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Kings vs Warriors Prop Bets

Last Updated: Apr 29, 2023

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors will meet this Sunday, April 30, in a Game 7 matchup for the ages. The defending champions blew an opportunity to close the series out at home in six games and now must win on the road if they’re to advance.

This has been a high-scoring series so far, which is perfect for betting player props. With that in mind, let’s take a look at my best Kings vs Warriors prop bets for Game 7.

Kings vs Warriors Game 7 Player Prop Odds

In addition to our prop tips below, find our full lot of NBA playoffs player props below:

Kings vs Warriors Game 7 Player Props

Malik Monk: Over 17.5 Points (-115) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Monk has scored more than 17.5 points in every game at home thus far and played a series-high 32 minutes in Game 6.

With De’Aaron Fox’s finger ailing, Kevin Huerter struggling to make shots, and Davion Mitchell afraid to shoot, Monk has come in off the bench and taken over.

Overall, he is averaging 19.8 points per game in this series, giving him some room for error to still hit this bet. Look for him to have a strong performance and take the Over with your NBA bet of the day.

Jordan Poole: Under 14.5 Points (-125) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Many online blame Poole’s abysmal shooting performance in Game 6 as the reason for Golden State’s loss. While he certainly did not help with a 2-for-11 performance from the field (2-of-4 from the free-throw line), he was just a piece in their demise.

Nonetheless, Steve Kerr has not been afraid to bench Poole and tinker with the lineup. We may see him relegated once more to a limited role like we saw in Game 2, as he is shooting 6-for-23 from the field over the past two games.

Kings vs Warriors Game 7 Team Props

Warriors: Over 114.5 Points (-115) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

The Warriors are averaging 115.2 points per game throughout this series and are coming off of a game in which they shot 37.2% from the field and 71.4% from the free-throw line.

While regression is not as easy to rely on for a single-game outcome, it is fair to say the team’s shooting performance was an outlier given their series thus far.

Golden State has crossed 114.5 points in half of the games played thus far, and given that a higher percentage of their shots come from three-point range, they are more likely than the Kings to hit this Over on just one day’s rest.


Kings vs Warriors Game 6 Props Preview

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors tip off for Game 6 this Friday in what could be the final meeting of their first-round playoff series.

The Warriors are up 3-2 and are returning to Chase Center, where they were most dominant during the regular season.

Can the Dubs close this one out? Read up on our best Kings vs Warriors Game 6 props below.

Kings vs Warriors Game 6 Player Prop Odds

In addition to our prop tips below, find our full lot of NBA playoffs player props below:

Kings vs Warriors Game 6 Player Props

Davion Mitchell: Over 7.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Mitchell has gone Over this point total in three of five games during this series and is averaging 8.8 points per game. While his general usage has been low, he is getting plenty of shot opportunities.

With De’Aaron Fox playing through a fractured finger, Mitchell was called upon more as a scorer last matchup, tying his series high of 10 field goal attempts.

We should see him tasked with a similar workload in Game 6, especially if Fox is dealing with excruciating pain, making this my NBA bet of the day.

De’Aaron Fox: Under 26.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Fox struggled in Game 5 while playing through a finger fracture. He made just 9-of-25 baskets and turned the ball over six times en route to a seven-point defeat.

Although it is unlikely that the Kings limit his minutes in a do-or-die game, they may be inclined to have Fox decrease his shot volume and spread the ball to their healthier players at the moment, especially coming off a 42-minute game with just one full day of rest in between.

Fox has gone Under 26.5 points in three out of five matchups thus far despite averaging 30 points per game.

Kings vs Warriors Game 6 Team Props

Kings: Under 13.5 Threes (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

The Kings are averaging 11.2 threes made per game while only going Over 13.5 once in five games throughout this series. The one game they did go over was with just 14 made threes.

The Kings generally are not a bad shooting team. They averaged the fifth-most made threes per game in the regular season with 13.8.

However, Golden State’s perimeter defense is tough on opposing shooters, as they double-team and close out extremely well thanks to the length and switchability of their frontcourt between Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green, and Kevon Looney.


Kings vs Warriors Game 5 Props Preview

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors tip off for Game 5 this Wednesday. This series is tied up at 2-2 and heads to Golden 1 Center, where the Kings won both games thus far.

With De’Aaron Fox‘s health in question, we could see some inspired performances on Sacramento’s side of the ball. Meanwhile, a strong performance from the Warriors could put them in position to take the series in six games back in Golden State.

Here’s a look at my best prop bets for Kings vs Warriors Game 5.

All odds are current as of Wednesday, April 26, at 12:30 p.m. ET and are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kings vs Warriors Game 5 Player Prop Odds

In addition to our prop tips below, find our full lot of NBA playoffs player props below:

Kings vs Warriors Game 5 Player Props

Kevin Huerter: Over 14.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

A notable trend in games where Fox wasn’t active this season is seeing an uptick in shot attempts for Kevin Huerter. He was occasionally even the leading shooter in several games while attempting at least double-digit field goal attempts in six of eight matchups sans Fox.

While Fox is expected to play tonight, Huerter’s role may grow if backup point guard Davion Mitchell plays extensively or if Fox defers more to limit further damage to his fractured finger, making this my NBA bet of the day.

Klay Thompson: Under 21.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Thompson has gone Under 21.5 points in four of the five games in this series.

He just went Over this total for the first time in Game 4, and by a decent margin with a 26-point outburst. However, Thompson averaged 24.4 points at home and just 19.2 away during the season.

As the Warriors head back to Sacramento, we should see Thompson fall Under this total once more.

Kings vs Warriors Game 5 Team Props

Kings: Under 116.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

The Kings are averaging 115.5 points per game in this series and are taking a massive hit on offense with Fox’s finger fracture. While Fox is expected to play, the Kings may either limit his minutes or see him leave the game entirely if his finger injury is too painful to play through.

Throughout this season, Sacramento experienced a decrease of roughly 13 points when Mitchell started compared to when Fox played. If Mitchell plays substantially, we may be viewing a lower-scoring game than expected thanks to the absence of Sacramento’s leading scorer.


Kings vs Warriors Game 4 Props Preview

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors tip off for Game 4 this Sunday, April 23, at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Sacramento is up 2-1 on Golden State as this series stays at the Chase Center, where the Warriors are 34-8 this season.

This will continue to be a fun series full of scoring thanks to both teams ranking inside the top 10 in offensive efficiency.

Let’s dig into our best prop bets for Game 4.

All odds are current as of Sunday, April 23, at 10:00 a.m. ET and are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kings vs Warriors Game 4 Player Prop Odds

In addition to our prop tips below, find our full lot of NBA playoffs player props below:

Kings vs Warriors Game 4 Player Props

Malik Monk: Under 15.5 Points (-105) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Monk is averaging 18 points per game in this series, but he scored just four on nine shots in Game 3. The result was likely due to a rotation shift for the Warriors that included adding Jordan Poole to the starting lineup.

While Poole is unlikely to remain a starter with Draymond Green returning today, the Warriors should continue keeping him off Monk almost entirely due to the matchup advantage.

Monk averaged just 13.5 points per game throughout the season, making this bet fairly juicy — and my NBA pick of the day.

Klay Thompson: Over 22.5 Points (-125) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

While Thompson has not hit this Over in a single game this series, he does benefit from Green’s return. Thompson is a great shooter and scorer, however, he is best used off the ball with others creating opportunities for him.

Green is one of the best passing bigs of this generation — if not the best — and should set Thompson up for significantly more success than his 5-for-15 shooting performance in Game 3. T

Thompson scored exactly 21 points in Games 1 and 2 on the road and averaged 24.4 points per game at home this season, compared to just 19.2 points on the road.

Kings vs Warriors Game 4 Team Props

Warriors: Over 122.5 Points (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

The Warriors averaged 1.5 more points at home than on the road this season and now come into Game 4 with a roster at full strength and ready to even the series.

They have only gone Over this total once throughout the three games played thus far, but with Green back, the offense can run at full efficiency at home and rely less on non-creators to open the floor.


Kings vs Warriors Game 3 Props Preview

Up 2-0 in the series, the Sacramento Kings will head to San Francisco to potentially take a commanding 3-0 lead over the defending champion Golden State Warriors on Thursday night.

With this being such a high-scoring series, there are naturally many great prop betting opportunities available ahead of Game 3.

Let’s take a look at our best Kings vs Warriors Game 3 prop bets.

All odds are current as of Thursday, April 20, at 3 p.m. ET and are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kings vs Warriors Game 3 Player Prop Odds

In addition to our prop tips below, use our NBA lines to find the best NBA playoffs player props below:

Kings vs Warriors Game 3 Player Props

Domantas Sabonis: Over 13.5 Rebounds (-105) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Sabonis led the league with 12.3 rebounds per game this season. Against the Warriors, he’s averaged 15 rebounds per game, and has hit the Over at 13.5 board in four of five matchups.

With Draymond Green absent, the Warriors will be forced to go extremely small (possibly with wings like Andrew Wiggins or Jonathan Kuminga at the 5) when Kevon Looney is on the bench due to their lack of depth.

Sabonis should feast in those minutes, which will help propel him to hit the Over at this mark. Back the big man to get the job done with your NBA bet of the day.

Kevon Looney: Over 11.5 Rebounds (-125) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Without Green and James Wiseman in the lineup during the regular season, Looney averaged 15.3 rebounds per game. Wiseman was traded in early February, though, and since then, Looney has hit this Over all three times he’s played without Green.

The only caveat for this bet is that Wiggins was not in the lineup either during this span. With that said, he is questionable coming into tonight’s action, and there is wiggle room between the betting line and Looney’s average.

Kings vs Warriors Game 3 Team Props

Warriors: Over 19.5 Three-Pointers (+100) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

The Warriors averaged 16.6 made three-pointers per game this season — the most in the NBA. However, this line is curious, especially with juice at (+100).

While the Warriors have only hit 29 threes total between Games 1 and 2, the expectation is that they play much smaller due tonight due to their lack of forward/center depth and add Donte DiVincenzo into the starting lineup.

Green, who shot 30.5% from deep this season, is likely replaced by DiVincenzo’s 40% clip on 5.3 attempts per game.

This, on top of running Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Wiggins for roughly 40 minutes each should be more than enough to hit at least 20 threes in what projects to be a much faster-paced meeting than Game 2.


Kings vs Warriors Game 2 Props Preview

Saturday’s contest between the Warriors and Kings was a thriller, coming down to the final seconds and delivering an outcome that few expected.

With this looking like it will be a high-scoring series — both teams rank inside of the top 10 in offensive efficiency — there’s plenty of great potential for prop bets.

Let’s take a look at my best Kings vs Warriors prop bets for Game 2.

All odds are current as of Friday, April 17, at 3:00 p.m. ET and are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kings vs Warriors Game 2 Player Prop Odds

In addition to our prop tips below, use our NBA lines to find the best NBA playoffs player props below:

Kings vs Warriors Game 2 Player Props

Domantas Sabonis: Over 18.5 Points (-130) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Sabonis scored 12 points on 17 shots against the Warriors in Game 1, ultimately going Under his scoring total. That will not be the case in Game 2, as he is likely to shoot much better than 29.4% from the field despite the Warriors’ quality interior defense.

Sabonis took the second-most shot attempts of any Kings player during the regular season (11.9 FGA) and recorded 21.3 points per game against Golden State in three meetings. He also averaged 19.1 points throughout the regular season, which is a touch above this line.

Back the big man to have a strong performance with our NBA bet of the day.

Stephen Curry: Over 5.5 Assists (-140) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Curry’s line for Game 1 was set at 6.5 assists, and he finished with two. He averaged just 5.0 assists per game against the Kings during the regular season, but the fact that he logged 6.3 per game on the year means he should hit the Over here as the Warriors rely on him more in Game 2.

It is unlikely we see the Warriors shoot as poorly as they did in Game 1, hitting a mere 32% of their shots from three-point range. Curry is bound to see a spike in usage, whether that be shooting or distributing.

This game could be reminiscent of his 47-point, 8-assist performance from earlier this season against Sacramento.

Kings vs Warriors Game 2 Team Props

Warriors Over 120.5 Points (-115) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Including Game 1, the Warriors are averaging 120.6 points per game through five meetings with the Kings this year. While they did manage to shoot well from the field in Game 1, they could even afford to lose some points on field goal percentage (47.8%) and still crack the Over on this total.

Expect to see some positive regression as Golden State’s three-point shooting rises from the 32% it converted in Game 1 to its season-long average of 38.5%.


Kings vs Warriors Game 1 Props Preview

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors tip off for Game 1 this Saturday. It’s the reigning champs vs the drought-busters in a battle for the Bay.

While this Kings roster may be new to the playoff scene, they did manage to finish ahead of the Warriors en route to winning their division.

Let’s check in on these Kings vs Warriors prop bets for Game 1.

All odds are current as of Friday, April 14, at 2:30 p.m. ET and are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kings vs Warriors Game 1 Player Prop Odds

In addition to our prop tips below, find our full lot of NBA playoffs player props below:

Kings vs Warriors Game 1 Player Props

De’Aaron Fox: OVER 26.5 Points (-125) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Fox averaged 25 points per game this season and 25.3 points per game in his three against Golden State. He only cracked 26.5 points in one of three matchups and even then it was only 28 points.

However, Fox played just 36 minutes maximum in any of those outings.

With this game being a playoff game and not only the first for Sacramento in nearly 20 years but at home to boot, Fox — who is the face of the new generation of contending Kings — will get his shots up to set the tone.

Fox’s likely rapid-fire strategy makes this an easy NBA pick of the day.

Stephen Curry: Under 6.5 Assists (-145) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Curry amassed Over 6.5 assists in just one of four matchups vs the Kings this season. While that alone is not reason enough, the fact that he did not go beyond four in two of three against a full-strength Kings lineup is.

Curry averaged 4.7 assists per game while the Kings played their starters and that is likely due to him commanding a significant portion of the Warriors’ FG attempts.

Curry’s assists-per-game average was higher with Andrew Wiggins on the court this season than off but there is no guarantee that Wiggins plays a full array of minutes in his first game back. Without Wiggins in the second half, Curry averaged six assists per game whereas it was 6.4 prior.

Kings vs Warriors Game 1 Team Props

Warriors UNDER 16.5 Threes Made (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

In the three games Golden State played against full-strength Sacramento, their three-point totals were 14, 14, and 16. All three games went Under this line.

The only warning signal would be Klay Thompson’s improvement as the season went along tying to the fact that Sacramento and Golden State only faced one-another with their starters during the first two months of the season.

The Warriors are the best three-point shooting organization of the past decade but even so, Sacramento is coached by former Warriors’ assistant Mike Brown, who knows them well enough. The Kings will likely funnel the Warriors inside by suffocating the perimeter and attract them to taking shots against a notably weak interior defense thanks to Domantas Sabonis’ presence.

Author

Kev Mahserejian

Kev Mahserejian is an NFL/NBA/MLB analyst at The Game Day, residing in Los Angeles, CA. He graduated from the University of Southern California in 2017 and began creating sports content soon after. Kev currently writes fantasy and betting pieces while also hosting his podcast The Operating Room with various guests from the sports industry to discuss topics primarily regarding fantasy. He also writes for RotoBaller and is quite active on his Twitter @RotoSurgeon.

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