The Miami Dolphins (4-3) head into Motown to take on the Detroit Lions (1-5) at Ford Field for a Week 8 interconference clash between two teams coming off contrasting Week 7 results.
Miami was able to snap a three-game losing streak, albeit barely, in a 16-10 home win over the Steelers Sunday night. Meanwhile, Detroit failed to score a touchdown for the second straight week in a 24-6 road defeat at the hands of the Cowboys.
Let’s now dive into our Miami vs Detroit best bets, predictions, and betting tips for this Week 8 battle.
Odds are current as of 1 p.m. ET, on Tuesday, Oct. 25, at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Dolphins vs Lions Odds
The Dolphins’ status as relatively modest 3.5-point road favorites on FanDuel Sportsbook as of Tuesday afternoon despite a three-game win discrepancy between the teams is likely a combination of Miami’s offense bogging down in the second half against Pittsburgh and the fact Detroit has traditionally been a very tough out for visiting teams at Ford Field during Dan Campbell‘s tenure.
Take a look at the best Dolphins odds and Lions odds for the 2022 NFL season.
Dolphins vs Lions Implied Totals
Dolphins 27.5, Lions 24
The elevated implied total of 51.5 points factors in Detroit’s significant defensive problems, as well as the possible return of D’Andre Swift (shoulder/ankle) to action and the confirmed health of Amon-Ra St. Brown, who’s been cleared from concussion protocol after being removed early in Week 7.
Dolphins vs Lions Pick of the Day
Read more on this Dolphins vs Lions bet below.
Dolphins vs Lions Prediction
Dolphins 30, Lions 27
This is a matchup that should allow Mike McDaniel to run a very balanced offense and take advantage of Detroit’s penchant for allowing chunk gains through the air. Miami was able to execute such an approach with great success on the stat sheet against Pittsburgh, even if it didn’t translate into many points against what is still a talented defense.
The resistance should be softer against a Lions team that allows an NFL-high 468.7 yards per game and 6.8 yards per play at home. Tua Tagovailoa looked sharp overall against Pittsburgh in his return from a two-game absence due to a concussion, throwing for 261 yards and a touchdown.
He now faces a team that allows an NFL-high 12.2 yards per completion at home and gets to attack them with the explosive Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle duo. On the ground, Raheem Mostert, already averaging 4.9 yards per carry in four games since taking on a true lead-back role, goes up against a defense surrendering 5.8 yards per rush attempt at home.
The Lions’ offense does have plenty to answer Miami back with, especially if Swift manages to return to the fold. Jared Goff has looked very inept on the road in the last two games, but he’s thrown for 849 yards and produced a 10:2 TD:INT at home in three games.
The Dolphins have surrendered 388.7 total yards per road game and an NFL-high 6.7 yards per play in that split, as well, which sets up the opportunity for Detroit to run the multi-pronged attack that’s already generated 116 points on the fast track of their home turf in three games.
However, even when factoring in what should be a bounce-back effort at home for the Lions’ offense against a Dolphins defense that tends to have occasional stumbles, I envision Miami escaping with a narrow road victory due to its superior talent on both sides of the ball.
Dolphins vs Lions Bet Tips
Here are some Dolphins vs Lions betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- The Dolphins are 3-4 against the spread, including 1-2 as a road team.
- The Lions are 3-3 against the spread, including 2-1 as a home team.
- Detroit is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog since the start of Campbell’s tenure as head coach last season.
- The Over is 7-4 in the Lions’ home games during Campbell’s tenure.
Dolphins vs Lions Best Bets
Lions +3.5 (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Lions morph into a very different team at home and are certainly desperate for a win. With Swift potentially back, Goff could look a lot better than in recent weeks, and the Dolphins’ defense can be beaten enough through the air for this game to stay close enough for a home team cover.
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Over 51.5 Total Points (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Cowboys kept matters close to the vest at home against the Lions in Week 7, but McDaniel will likely plan for a more aggressive approach given the typical game environment that often unfolds in Ford Field contests.
There are enough explosive players on the field on both sides for this game to have a back-and-forth quality, and Tagovailoa should have knocked off any rust in last week’s return.
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