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Raiders vs Dolphins Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Nov 17, 2023

The Las Vegas Raiders head down to South Florida looking for their second straight victory against an AFC East opponent. They are now 2-0 under interim head coach Antonio Pierce after defeating the New York Jets 16-12 on Sunday Night Football.

The Miami Dolphins, on the other hand, return from their bye week having lost two of the three games prior. While their offense has been easily the best in the league through 10 weeks, the team’s inability to beat quality opponents is a cause for concern.

Can the Dolphins stay perfect at home on the season? Let’s take a look at our Week 11 odds and see our Raiders vs Dolphins best bets and predictions.

Raiders vs Dolphins Odds

NFL odds used for this Las Vegas vs Miami preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday, Nov. 14, at 6 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dolphins (-675) • Raiders (+490)
  • Spread: Dolphins -12.5 (-112) • Raiders +12.5 (-108)
  • Total Points: Over 46.5 (-110) • Under 46.5 (-110)
  • Implied Score: Dolphins 29.5, Raiders 17

Raiders vs Dolphins Predictions

Score Pick: Dolphins 34, Raiders 15

The Dolphins should have no trouble steamrolling the Raiders when these teams meet this Sunday afternoon. Despite the midseason resurgence that Las Vegas appears to be in the midst of, Miami simply has too many weapons to account for on the offensive side of the ball.

Las Vegas had the benefit of playing two of the weakest offenses in the league during its two-game win streak. The Dolphins are a totally different beast that Aidan O’Connell and the Raiders’ offense will severely struggle to keep pace with.

The Tua Tagovailoa-led Miami offense is scoring on 44% of its drives this season, whereas the Raiders are at 32%. The Vegas defense hasn’t necessarily been a weak point, but Maxx Crosby and his mates will likely be forced to play on short fields against a unit with the most touchdowns in the league (38).

The Raiders franchise is certainly in a transitional period. While the team managed to win its last two games to get to 5-5, this contest should be a reality check. If Miami is able to contain Josh Jacobs, Mike McDaniel’s squad could pull away fairly quickly in this one.

Raiders vs Dolphins Best Bets & Props

Dolphins -12.5 (-112)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 units

As long as the Dolphins didn’t suddenly forget how to play football during the bye week, taking them -12.5 easily gets the nod for my NFL bet of the day.

It seems repetitive to harp on how good the offense is, but that’s what many of Miami’s games boil down to. McDaniel has helped Tagovailoa become one of the best quarterbacks in the league, and the 25-year-old has the luxury of throwing to arguably the best wide receiver tandem.

The Dolphins should easily find a way to cover the 12.5-point spread, and I predict they more than double the Raiders’ output when this one’s all said and done.

Dolphins Over 30.5 (+105)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 units

We will continue to ride Miami’s offense by going Over the team total at plus money. Oddsmakers seem to believe that a Las Vegas defense that has allowed 30 or more points in just two games this season can replicate that on the road against the Dolphins.

Miami’s 43.5 points per game at home this season is the most of any team, which should inspire confidence in this bet. The Dolphins are averaging a league-high 31.7 points per game overall and have surpassed the 30.5 mark in five of nine games.

1st Miami Dolphins Drive Result: Touchdown (+145)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

For a more intriguing but risky bet, Miami to score a touchdown on its first drive at +145 is something to consider.

The Dolphins have managed to reach the end zone on their first drive three times in their nine games. Having had an extra week to prepare, McDaniel should have devised an effective game plan to expose the Las Vegas defense right away and hit pay dirt on the opening drive.

Raiders vs Dolphins Same-Game Parlay

Raiders vs Dolphins SGP (+340)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units

  • Over 46.5 (-110)
  • Dolphins Over 30.5 (+105)
  • Dolphins Race to 10 Points (-350)
  • Dolphins +12.5 (-112)
  • Raiders Under 20.5 (-245)

I decided to utilize a little bit of everything DraftKings had to offer for this Raiders vs Dolphins same-game-parlay.

We were able to combine two of our best bets, Dolphins Over 30.5 and Dolphins +12.5, along with three relatively low-odds legs to create a +340 SGP.

Based on how the Raiders have looked over the last two weeks, Over 46.5 makes the most sense for this matchup. Miami should carry the bulk of the scoring; but there’s no denying that Davante Adams and the Raiders’ offense have been playing inspired football following the firing of head coach Josh McDaniels.

Since Las Vegas has scored 20 or more points in just two of its 10 games, I decided to go with the Raiders under 20.5 to help boost our odds with a highly likely outcome. And I threw in the Dolphins to win the Race to 10 Points as another leg that could add to the profit margin for this SGP.

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