The Detroit Lions and New England Patriots will meet in what’s anticipated to be a high-scoring contest this Sunday, Oct. 9, at 1 p.m. ET.
This is an important game for two teams that have yet to get on the right track. Each side enters the matchup with a 1-3 record, so this is looking like a must-win meeting for both teams.
Let’s take a look at our Detroit vs New England best bets and predictions.
Lions vs Patriots Odds
The Patriots gave the Packers a good scare this past weekend, and that appears to be baked into the spread in this contest. These squads would likely have an even line on a neutral field, so seeing the spread at -3 in favor of the Pats makes sense.
Lions vs Patriots Implied Totals
Patriots 24.75, Lions 21.75
Oddsmakers have the Patriots scoring well above their season average against a weak Lions defense, while Detroit is expected to fall significantly below its scoring average.
Lions vs Patriots Pick of the Day
Read more on this Lions vs Patriots bet below.
Lions vs Patriots Prediction
Lions 31, Patriots 28
Scoring isn’t the problem for the Lions, who are averaging a league-best 35 points per game. Instead, it’s the defense, which is surrendering a league-worst 35.3 points per game. Fortunately for Detroit, this Patriots offense may be the least explosive it’s seen this season.
The passing attack is nothing to write home about, even if Mac Jones were healthy. Rookie QB Bailey Zappe made some impressive throws in his debut, but this is still a Patriots passing game that ranks 22nd in yards and 27th in touchdowns.
The rushing game, however, is enough to put the Lions on notice. Detroit has allowed the most rushing touchdowns in the NFL thus far and is giving up 5.6 yards per carry, which is the worst mark in the league. New England ranks ninth in rushing attempts and fifth in touchdowns.
Neither one of these defenses is equipped to handle what’s coming to them this weekend, so I’m anticipating a high-scoring affair that could truly be anybody’s game. I do think this Lions offense has the juice to get the job done, though, so I’ll lean with them.
Lions vs Patriots Bet Tips
Here are some Lions vs Patriots betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- The Lions are 3-1 against the spread this season, while the Patriots are 1-2-1.
- The Over is 4-0 in Lions games and 2-2 in Patriots games.
- The Patriots are 4-2 against the Lions under Bill Belichick.
Lions vs Patriots Best Bets
Lions +3 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Detroit has been one of the best teams against the spread this season, and I have to think that holds up against a Patriots team with a rookie under center. Expect Jared Goff and Jamaal Williams to lead the charge if D’Andre Swift and Amon-Ra St. Brown are unable to take the field.
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OVER 46.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM
This one is going Over. The Lions are a scoring machine and they can’t keep opposing teams from doing the same to them. New England’s rushing offense should pummel Detroit at the line of scrimmage and help carry the score over the projected 46.5-point total.
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