It was a near sweep of prop bets for us in Week 10, going 3-1 on four wagers. The regular season is winding down in college football, so we’ll take advantage of the games we have left to make some money.
Including a Big Ten showdown between Michigan and Penn State, there are four matchups in which both teams are ranked this weekend.
Here are our best game props and player props in CFB Week 11 Best Bets.
Skyler Carlin CFB betting record: 21-18-0 (+3.19 units)
CFB Week 11 Best Props
Air Force: Over 33.5 (-115)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Air Force lost its first game of the season in Week 10, succumbing 23-3 to Army. Following that defeat, Air Force has fallen outside of the Top 25 rankings.
The good news for the Falcons is that they are in a prime get-right spot in Week 11 against Hawai’i.
Hawai’i is surrendering 34 points per game this season (the 13th-worst mark in the nation) and is giving up 176 rushing yards per game.
Meanwhile, Air Force is still averaging a solid 30.2 points per game on offense despite scoring only three points last week, and it leads the nation with 284.2 rushing yards per game.
Also, Air Force has produced at least 34 points in five of its nine games entering Saturday’s bout with Hawai’i.
The Falcons are poised for an explosive game on the ground against the Rainbow Warriors, making this one of our best CFB prop bets in Week 11.
Penn State: Under 20.5 (-130)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Teams have struggled to score against Michigan this season, so we’ll continue the trend of taking the Under on the team total for its opponent.
On Saturday, the Wolverines will travel to face the Nittany Lions, who are recording 40.2 points per game (sixth-most in the nation).
That said, Penn State scored only 12 points against Ohio State a few weeks ago, and Michigan leads all of college football with a mere 6.67 points allowed per game.
Even with Purdue scoring a season-high 13 points against Michigan in Week 10, it scored its lone touchdown with 18 seconds remaining in the game.
While the Nittany Lions would love to pull off the upset at home, it’s tough to trust Drew Allar and the offense to put up points on the dominant defense of the Wolverines.
Track our reports on the best NCAAF props this weekend:
CFB Week 11 Player Props
Ladd McConkey: Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Even with Brock Bowers sidelined, Georgia continues to show flashes in the passing game in recent weeks.
In the last two weeks sans Bowers, it has been Ladd McConkey stepping in as the No. 1 option for Carson Beck in the aerial attack for the Bulldogs.
After hauling in six passes for 135 yards and a score in Week 9 against Florida, McConkey logged seven receptions for 95 yards in Week 10 versus Missouri.
While Ole Miss is giving up a modest 228.4 passing yards per game, the Rebels have allowed at least one receiver to register 63-plus receiving yards in six of their last eight games.
With McConkey seeing more downfield targets in recent weeks, we only need five or six receptions from him to hit the Over on his receiving yards.
Troy Franklin: Over 96.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Offenses are torching USC’s defense this season, prompting the Trojans to fire defensive coordinator Alex Grinch after the 52-42 loss to Washington in Week 10.
Even with Grinch out of the picture, USC still boasts an abysmal defense that is permitting 249.5 passing yards per game.
It was the Huskies’ ground game that gashed the Trojans’ defense last week, so Michael Penix Jr. wasn’t needed much in the passing game.
With Bo Nix in the Heisman Trophy race, Oregon could look to throw often against USC on Saturday.
Nix is coming off a 386-yard outing against California in Week 10, and his go-to target all season has been Troy Franklin.
Franklin leads the Ducks in receptions (58), receiving yards (946), and receiving touchdowns (10). The talented wideout has also notched at least 99 receiving yards in six of his nine games this season.
