Patriots vs Giants Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Nov 22, 2023

Week 12 of the NFL season continues on Sunday afternoon with a classic AFC East vs. NFC East matchup when the New England Patriots meet the New York Giants at high noon at MetLife Stadium.

New England is looking to end a three-game losing skid, and hopefully, the bye week has refreshed an underwhelming Patriots offense. Meanwhile, New York is coming off their best overall outing of the season, thrashing the Commanders 31-19 in Washington.

Please join me as I take a closer look at this contest and share my NFL Week 12 best bets for Sunday’s Patriots vs Giants matchup.

Patriots vs Giants Odds

NFL odds used for this New England vs. New York preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Patriots (-166) • Giants (+140)
  • Spread: Patriots -3.5 (-102) • Giants +3.5 (-118)
  • Total Points: Over 33.5 (-110) • Under 33.5 (-110)
  • Implied Score: Patriots 20.25, Giants 13.25

Patriots vs Giants Predictions

Score Pick: Giants 21, Patriots 10

Sunday’s Patriots-Giants matchup pits the AFC East vs the NFC East in what could be a classic matchup between two teams that have seen better days. New York opened on August 18 as a -1.5 favorite at DraftKings, but New York injury woes have driven the number past key number three straight to +3.0 (-110).

There once was a saying that if you give Pats head coach Bill Belichick two weeks to prepare, his team usually wins. We’re going to test that theory Sunday. Tom Brady isn’t walking through the MetLife tunnel; for that matter, Eli Manning isn’t either. Instead, we have two struggling offenses meeting two defenses that will be difficult to score the football on.

I’m taking the Giants to win because quarterback Tommy DeVito is beginning to get comfortable and because of running back Saquon Barkley. NFL analysts like to harp on how Belichick defenses are good at stopping their opponents’ best player–the Pats’ defense is stout, but this game should be close throughout, meaning too much Barkley and not enough New England defense.

Patriots vs Giants Best Bets & Props

Giants (+150)

PointsBet Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

It only makes sense if we believe the Giants will win this game that our NFL bet of the day would be to take the Giants’ moneyline. DeVito is coming off a career-best outing with three TD passes against Washington. New England allows the 19th-most passing yards, and the combination of DeVito’s timely passing and Barkley’s rushing prowess will be too much for New England.

Finally, the Pats’ offense is non-existent with a less-than-confident Mac Jones. Reserve quarterback Bailey Zappe isn’t going to hurt the Giants’ defense, and the Giants will outscore them at home on Sunday.

Over 33.5 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

We’ve talked about some of the offensive woes for both teams. Most would select the Under 33.5, but we’ll go the other way and take a stab at the Over 33.5 (-110). The total opened at 43.5 (-110) at DraftKings and has dipped 10 points. That’s too much of a line move and maybe an overreaction to two bad offenses.

Finally, the weather shouldn’t be a factor, and there isn’t a reason in the world for an NFL total to be this low. Let’s go the other way and take the Over 33.5 (-110).

Giants Over 1.5 TDs (+110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

The way the public has bet this game has almost forced me to chase the plus-money.

The Pats’ reputation of abusing rookie quarterbacks is the likely culprit in New York for the (+) Over 1.5 TDs prop. Still, New York found some offensive momentum last week, and DeVito looked more comfortable.

That should carry over to this week, and the main reason I took the Over 33.5 is I like the Giants to score at least two TDs against a defense, allowing touchdowns on 45.5% of their opponents’ red zone attempts.

Patriots vs Giants Same Game Parlay

Patriots vs Giants SGP (+460)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.10 unit

  • Giants (+140)
  • Over 33.5 (-110)
  • Race to 10 points Giants (+110)

This Same Game Parlay card is mainly based on our best bets. I LOVE the Giants on Sunday, and I also expect the Giants offense to keep their offensive momentum flowing after scoring 31 points at Washington.

New England, coming off a bye, should help breathe some new life into an underwhelming Pats offense. I expect New York to come out firing and reach 10 points before New England does, behind the rushing of Barkley and an improving DeVito.

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