In a tough Week 14, I lost 7.84 units. The good news is that I’m still up for the season, so we’ll turn the page to Week 15.
Read on for my best, longshot, and same-game parlays for Week 15. Check out my X account, @FAmmiranteTFJ, to see my full betting card.
We’ll look to bounce back with my NFL Week 15 parlays.
Best NFL Week 15 Parlay
Frank Ammirante 2023 Betting Record: 226-295 (+3.57 units)
All NFL gameday odds are current as of Friday, Dec. 15, at 11 a.m. ET from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 15 Top Parlay (+270)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
- Vikings/Bengals Under 40.5 (-108)
- Broncos +4.5 (-108) at Lions
The Week 15 top parlay starts off with Under 40.5 points between the Minnesota Vikings and Cincinnati Bengals.
We’ve seen the Vikings play in two consecutive low-scoring games. They just knocked off the Raiders 3-0 after losing to the Bears 12-10 in Week 12.
This defense has been much improved under Brian Flores, and we could see this unit cause problems for Jake Browning. He has performed well as the backup, but this feels like a spot for a letdown.
That’s not to mention that Minnesota’s offense is questionable right now with Nick Mullens taking over as starting quarterback.
In a battle of backup QBs, we’ll roll with a low-scoring game.
I’ll finish off this parlay by taking the Denver Broncos to cover +4.5 on the road against the Detroit Lions.
The Broncos have gone 6-2 in their last eight games, with their two losses coming by 11 and five points.
The Lions have lost two of their last three games. Prior to that, they needed a fourth-quarter comeback to knock off the Bears at home.
In other words, these are two teams trending in opposite directions. I’ll take a shot on Russell Wilson and the Broncos to keep this one close.
Target these two plays for our NFL bet of the day.
Longshot NFL Week 15 Parlay
Week 15 Longshot Parlay (+492)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.1 Units
- Jaguars ML (+145) vs Ravens
- Seahawks ML (+142) vs Eagles
The longshot parlay features two home underdogs in prime-time games.
I’ll start with the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-5), who are looking to snap a two-game losing streak in a tough matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (10-3).
While the Ravens are third in DVOA and the superior team, the Jaguars also rank in the top 10 (10th), per FTN Fantasy.
I’ll count on Trevor Lawrence coming through with a big game to secure a statement win for the Jags.
- See the full list of NFL Week 15 odds.
I’ll finish off this parlay by taking the Seattle Seahawks (6-7) in a must-win situation against the Philadelphia Eagles (10-3).
It looks like Geno Smith will be ready to return, so I’m confident in taking Seattle because this is a much better offense with a fully healthy offensive line.
We saw the Seahawks almost beat a tough Cowboys team on the road two weeks ago, and they can get it done against Philadelphia.
The Eagles have allowed 75 points in their last two games, which indicates that their defense is struggling right now. We’ve also seen Jalen Hurts underperform a bit since his knee injury.
Take these two underdogs to win outright.
NFL Week 15 Same-Game Parlay
Cowboys vs Bills Same-Game Parlay (+492)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
- Under 50 (-110)
- Dak Prescott: Under 279.5 Passing Yards (-115)
- CeeDee Lamb: Under 89.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
You may look at this SGP and think, “Why are you betting against the Cowboys offense right now?"
After all, Dak Prescott is an MVP candidate and CeeDee Lamb is playing like the second-best wideout in football, behind only Tyreek Hill.
The reason for this is because of the weather in Buffalo.
According to Michael Gehlken of the Dallas Morning News, forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate that windy conditions are expected, with gusts up to 31 MPH. There’s also an 80% chance of rain for this game.
This type of weather can have a negative impact on the passing game.
We’re getting a high bar on both Dak (279.5) and Lamb (89.5), making the Under look good when you consider the weather.
If the passing game is affected, that means it could also be a lower-scoring game than expected, which is why I’ll also use Under 50.5.
