We’re headed for the final stretch of the NFL season. It’s Week 12, so contending teams are starting to get more desperate for wins, while the pretenders are just playing out the year.
We had a much needed profitable finish in Week 11, so let’s keep it rolling and stay hot. In this article, you’ll find a Best Bet, Longshot, and Same Game Parlay.
Let’s have a strong showing with our Week 12 NFL parlays below.
Frank’s 2022 Parlay Betting Record: 9-24 (-5.84 Units)
NFL Week 12 odds used in these parlays are current as of Wednesday, Nov. 23, at Caesars Sportsbook.
Best NFL Week 12 Parlay
Week 12 Top Parlay (+264)
WAGER: 3 Units
- Dolphins -13 (-110) vs Texans
- Chiefs -14.5 (-110) vs Rams
The Texans are an absolute mess right now, especially on offense. They’ve scored only 53 points in their last four games, and head coach Lovie Smith has decided to start Kyle Allen over Davis Mills at quarterback.
Houston travels to Miami to take on the Dolphins, who currently rank second in total DVOA, per Football Outsiders. Tua Tagovailoa is playing at an MVP level, and I don’t see how Houston can keep up with Miami’s offense.
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The Rams are another team headed in the wrong direction. Matthew Stafford is currently in concussion protocol and may be forced to miss this game, thrusting Bryce Perkins into the starting role.
Even if Stafford plays, they’ll be going up against the most efficient offense in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are on another level right now. This game has the makings of a blowout, so we’ll lay the points to conclude our best NFL betting pick.
Longshot NFL Week 12 Parlay
Week 12 Longshot Parlay (+454)
WAGER: 1 Unit
- Jaguars Moneyline (+170) vs Ravens
- Titans Moneyline (+105) vs Bengals
The Jaguars are currently 3-7, but they’re better than their record. Each of their losses have been by 10 or fewer points, including three by six or less. They rank 19th in overall DVOA, which is ahead of the 7-3 Giants.
Jacksonville comes off their bye as home underdogs to the 7-3 Ravens, a contending team that often plays in close games. Three of their wins have been by five or fewer. We could see the Jags pull off an upset here, especially with Baltimore’s limitations on offense.
The Titans take on the Bengals in a rematch of the AFC Divisional Game from last year. Tennessee has an elite run defense and Joe Mixon may be out for Cincinnati in this game. Joe Burrow will need to air it out and carry the team in this game. The good news is that Ja’Marr Chase may be back.
While the Titans are much weaker against the pass, they’ve shown some improvement there lately. In the last four weeks, they’re allowing only 6.24 yards per attempt, which is the fourth-best mark in the NFL.
I’ll take them as home underdogs to finish off this longshot parlay.
NFL Week 12 Same Game Parlay
Saints at 49ers Same Game Parlay (+264)
WAGER: 2 Units
- 49ers -9.5 (-110)
- Over 43 Total Points (-110)
The 49ers are firing on all cylinders right now. This is a team that is elite on both sides of the ball, ranking 11th on offense and seventh on defense in DVOA. They’re seemingly getting better each week, as Christian McCaffrey has taken this offense to the next level.
The Saints are coming off a win against the Rams, but this is a team that continues to stubbornly stick with Andy Dalton at quarterback. While he did well against Los Angeles, it’s going to be a different story against the 49ers, who allow only 6.72 yards per attempt, the eighth-best mark in the NFL.
Look for the 49ers to win by double digits here, helping to clear this low bar at 43 points.
