27 passes for 170 yards with three interceptions against the Cowboys last week.
When Wilson started vs the Patriots last year, he threw for only 77 yards at 3.5 yards per attempt in a 10-3 loss.
Wilson has three career starts against New England (where he played the entire game), where the scores have combined for 13, 39, and 31 points.
While it always feels a bit risky to take an Under on such a low number, this is a case where it’s warranted.
Target these two totals in our NFL bet of the day.
Longshot NFL Week 3 Parlay
Week 3 Longshot Parlay (+1496)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.05 Units
- Texans ML (+320) at Jaguars
- Colts ML (+280) at Ravens
The longshot parlay features two heavy underdogs from the AFC South.
We’ll start off with the Texans, who always seem to play the Jaguars tough. In fact, Houston has won nine of the last 10 meetings.
Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has looked impressive, especially last week against the Colts, where he threw for 384 yards and two touchdowns.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars’ quarterback Trevor Lawrence has struggled so far, particularly vs the Chiefs, where he completed 22-of-41 passes for only 41 yards.
While Houston has a depleted offensive line with several starters out due to injury, this is a divisional game with an impressive rookie quarterback on the underdog side.
I’ll be taking the Texans on the spread as a straight bet, so I wanted to sprinkle on the moneyline as well because they look like live dogs in this one when you consider Stroud and Lawrence’s respective performances.
- See the full list of NFL Week 3 odds.
I’ll finish it off with the Colts on the moneyline to upset the Ravens.
Indianapolis has looked impressive under new head coach Shane Steichen, who has them playing up-tempo, allowing rookie Anthony Richardson to run wild.
While Richardson is still in concussion protocol right now, putting his status in question, backup Gardner Minshew can fill in the void.
The former Eagle completed 19-of-23 passes for 171 yards and a touchdown while replacing Richardson last week.
While the Ravens are 2-0, they’ve taken advantage of a young Texans team with offensive line issues and a Bengals side with a struggling offense led by an injured Joe Burrow.
While the Colts’ pass defense gives Baltimore a chance to have success through the air, I think that this team will sneak up on Baltimore.
It feels like a letdown spot for the Ravens coming off a huge road win against the Bengals. Baltimore travels to Cleveland next week in a pivotal AFC North divisional clash.
In other words, this is sandwiched between two big games against division rivals, making it look like the perfect trap game.
Target these two underdogs in our longshot parlay of the day.
NFL Week 3 Same Game Parlay
Falcons vs Lions Same Game Parlay (+178)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.3 Units
- Falcons/Lions: Under 46.5 (-108)
- Jared Goff: Under 270.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The Same Game Parlay heads to Detroit for the Falcons vs Lions game in Week 3.
I’ll start off with Under 46.5 points because Atlanta deploys a run-heavy offense under head coach Arthur Smith.
Running backs Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier have combined for 60 carries in only two games so far.
The running game can result in longer possessions which chew time off the clock, making it difficult for the game to be high-scoring.
The next reason for the Under leans right into my player prop, where I’m targeting Jared Goff to go below 270.5 passing yards.
Lions’ top wideout Amon-Ra St. Brown is currently dealing with a toe injury, which puts his status in question for this game. Even if he plays, there’s a chance that he’ll be used in a limited capacity.
That will make it difficult for Goff to rack up yardage, especially with an offense that is already missing David Montgomery and Jameson Williams.
Since I’m projecting Goff to have a bit of a down game through the air, that directly correlates to Under 46.5 points.
Pair these two wagers in our Same Game Parlay this week.
