Monday Night Football Predictions Week 11 | MNF Picks & Giants vs Buccaneers Best Bets

Last Updated: Nov 22, 2021

All of the sudden, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in some trouble. They’ve lost back-to-back games and they aren’t a lock to win the NFC South. The offense scored just 19 points in Washington in Week 10 as Tom Brady struggled. Can they get back on track at home in Week 11 against the New York Giants on Monday Night Football?

The Giants are coming off a Week 10 bye. In their last game, they defeated the Las Vegas Raiders at home and have allowed just 39 total points in their last three games.

Can another NFC East team upset the Buccaneers in Week 11? Let’s dive into the odds and give our picks for Monday Night Football.

Please note that all Giants vs Buccaneers odds and lines are current as of 1 p.m ET on Friday, November 19.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Read Anthony Cervino’s hands-on TwinSpires review to learn more about TwinSpires and get an even bigger welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis for our Giants vs Buccaneers tipster picks.

Monday Night Football Prediction Week 11

The Buccaneers are the better team, without question. They should win this game 99 percent of the time. But the Giants have had Brady’s number in the past and with New York having 15 days to prepare for this game, you know they will be ready.

Still, it’s hard to pick the Giants in this game considering how bad they have been on offense this season. Their passing game lacks explosive plays and Daniel Jones has been far from consistent.

New York will likely hang around in this game and make it close, but look for Tampa Bay to bounce back in a big way and win in primetime.

NFL Week 11 MNF Prediction: Buccaneers 27, Giants 17

Daniel Jones New York Giants QB

Can Daniel Jones’ New York Giants upset Tom Brady’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers on MNF in NFL Week 11? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)

Monday Night Football Best Bets Week 11

MNF Best Bet: Giants +11 (-113) on TwinSpires

Wager: 1 Unit

As we mentioned above, this is a game Tampa Bay should and likely will win. However, 11 points are far too many for a team that has so many injuries on defense. The Giants should be able to keep this game within two scores and a backdoor cover could be on the table with the spread being this large.

It is worth mentioning that the Giants are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games and have covered in 12 of their last 15 road games. Joe Judge’s team has played some competitive road games this season, as they beat the Saints in New Orleans and lost to the Chiefs by just three points in Kansas City.

Take the Giants and the points in this game based on our NFL gameday odds, but expect the Buccaneers to win by somewhere between 7-10 points.

MNF Best Bet: Under 49.5 Total Points (-113) on TwinSpires

Wager: 1 Unit

The offense for the Giants has been among the worst in the NFL this season. They are averaging just 19.9 points per game and have one of the league’s worst red-zone offenses.

While they should be able to keep this game close with their defense, they just aren’t going to score a lot of points. They’ve yet to have a game this season where they have scored 30 or more points and it seems unlikely that they will do it this week.

Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have the No. 3-ranked scoring offense this season, averaging 31 points per game. Will they be able to have that kind of success in this game after back-to-back rough outings by Brady? It seems like they should have a better performance at home against a not-very-good New York team in primetime.

Still, look for Tampa Bay to score in the mid-20s and maybe even in the 30s, but for the Under to ultimately hit in our NFL bet of the day.


Marcus Mosher

Marcus Mosher is an NFL analyst at The Game Day, residing in Erie, PA. He covers the NFL from a betting and fantasy perspective, producing written and video content. Marcus currently hosts multiple football-related podcasts and is a managing editor at USA Today’s Sports Media Group covering the Las Vegas Raiders. He has previously worked at The Athletic and Bleacher Report.

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