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Georgia vs Alabama Predictions

Last Updated: Nov 27, 2023

The 2023 SEC champion coronation is inching closer, and the decisive clash between the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs and the No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide happens Saturday at 4 p.m. ET in Atlanta.

The pair are among the favorites to be this year’s College Football Playoff National Champion, so the game’s result will shape the rest of the season.

Georgia vs Alabama Odds

Track our latest CFB odds for Bulldogs vs Crimson Tide:

NCAAF lines used for Georgia vs Alabama were current as of Nov. 26 at 8 p.m. ET on DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Moneyline: Georgia (-218) • Alabama (+180)
  • Spread: Georgia -5 (-110) • Alabama +5 (-110)
  • Total Points: Over 56 (-110) • Under 56 (-110)

Georgia, the SEC champion a year ago, is favored by just less than a touchdown in this year’s title game at an unusual number of -5. The total is set at a more standard 56.

Georgia vs Alabama Prediction

SCORE PICK: Alabama 27, Georgia 23

For the second time in three years, Alabama and Georgia will square off with the SEC Championship on the line.

Once again, the Bulldogs are a perfect 12-0, and the Crimson Tide are sitting at 11-1 just as they were in 2021 – a game won by Alabama.

Georgia has created a gold standard for college football over the past two years, winning consecutive titles. But before that, Alabama set the tone for an entire era of the sport.

Nick Saban is still at the helm, and the Crimson Tide are driven by a strong defense and led by a hot quarterback. This is not a team to be taken lightly.

Ultimately, the Bulldogs have had more impressive performances of late, but they haven’t done so against elite defenses. The Crimson Tide’s unit will provide more of a challenge than they’ve had all year, especially with superstar tight end Brock Bowers likely unavailable.

On the other side of things, Georgia’s showing against Georgia Tech suggests the defense is more vulnerable than in years past, and with Jalen Milroe playing his best football yet, Alabama will be able to strike and score some points.

Georgia vs Alabama Best Bets

Alabama (+180)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Ever since losing to Texas in Week 2, the Tide have absolutely rolled through the rest of their schedule.

They were rarely pushed until last week, when they almost lost to Auburn – a near-disaster that only a miraculous play from Milroe bailed the Tide out of.

The close call has somewhat changed the perception of this team’s form, and thus Alabama’s odds on the moneyline. But, in reality, this is just the nature of incredibly storied rivalry games, especially for road favorites.

Saban’s groups have been pushed and even beaten by Auburn plenty of times before and still gone on to win championships the same season.

Specifically, their 19th-ranked run defense by EPA will stack up phenomenally with a Georgia unit that ranks 101st by the same metric. The Tide will be able to establish themselves on the ground and control this game from the first snap.

Under 56 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Of course, running the football as Alabama is likely to do is not great for the Over, as it will help the clock keep churning.

Overall, the Tide has run the 98th fastest offense in the nation in terms of seconds per play, while Georgia is all the way down in 124th. Neither of these teams exactly pushes pace.

Just as Georgia hasn’t faced a defense like Alabama’s, the Bulldogs’ own 24th-ranked unit, per EPA, is going to be a new challenge for the Tide, who have the 21st-best offense by the same metric.

Taking the Under on this number gives you access to the hugely key total of 55, which is another added bonus for the wager.

Georgia vs Alabama Same-Game Parlay

Georgia vs Alabama SGP (+264)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units

  • Under 56 (-110)
  • Alabama +5 (-110)

The options are limited for a same-game parlay with the SEC Championship almost a week away, so we’ll build off the concepts discussed above.

The Under is still a really nice play, but instead of betting on Alabama to pull off the outright upset, we’ll take the spread to protect against a close Georgia win.

The number of +5 isn’t too significant, so see if you can find an alternate spread of +4 or even down to +3.5 to capture more value while betting on a similar outcome.

Author

John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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