Kings vs Warriors Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Apr 29, 2023

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors tip off for Game 7 this Sunday afternoon. The series is tied 3-3 and heads back to Golden 1 Center for a winner-take-all matchup.

Who will come out on top? Find out how I see this one going in my Kings vs Warriors Game 7 predictions.

Kings vs Warriors Game 7 Odds

NBA odds used for these best bets are current as of Saturday, April 29, at 7:30 p.m. ET and were found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Moneyline: Warriors (+105) • Kings (-125)
  • Spread: Warriors +1.5 (-110) • Kings -1.5 (-110)
  • Total Points: Over 229.5 (-110) • Under 229.5 (-110)

Kings vs Warriors Game 7 Prediction

Warriors 115, Kings 113

The Warriors are coming off of a demoralizing 19-point loss in Game 6. This was just their ninth home loss of the season.

Now, they’re tasked with playing in Sacramento to advance — and they won just 11 games on the road during the regular season.

Plenty of credit is due to the Kings, as they have fought back every step of the way despite their playoff inexperience. However, the road is likely coming to an end.

The veteran Warriors have been backed into corners before and battled back toward victory. It is more than likely that the 2022 NBA champions find a way to squeeze into the Western Conference Semifinals for a date with LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers.

Kings vs Warriors Game 7 Best Bets

Warriors Moneyline (+105) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Golden State won the most recent matchup in Sacramento by seven points, but that was De’Aaron Fox’s first game playing through a fractured finger. Game 7 will be won by a smaller margin, as the Kings adjusted their lineup in Game 6 to better accommodate the spacing — or lack thereof — before.

With Davion Mitchell and Alex Len taking a backseat to Terence Davis and Trey Lyles, the Kings were the most efficient they’ve been throughout the series from three and defended Golden State better with fewer mismatches.

Nevertheless, the Warriors’ playoff experience does benefit them greatly in a Game 7, especially in the first round. They are almost even money for a reason despite their most recent outing, and that makes this my NBA bet of the day.

Under 229.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

With another break of just one day between games, we should see a lower-scoring matchup once more. This series has provided both teams multiple days of rest between games up until these past few meetings, but with other series now complete and ready to move into the second round there is less downtime.

The Warriors and Kings both operate fast-paced offenses (Warriors No. 1, Kings No. 5) that require plenty of transition scoring to play at their peak levels. With the total dropping by 5.5 points from the Game 6 mark, it is evident the books recognize that we’re likely heading for the Under.

All but one game in this series with at least two days rest for each team has gone over 229.5. Hammer the Under as these teams struggle to land the knockout blow.

Kings vs Warriors Game 6

  • Prediction: Warriors 120, Kings 110
  • Result: Kings 118, Warriors 99

Kings vs Warriors Game 5

  • Prediction: Warriors 115, Kings 112
  • Result: Warriors 123, Kings 116

Kings vs Warriors Game 4

  • Prediction: Warriors 130, Kings 125
  • Result: Warriors 126, Kings 125

Kings vs Warriors Game 3

  • Prediction: Warriors 128, Kings 120
  • Result: Warriors 114, Kings 97

Kings vs Warriors Game 2

  • Prediction: Warriors 130, Kings 125
  • Result: Kings 114, Warriors 106

Kings vs Warriors Game 1

  • Prediction: Kings 120, Warriors 118
  • Result: Kings 126, Warriors 123

Kings vs Warriors Series Preview

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors is arguably the most interesting storyline of any 2023 postseason series. The Sacramento Kings earned their first playoff appearance since 2006 and finished atop a tough Pacific Division.

Meanwhile, the reigning champion Golden State Warriors enter the postseason for the ninth time in 11 years, having won four championships in this span. It’s a classic battle of old/new school in the Bay Area, and we have the perfect Kings vs Warriors series prop bets to make this even more entertaining.

Kings vs Warriors Series Odds

To Win Series: Kings (+220) • Warriors (-275)

The Kings are underdogs in this series despite finishing with four more wins, a better point differential, and net rating. However, Golden State is favored not only due to their playoff experience but the fact that Andrew Wiggins is slated to return to the rotation after missing the past few months due to personal reasons.

Wiggins has blossomed in his time with Golden State, transforming his narrative from borderline bust to integral piece on a championship roster.

NBA odds used for these best bets are current as of Thursday, April 13, at 2:20 p.m. ET and were found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kings vs Warriors Series Prediction

Kings Win 4-3

Despite Golden State coming off yet another title, having significantly more experience, and returning Wiggins to the active roster, the Kings have been too good this year to fade at significant plus-money.

They were the second-best offense in the NBA all season and have a frontcourt mismatch thanks to Domantas Sabonis. Rookie Keegan Murray also grew as the season went along and became a huge 3-and-D asset.

Also, there is no telling how prepared Wiggins will be after missing months of basketball. He could arguably make the team worse while on the floor if not locked in or down a step from the last time we saw him.

Kings vs Warriors Series Best Bets

Series Total Games: Over 5.5 (-165) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

As reflected in this NBA bet of the day, this series projects as a battle despite the Warriors having much more playoff experience and coming in as heavy favorites.

With both teams located in Northern California, just a few dozen miles away from one another, there is no true home-court advantage, and each team’s strength matches the opponent’s weakness.

Sacramento lost the season series 3-1 but rested its starters in that final matchup. There will be a solid back-and-forth no matter how many games the early victor goes up.

Series Leader Total Points: De’Aaron Fox (+300) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

While Stephen Curry led the season series in points by a significant amount, he did play in all four games while Fox merely played in three. When both were in the lineup together, Curry outscored Fox, 107 to 76.

This margin is notable but not insurmountable for Fox who consistently dropped at least 20 points in each of his three outings vs Golden State. On the season, Curry outscored Fox by merely 4.4 points per game.

In a playoff setting, I’d imagine it likely for the Kings to lean on Fox more than ever given his youth while Steph will be leashed outside of a win-or-go-home scenario.

Kings Win in 7 Games (+240) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

The series could come down to Wiggins and how up to game speed he is. Ultimately, I’m expecting Sacramento to advance, pushing it to seven games.


Kev Mahserejian

Kev Mahserejian is an NFL/NBA/MLB analyst at The Game Day, residing in Los Angeles, CA. He graduated from the University of Southern California in 2017 and began creating sports content soon after. Kev currently writes fantasy and betting pieces while also hosting his podcast The Operating Room with various guests from the sports industry to discuss topics primarily regarding fantasy. He also writes for RotoBaller and is quite active on his Twitter @RotoSurgeon.

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