There are six playoff games this weekend, and half of them have a favorite for 3.5 points or less. Of those competitive games, the one that I am most excited about is the matchup between the Giants and the Vikings.
Both teams played each other already this season, and the Vikings failed to cover a 4.5-point spread, even though they won the game on a 61-yard game-ending field goal. For the much more consequential sequel, I suspect that we will see another close game.
For my New York vs Minnesota best bets, I take all of this into account below.
Giants vs Vikings Odds
On Sunday, the Vikings opened as a -3 (+100) favorite at Caesars Sportsbook. As of Tuesday, Jan. 10, Minnesota is still a 3-point favorite, but at -110 odds.
Additionally, with a total of 48.5 points, oddsmakers are expecting a modest amount of scoring.
Take a look at the best Giants odds and Vikings odds for the 2022 NFL season.
Giants vs Vikings Implied Totals
Vikings 25.75, Giants 22.75
Like the last time these two teams met, bookmakers are expecting the Vikings to win in a close game by a field goal. With both teams expected to score at least three touchdowns, we should see frequent touchdowns between both teams.
Giants vs Vikings Pick of the Day
Read more on this Giants vs Vikings bet below.
Giants vs Vikings Prediction
Giants 27, Vikings 24
These are the types of games I live for as a sports bettor. Finding a team that has been lucky in a small sample and betting on their opponent.
When looking at this game, it is easy for novice bettors to view the Vikings as a lock. Not only is Minnesota at home, but the Vikings had a 13-4 record this season and the Giants were 9-7-1.
Win-loss records are not a good barometer for a team’s strength because it doesn’t account for luck, but only if they win or lose. I prefer to look at the average scoring margin.
Find more Giants vs Vikings betting plays for Super Wild Card Weekend
- Bet our top Giants vs Vikings props.
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Minnesota has an average scoring margin of -0.2 points. This means that they have allowed slightly more points than they have scored this season.
They should have a .500 record, but because of luck, they look gnarly on the surface.
Looking at the Vikings’ schedule, it is easy to spot a pattern of them getting lucky. They beat the Giants on a game-ending 61-yard field goal, beat the Colts in overtime, and narrowly beat the Jets in a game they almost lost in the last minute.
Minnesota is a team that is due for their luck to turn.
The Giants have been consistently decent this season, and they could win this game outright. At times, they have shown up this season against mediocre teams, and I could see them pulling off an upset against the Vikings.
Giants vs Vikings Bet Tips
Here are a few Giants vs Vikings betting trends to consider before making your bets:
- The Vikings are 8-1 straight up at home, but only 4-5 against the spread.
- The Vikings have a 13-4 win-loss record but are only 7-9-1 ATS.
- The Giants are 3-4 straight up on the road, but 6-1 ATS.
- The Giants have a 9-7-1 win-loss record, but a 13-4 ATS record.
Giants vs Vikings Best Bets
Giants +3 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
I am not a fan of betting trends, because often they are random. In the case of the Giants/Vikings matchup, I don’t think the betting trends with either team are random.
The Vikings have a poor ATS record this year because their wins tended to be miraculous. With the law of large numbers, Minnesota should eventually lose, potentially in a blowout, in games where they are supposed to win.
New York has been competitive this year and they have exceeded expectations. After years of weak quarterback play, Daniel Jones has quietly been one of the better signal callers this season.
I like the G-Men, and I would take their spread up to +2.5 (+100).
Want to bet on the Giants? Check out the best NY sportsbooks.
Giants Moneyline (+140) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
I like the Giants spread more than the moneyline, just in case the Vikings have another close win. Even though the spread is the best bet, betting on a Giants win at +140 is a great bet, too.
On the road in a tough environment, New York almost took Minnesota to overtime in their last game against each other. The Giants who are more familiar with the Vikings should benefit in the rematch and they have a plausible chance of winning.
At +125 or better, I recommend a bet on the Giants winning outright.
Want to bet on the Vikings? Check out the best U.S. sportsbooks.
