Week 3 of the college football season was another profitable one for this weekly column. We hit our Best CFB Parlay for a return of $118 and also landed our Long Shot Parlay for $143.18. Although the Same Game Parlay card went down, we ended up profiting $251.18.
With six games between nationally ranked opponents, Week 4 is shaping up to be the best week of the college football season thus far.
There are three parlay options for you to consider for Week 3. Each card is wagered differently based on the odds available and the likelihood of the parlay hitting.
Best CFB Parlay This Week
All three legs of our Week 3 Best CFB Parlay landed last week for $118.22, but we ended up on the wrong side of the numbers with -0.7% CLV.
Saturday’s Best CFB Parlay will also feature a three-leg moneyline parlay. The teams are all home favorites with a high implied probability of winning, and we hope to continue our two-week winning streak.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Best Parlay Record: : 2-2 (+$216.33)
CFB Week 4 Parlay (+133)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
- Louisville ML (-625)
- Utah ML (-205)
- Alabama ML (-285)
We’ll continue playing a full unit for our Best Bet Parlay ($100), and we have three selections that should land for a payout of $133 on a $100 wager.
Louisville has some serious talent on both sides of the ball, and it should be enough for a comfortable win over Boston College. The Eagles have a nice team and played FSU tough at home last week, but they won’t beat the Cardinals on Saturday.
No. 11 Utah is 3-0 this season while mainly playing its second unit due to injuries to several key players. The Utes defense is stout, keying a streak of 16 consecutive home victories. No. 22 ranked UCLA is a young, competitive squad, but Utah has the better defensive group and is too tough to beat at home.
No. 13 Alabama has struggled since its 56-7 opening-day victory over Middle Tennessee. The ongoing issues at quarterback resulted in just 17 points scored at USF last week. But the Crimson Tide need a win, and No. 15-ranked Mississippi doesn’t have the defense to prevent it.
CFB Week 4 Long Shot Parlay Bet
We landed our CFB Week 3 Long Shot play last week for $143.18 but wound up with 0% CLV. Week 4 brings us a few upset possibilities, and this CFB Week 4 Long Shot Parlay Bet looks appealing.
We’ll risk 0.25 units or $25 on this CFB Week 3 Long Shot Parlay Bet.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Long Shot Parlay Record: 1-3 (+$73.18)
CFB Week 4 Parlay (+405)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
- South Florida ML (+114)
- Notre Dame ML (+136)
Our Week 4 Longshot Parlay is a two-leg card featuring two home underdogs with defenses good enough to pull off the upset.
USF plays terrific defense. It held Alabama to 17 points last week and has allowed 27 points at home this season. Rice is coming off a pair of big home victories, but the Owls haven’t had a 3-1 start to the season since 2001. USF has the defense to slow down the Rice offense and pull off the home upset.
No. 9 Notre Dame, a home underdog per the NCAAF odds, faces a stiff challenge when sixth-ranked Ohio State comes to town. Fighting Irish QB Sam Hartman leads the nation with 13 passing TDs, RB Audric Etsime has already scampered for 536 yards, and this offense can challenge Ohio State. The Buckeyes QB play has been inconsistent, and if the Notre Dame defense is able to get a couple of stops, Hartman and the Irish can likewise pull off the home upset.
CFB Same-Game Parlay Pick
We missed our Week 3 Same Game Parlay when UTEP lost the first quarter. That leaves us with a 1-3 record, but we’re still $10 ahead with our CFB Same Game Parlay Pick.
I like the possibilities of the Akron/Indiana game for this week’s SGP, and we will play two legs from Saturday night’s contest.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB SGP Record: 1-3 (+10).
CFB Week 4 SGP (+190)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.10 Units
- Akron vs. Indiana Under 46.5 (-105)
- Akron Under 13.5 (+110)
The Akron offense isn’t consistent, and it will have difficulty moving the ball Saturday night against Indiana. The Zips field one of the worst rushing offenses in college football, average 262 yards of total offense, and have a QB controversy. What Akron does is play defense, and Indiana won’t put up a big number on a Zips D that’s allowing 344 total yards per game.
- See more of our top picks in our CFB Best Bets for Week 4.
Did I mention the Zips can’t score? They’ve averaged a dozen points per game against D1 defenses, and Indiana has the size advantage up front. Plus, the Hoosiers passing defense allows a paltry 165 passing yards per game. Akron will be lucky to score 10 points.