Chiefs vs Texans Predictions & Odds

Last Updated: Dec 14, 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs will head on the road this week to take on the Houston Texans. This will be a battle between two teams who couldn’t be more opposite. The Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes, who is looking like the potential NFL MVP and will be making a playoff run. Meanwhile, the Texans are projected to have the first overall pick in the NFL Draft next year.

Last week, the Chiefs took the Broncos out of any possibility in the playoffs, 34-28. Jerick McKinnon racked up 134 total yards and two touchdowns, and if he can do that against the Broncos, it could get ugly against the Texans.

We saw the Texans put up a fight against the Dallas Cowboys last week but fell short 27-23. However, between Davis Mills, Kyle Allen, and even getting Jeff Driskel some playing time, it’s clear this team is looking at the future. They could be in play for Bryce Young or CJ Stroud in the 2023 NFL Draft.

Kansas City needs a win this week to secure the #1 seed in the playoffs. Please continue reading for my predictions and betting tips in this lopsided matchup between one of the best and worst teams in the NFL.

Chiefs vs Texans Odds

As expected, the oddsmakers have the Chiefs as the heavy favorites this week over Houston. Mahomes and the electric Kansas City offense will have a field day on a soft Texans defense this week. Travis Kelce will be his usual self and is always a threat to score multiple touchdowns.

All in all, I don’t expect the Texans to be able to slow down this Chiefs offense in the slightest. However, if the running game goes as well as Mahomes attacking them through the air, it could get ugly quickly.

Take a look at the best Chiefs’ odds and Texans’ odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Chiefs vs Texans Implied Totals

Chiefs 31.5, Texans 16.5

As of Tuesday evening, the implied total for this matchup is the highest for Week 15. Kansas City is favored by two touchdowns and is also the largest spread of the week, and rightfully so.

Chiefs vs Texans Pick of the Day

Read more on this Chiefs vs Texans bet below.

Chiefs vs Texans Prediction

Chiefs 33, Texans 17

I’m taking Mahomes and the Chiefs to win this handily on the road. Mahomes will likely be throwing upwards of 300 passing yards and multiple touchdowns. If McKinnon gets going on the ground again, this matchup will get out of hand fairly quickly.

The one bright spot on this Texans offense has been rookie running back Dameon Pierce. But, unfortunately, he suffered a high ankle sprain last week and is expected to miss a couple of weeks. So please don’t count on him this week, and look for Rex Burkhead and Dare Ogunbowale to split the backfield.

Between the struggles for Texans on offense and their soft defense, I’m banking on the Chiefs winning easily. However, the Chiefs’ defense has been trending up as well and is good enough to slow down the Texans, outside of some potential garbage time points.

Chiefs vs Texans Bet Tips

Here are a few Chiefs vs Texans betting trends to consider before making your bets:

  • The Texans haven’t won a game at home since December 2021
  • The total has gone Over in 9 of the Chiefs’ last 11 road games
  • The total has gone Over in 4/5 of the previous matchups between these two teams

Chiefs vs Texans Best Bets

Over 49 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: .5 Units

Look for Mahomes to light up the Texans this week. Despite putting up a decent fight against the Cowboys last week, the Texans still gave up 27 points to Dak Prescott and a game-winning 98-yard drive.

Mahomes will feast this week, and the Texans will be playing catch-up. Look for the Chiefs to get up early and not let off the gas, as they need to clinch the #1 seed in the AFC.

Want to bet on the Texans? Check out the best U.S. sportsbooks!

Chiefs -14 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: .5 Units

Kansas City will get up early on the Chiefs in the first half, and things might slow down a bit in the second half. However, the Chiefs’ defense is strong enough to slow down the Texans’ offense, regardless of who is at quarterback.

Don’t expect the Texans to get the rushing game going, either, as Pierce will be on the sideline for a few weeks. This combination of poor offense and offense against a potential Super Bowl contender and NFL MVP could get ugly for Houston. However, Kansas City can cover the two-touchdown spread, even if it is the biggest spread on the slate.

Want to bet on the Chiefs? Check out the best KS sportsbooks!

Chiefs vs Texans Props

Check out the best Chiefs vs Texans player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on “Show More Games" below to find the Kansas City vs Houston game and see all of its prop bets.

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