We’ve finally reached the 2024 WNBA Finals. The top-seeded New York Liberty will face off with the Minnesota Lynx in a best-of-five series beginning Thursday, Oct. 10.
The Liberty defeated the Aces 3-1 in the semifinals, while the Lynx overcame the Sun 3-2. New York will be looking to earn its first WNBA title with a win. Minnesota, on the other hand, is tied for the most championships (four) and can move into first all-time.
Here are the latest WNBA Finals odds, my predictions for each series, and some of the best bets you can make right now.
WNBA Finals Odds
All WNBA odds are current as of Wednesday, Oct. 9, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- New York Liberty (-260)
- Minnesota Lynx (+215)
WNBA Playoffs Bracket
Liberty vs Lynx Series Prediction
No. 1 Liberty (-260) vs No. 2 Lynx (+215)
Oddsmakers view the Liberty as heavy favorites in this series, but don’t expect a victory to come easily just because they defeated the Aces in the second round. New York and Minnesota played each other four times this season, with the Lynx winning three — including the Commissioner’s Cup Championship Game.
The Minnesota defense was the story of virtually every contest. The Liberty ranked second in scoring this year (85.6 PPG) and first in offensive rating, but in four meetings with the Lynx, they averaged just 77.8 points per game.
- Find the best bets for each playoff game in our WNBA Prop Bets Today.
New York will need Sabrina Ionescu to be better to win the series. She’s been phenomenal in the postseason thus far, but Minnesota has held her in check, limiting the three-time All-Star to 16.5 points on 34.2% shooting from the field.
Meanwhile, the X factor for Minnesota could be sharpshooting forward Bridget Carleton, who played some of her best basketball against the Liberty this season. She scored 14-plus points in three out of four meetings, including a team-high 23 in the Commissioner’s Cup Championship.
WNBA Finals Prediction: Liberty Win 3-2
New York has already avenged its loss to the Aces, but I get the vibe that this team isn’t done yet. The Liberty have been dominant on both ends of the floor throughout the postseason and have gotten consistent efforts across the board, and they’ll need to maintain that to bring down the Lynx.
WNBA Finals Betting Picks
Liberty Win 3-2 (+300) vs Lynx
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
I touched on Carleton being the X factor for Minnesota, and if New York has an equal, unsung-hero type player who can turn this series around on her own, it’s Leonie Fiebich. The rookie forward is an imposing defender who cherishes taking on difficult assignments.
These teams have equal parts superstars and valuable role players, so I have a hard time seeing this series ending in fewer than five games. I favor the Liberty since they’ll have home-court advantage, and they’ve also been the better team throughout the season. This is much more of a toss-up than the odds imply, though.
I’m expecting a hard-fought series that ends with New York winning in five. This is simply too good a team to lose a series, making this my WNBA bet of the day.
