The New York Jets will try to get back on the winning track when they host the Chicago Bears Sunday.
New York has lost two of three with each defeat coming against the rival New England Patriots. The Jets (6-4) fell 10-3 in Foxborough in a devastating defeat capped by Marcus Jones‘ 84-yard punt return for touchdown with just seconds remaining.
The Bears (3-8) have lost four straight, the past three coming by just seven points total. Chicago also could be without quarterback Justin Fields, who sustained an injury to his non-throwing shoulder in its 27-24 loss to the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday.
Here’s a look at the best bets for Chicago vs New York.
Pat Pickens’ NFL Betting Record: 41-42 (+7 Units)
Bears vs Jets Odds
New York was a 4.5-point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook as of Tuesday morning.
The odds are fairly straightforward since the Jets have been superior to the Bears this season, though Fields could be a wild card if he’s able to play.
Bears vs Jets Implied Totals
Jets 23.25, Bears 18.75
The Jets are averaging about 20 points per game and are giving up 18.6 through their first 10. Chicago is scoring about 22 points per game and surrendering about 25.
Bears vs Jets Pick of the Day
Read more on this Bears vs Jets bet below.
Bears vs Jets Prediction
Jets 20, Bears 13
The Jets’ offense has some major question marks. New York will start its third different quarterback of 2022, turning to Mike White after starter Zach Wilson was benched after completing just 9 of 22 passes for 77 yards against New England that was followed by a defiant postgame press conference.
Wilson will not only not start but will be inactive. Joe Flacco, who actually leads New York in touchdown passes this season, will be White’s backup.
But make no mistake: New York’s defense is bonafide, especially against the running game. The Jets rank ninth in the NFL in rush yards against per game (109.7), and Chicago’s bread-and-butter is running the ball with Fields and running backs David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert.
The Bears lead the NFL in rushing yards per game (197.9), 35 yards better than the second-place Ravens.
The Bears’ defense has been leaky, allowing the fifth-most points per game (24.9) this season, including 142 over their four-game losing streak (35.5 per game). New York’s offense has been spotty at best all season, averaging the fifth-fewest yards per game (311).
So which matchup will win? I’m going to side with the Jets because their defense is tailored to stop Chicago’s strength, and they’ll have an even greater advantage if Fields can’t play.
This should be a fast, low-scoring game with few passes thrown — particularly given the potential for rainy and windy conditions at MetLife Stadium.
Bears vs Jets Bet Tips
Here are a few Bears vs Jets betting trends to consider before making your bets:
- The Under has hit in seven of the Jets’ 10 games this season, including in five straight.
- Chicago averaged 28.75 points per game over its past four games despite Fields’ 148.5 passing yards per game average.
- Chicago has rushed for 230-plus yards in five of its past six games but is just 1-5 in that span.
Bears vs Jets Best Bets
Under 39.5 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
This is the bet whether Fields plays or not, but it is especially true if he doesn’t. The Jets’ defense is allowing 15 points per game over their past seven games, thanks to players like Quinnen Williams, C.J. Mosley, and Defensive Rookie of the Year favorite Ahmad “Sauce" Gardner.
The Bears’ defense isn’t great, but the Jets are averaging 14 points per game over their past four games. It’s been a slog scoring with Wilson at QB, and given the potential bad weather and the fact White hasn’t had any starting reps this season better, you can expect a lot of punts.
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Jets -4.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
This spread is going to expand if Fields can’t play, but New York should be able to win by five-plus especially if it mitigates Chicago’s running game. The Bears have almost no passing game — they rank dead last in passing yards per game (128.1) — and that’s been with Fields running the show.
The Bears have played close games all season — six of their losses have come by eight points or less — but if they can’t move the ball, their already-suspect defense will give up points. New York should make enough plays in the run game to win by at least five.
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Bears vs Jets Props
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