I had a profitable result in Week 11, winning just over three units, including two of the parlays recommended in this article.
Read on for my best bet, longshot, and same-game parlay for Week 12. Check out my X account, @FAmmiranteTFJ, to see my full betting card.
We’ll look for an even better result with my NFL Week 12 parlays.
Best NFL Week 12 Parlay
Frank Ammirante 2023 Betting Record: 142-181 (+0.83 units)
All NFL gameday odds are current as of Wednesday, Nov. 22, at 9 a.m. ET from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 12 Top Parlay (+509)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.2 Units
- Chargers ML (+154) vs Ravens
- Bears ML (+140) at Vikings
The top parlay features two moneylines on teams that I have also bet to cover the spread in straight wagers. Creating this parlay allows me to get an additional profit if both sides are able to win outright.
We’ll start off with the Chargers (4-6) to pull off the upset against the Ravens (8-3).
We’ve seen Baltimore play down to their competition at times — just look at their loss to the Colts earlier in the year.
Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert is performing at a high level despite injuries at wide receiver, and his team still has an outside chance at making the playoffs.
This is a must-win situation at home on Sunday Night Football, so expect a close game, especially with the Ravens playing without top target Mark Andrews.
I love the value on the Chargers at (+154) odds.
I’ll finish it off with the Bears (3-8) to beat the Vikings (6-5).
Chicago has played much better with Justin Fields under center, almost knocking off the Lions last week.
It’s clear that Fields has a strong rapport with top wideout D.J. Moore, who can make a major impact downfield and exploit the weakness of this Vikings defense.
Minnesota is a playoff team with Josh Dobbs, who has performed well since being acquired via trade, but let’s remember that he’s faced the Saints, Falcons, and Broncos — not exactly a tough schedule.
Chicago’s defense has been better since trading for Montez Sweat, which also bodes well for this wager.
I’ll take the Bears to pull off the upset on Monday Night Football against their division rivals.
Target these two moneylines in our NFL bet of the day.
Longshot NFL Week 12 Parlay
Week 12 Longshot Parlay (+563)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.2 Units
- Jaguars ML (-122) at Texans
- Saints/Falcons Under 42 (-108)
- Rams ML (-112) at Cardinals
The longshot parlay starts off with the Jaguars (7-3) to avoid the sweep against the division-rival Texans (6-4).
Houston has exceeded expectations due to incredible play from rookies C.J. Stroud and Tank Dell.
The Texans are currently on a three-game winning streak, but they could have easily lost each of those games, which had a combined margin of victory of 10 points.
Those wins featured two fourth-quarter comebacks from Stroud, while last week saw the Cardinals fall short after driving deep into Houston territory at the end of the game.
The Jaguars are the better team and they seemed to figure it out on offense last week, when Trevor Lawrence threw for 262 yards and accounted for four touchdowns.
- See the full list of NFL Week 12 odds.
I’ll add the Under 42 points in the Saints vs Falcons game.
These are two teams that have been underwhelming on offense this season.
While we could see Jameis Winston start for the injured Derek Carr, I’m fine with this Under regardless of who plays quarterback.
The Falcons love to run the ball, which can chew time off the clock and help keep scoring down.
In fact, six of 10 Atlanta games have gone Under this number so far this season.
During the Falcons’ current three-game losing streak, they’ve allowed 25, 31, and 28 points. Expect head coach Arthur Smith to emphasize the run even more because this team can’t afford to get into shootouts with Desmond Ridder at the helm.
I’ll finish it off with the Rams (4-6) to keep their playoff hopes alive with a win over the Cardinals (2-9).
While Arizona has played competitively since Kyler Murray came back, this team still finds a way to lose games — just look at last week vs the Texans, when they failed to capitalize on C.J. Stroud’s turnovers.
The Rams are getting back running back Kyren Williams for this game, which should allow them to have more success on the ground.
This is a bet on coach Sean McVay crafting a strong gameplan to keep his team in playoff contention by beating a division rival that’s just playing out the string.
NFL Week 12 Same-Game Parlay
Panthers vs Titans Same-Game Parlay (+500)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.2 Units
- Panthers -2.5 (+176)
- Over 40.5 (+151)
I’m getting creative with the Week 12 same-game parlay by focusing on alternate lines for both the spread and total in the Panthers vs Titans game.
The Panthers (1-9) have the worst record in the NFL, but they don’t have their first-round pick, so this is a team that badly needs to win games to at least get themselves out of the No. 1 slot.
On the other hand, it would benefit the Titans (3-7) to continue to lose, so that they can get a higher draft pick.
I know that teams obviously want to win games, but it’s still noteworthy to point out the draft implications at stake here.
We’ve seen Will Levis really struggle in his last two starts, failing to throw for 200 yards and taking six sacks. But it’s not like the Titans have a clear advantage here, even though Bryce Young has struggled as well.
I’ll take the alternate Over at a higher number since the listed total is already low at 36.5, so going any lower would be a bit risky.
If Carolina is able to win, it’s likely because Young had success through the air against this vulnerable pass defense, which gives these two plays a strong correlation.
Bet on the underdog Panthers winning this ugly matchup between two bottom feeders.
