The New York Jets (7-5) head to Buffalo to take on the Bills (9-3) in a pivotal AFC East divisional matchup. The Jets are trying to maintain their position in the wild card race, while the Bills are fighting for the No. 1 seed to secure a bye in the first round.
New York has lost two of their last three games, but they’ll look to complete the sweep against Buffalo. The Jets squeaked out a 20-17 win against the Bills back in Week 9.
Meanwhile, the Bills seem to be getting back on track of late, currently on a three-game winning streak that includes wins against the Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, and New England Patriots.
It’ll be interesting to see how this unfolds. With that in mind, let’s dig deeper to find the best New York vs Buffalo betting tips in this AFC East showdown.
Jets vs Bills Odds
Jets vs Bills NFL Week 14 odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook as of Monday, Dec. 5, at 12 p.m. EST.
The Bills open as 9.5-point favorites, which is a bit too high when you consider the Jets’ improvements on offense. The total feels about right at 44 points, as it bakes in the Jets’ strength on defense while accounting for Buffalo’s explosive offense.
Take a look at the best Jets odds and Bills odds for the 2022 NFL season.
Jets vs Bills Implied Totals
Bills 26.75, Jets 17.25
Bookmakers project the Bills to control this game, limiting Mike White and this Jets offense to fewer than 20 points.
Jets vs Bills Pick of the Day
Read more on this Jets vs Bills bet below.
Jets vs Bills Prediction
Bills 27, Jets 21
The Bills rank first in total DVOA (fourth on offense, fourth on defense), but the Jets are a strong team in their own right, ranking ninth (19th on offense, fifth on defense), per Football Outsiders.
The difference for New York is that they have an improved offense with White replacing Zach Wilson at quarterback. White has eclipsed 300 yards in each of his two starts, helping stud rookie wideout Garrett Wilson take off with 257 yards during that stretch.
That upgrade at quarterback could be enough to help the Jets keep this game close, especially with their strong defense. When these two teams met in Week 9, New York held Josh Allen to only 205 yards on 6.03 yards per attempt.
We also have to acknowledge that Allen has not been the same lately, as he’s playing through an elbow injury. Allen has combined for 673 yards on 6.6 yards per attempt in his last three games.
This is bad news against the Jets, as they rank fifth in pass DVOA, limiting opposing quarterbacks to only 6.41 yards per attempt, which is the third-best mark in the NFL.
While Buffalo should win this game, it’s likely that it will be closer than the spread suggests.
Jets vs Bills Bet Tips
Here are some Jets vs Bills betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- The Jets are 7-5 against the spread, their games have gone Under in seven of 12.
- The Bills are 6-5-1 ATS, the Under is 9-3 in their games.
- The Jets defeated the Bills 20-17 in their previous matchup.
Jets vs Bills Best Bets
Jets +9.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Jets have the pieces on defense to slow down Allen and this passing game. White has been able to get the ball to Wilson downfield, which could help them keep pace in this matchup.
This is too high of a number when you consider the Jets’ strengths as a team.
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Under 44 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Both of these teams have trended Under throughout the season. When they met in Week 9, they combined for 37 points. The Bills have not been as explosive through the air, as Allen continues to play through the elbow injury.
The Under also has a strong correlation with the Jets +9.5.
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Jets vs Bills Props
Check out the best Jets vs Bills player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on the New York vs Buffalo game below to see all of its prop bets.
