Jaguars vs Chargers Predictions

Posted: Sep 20, 2022Last updated: Sep 21, 2022

The Jacksonville Jaguars played up to par in Week 2, dominating the Colts at home. The Jaguars have now won seven straight home games against Indianapolis.

Meanwhile, the Chargers suffered a late-game collapse against the Chiefs and look to bounce back strong in this one.

Which team has the edge?

Read on for our Jacksonville vs Los Angeles predictions, betting tips, and best bets.

Jaguars vs Chargers Odds

Sharp money has come in strong on Jacksonville. The Jaguars opened as nine-point underdogs Monday morning and since have been bet down to seven points.

The Under has taken similarly sharp money, with the total falling from 50.5 to 48 in the past few days. Crossing the key number of 49 is a big deal for betting NFL totals.

Take a look at the best Jaguars odds and Chargers odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Jaguars vs Chargers Implied Totals

Chargers 27.5, Jaguars 20.5

Vegas sees this being a stereotypical NFL game between an elite team and a bad team. We expect Jacksonville to put points on the board, but likely lose by a score to a better team.

Jaguars vs Chargers Pick of the Day

Read more on this Jaguars vs Chargers bet below.

Jaguars vs Chargers Prediction

Chargers 20, Jaguars 17

The big story here is the Chargers’ injuries. Keenan Allen is still hurt, and Justin Herbert is on the injury list now, too. Herbert took a big hit to the midsection during Thursday Night’s game against the Chiefs, and we are unsure if he’ll play.

However, even if he does play, how effective will he be?

The Chargers are one of the NFL’s best all-around rosters, and they got a little unlucky against the Chiefs in Week 2. But having your top quarterback and wide receiver out is a big disadvantage.

The Jaguars are playing much-better football underneath Doug Pederson. Jacksonville’s statistics are skewed by the variance between Week 1 (28-22 loss to Washington) and Week 2 (24-0 win over Indianapolis) but the Jaguars have still been the third-most efficient NFL team on early downs (in EPA/play and EPA/play allowed).

I’m hesitant to pick the Jaguars outright, but I doubt the Chargers pick up a blowout victory given their injuries.

Jaguars vs Chargers Bet Tips

Here are some Jaguars vs Chargers betting trends to think about:

  • Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 14 points in their previous game
  • Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS in their last seven Week 3 games
  • The Under is 13-5 in Jacksonville’s last 18 games
  • The Under is 10-1 in the Chargers’ last 11 Week 3 games.

Jaguars vs Chargers Best Bets

Jaguars +7 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

It’s smart to keep picking road dogs in the NFL. Away underdogs are 9-6 ATS this season and have cashed at a 54% clip since 2018 (366-293-19 ATS).

The sharp bettors are on Jacksonville, and the Chargers are due for an ATS loss given they’re 2-0 ATS this season.

Jacksonville is playing good football, Trevor Lawrence is turning into an elite quarterback (sixth in Football Outsiders’ DYAR this season), and the Chargers don’t have a huge home-field advantage.

Throw in the Chargers’ injury issues and Jacksonville is the play.

Before placing this bet, get the best Jaguars promo codes.

Under 47.5 Total Points (-110) at FanDuel

WAGER: 1 Unit

While the Chargers have issues on offense, they are still loaded on defense. Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack are monstrous in the front seven while J.C. Jackson and Derwin James lead a stout secondary.

This is, by far, the best defense the Jaguars have faced through three weeks. I could see a huge regression game from Lawrence and co.

Meanwhile, we don’t know what to expect from the Chargers with two of their top weapons out.

The Under has taken the sharp money, and I will be on that side.

Before placing this bet, get the best Chargers promo codes.


Tanner McGrath

Tanner McGrath joined The Game Day to cover the NFL but is beginning to branch out in other areas as well. He can write about anything but is especially passionate about Major League Baseball (go Red Sox!) and NCAA Basketball. He’s a McGill University grad and former (Canadian) Division-I alpine ski racer who now spends his time drinking beer and betting home underdogs.

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