In an exciting Sunday early afternoon game, the Dolphins are visiting the Bears. Miami is a modest road favorite against a Chicago team that has been quietly improving.
For my Miami vs Chicago best bets, I delve into the data to find a betting angle below that you might not have considered.
Dolphins vs Bears Odds
Miami is appropriately a five-point favorite, which is a spread they could cover if Chicago’s defense collapses. With a point total of 45.5 points, a slightly above-average number of points is expected to be scored.
Take a look at the best Dolphins odds and Bears odds for the 2022 NFL season.
All odds are as of noon ET on Wednesday, Nov. 2, at the listed sportsbooks.
Dolphins vs Bears Implied Totals
Dolphins 25.25, Bears 20.25
Bookmakers are expecting the Bears to score about three touchdowns, and the Dolphins to score between three and four.
Dolphins vs Bears Pick of the Day
Read more on this Dolphins vs Bears bet below.
Dolphins vs Bears Prediction
Dolphins 31, Bears 20
The key for the Dolphins offensively is how well their passing offense does under quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. The Dolphins have a passing play percentage of 63.3%, which is the seventh-highest in the NFL.
In most statistical categories, the Bears have a middle-of-the-road passing defense, but they have struggled recently. Last week against the Cowboys, the Bears allowed Dak Prescott to throw for 250 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, and a 77.8% completion percentage.
When combing through Chicago’s schedule, they have benefited from playing against weak quarterbacks. When they play against decent passing offenses, their defense has tended to struggle.
Tagovailoa will be tough for the Bears to contain. Not only does Tagovailoa have the best QBR in the entire NFL, but he has only three interceptions to 12 passing touchdowns. The 24-year-old quarterback has a 69.9% competition percentage and is averaging nine yards per passing attempt.
The Dolphins also acquired OLB Bradley Chubb this week, which signals that they are trying to make a playoff run this season. Any team that is a 5.5-point favorite will have a tough time covering, but the Dolphins should come through this Sunday.
Dolphins vs Bears Bet Tips
Here are some Dolphins vs Bears betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- The Dolphins are 4-4 against the spread and 5-3 overall
- The Bears are 3-4-1 against the spread and 3-5 overall
- There has been some line movement toward the Dolphins since the Chubb trade
Dolphins vs Bears Best Bets
Dolphins -5 (-107) at PointsBet Sportsbook
Based on the strong quarterback play of Tagovailoa and the Bears having a suspect pass defense, we should see Miami win by about a touchdown. After close calls against Pittsburgh and Detroit, and a blowout Jets loss, the Dolphins shouldn’t let their guard down this week.
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Dolphins -4.5 & Over 44.5 Total Points (+230) at FanDuel Sportsbook
If the Dolphins cover, I would be surprised if the total goes Under 44.5 points. Miami should set the tone by scoring many points, and the Bears should follow. This is Miami’s game to lose, and I expect a lot of fireworks.
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Dolphins vs Bears Props
Check out the best Dolphins vs Bears player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on the Miami vs Chicago game below to see all of its prop bets.