As usual, the NBA Play-In Tournament is delivering another set of incredible games. The No. 10 Warriors (46-36) and No. 9 Kings (46-36) will meet on Tuesday, April 16, at 10:10 p.m. ET. The winner will take on the loser of Lakers-Pelicans for the No. 8 seed, while the other will be eliminated outright.
This is bound to be an exciting contest. After meeting in the first round of last year’s playoffs, Golden State and Sacramento split the 2023-24 season series, with three out of the four games being decided by exactly one point.
The Play-In is an excellent opportunity to get in on postseason action before the full slate begins later this week. Here are our best prop bets for Warriors vs Kings.
Warriors vs Kings Odds
Use our NBA odds to locate the best ways to bet on Warriors vs Kings:
Warriors vs Kings Player Props
Stephen Curry: Over 28.5 Points (-132) @ Kings
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
I couldn’t go without mentioning Stephen Curry, who gave the Kings fits during the 2023 playoffs. He averaged 33.7 points over the seven-game series last year, and during the 2023-24 regular season, he notched 31 points per game across four meetings.
The 36-year-old scored at least 29 points in three of the four, with the lone Under being a 21-point performance that was also one of his worst all-around outings of the season. However, that looks like an outlier compared to his other showings against Sacramento.
Regardless of how the Kings handled him during the regular season, I’ll gladly take the Over at 28.5 points. We’re getting Curry in a single-game playoff, and if we’ve learned anything from his historic career, it’s that he knows how to close things out.
Expect big things out of the former MVP and take the Over with your NBA bet of the day.
Domantas Sabonis: Under 12.5 Rebounds (-104) vs Warriors
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
It may seem counterintuitive to take the Under here — Domantas Sabonis led the league with 13.7 boards per game this season — but aside from an 18-rebound performance in their first matchup on Oct. 27, the 27-year-old struggled on the glass against Golden State.
Sabonis averaged 11.3 rebounds per game across four meetings with the Warriors, with each performance failing to improve upon the one prior. After nabbing 18 boards, Sabonis logged 11, eight, and eight, respectively.
- See our best Lakers vs Pelicans prop bets.
That’s not a coincidence, either. Golden State recorded an NBA-best 46.7 rebounds per game this year thanks to a strong collective effort led by Draymond Green, who logged a team-high 7.2 in 55 appearances.
Sabonis isn’t likely to have as many opportunities against this Warriors front, so combined with the relatively high number, the Under looks like the best bet.
Warriors vs Kings Prop Bets
Kings: Under 110.5 Points (-102) vs Warriors
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Golden State is known for its fast-paced, high-scoring offense, but its impressive 19-10 run after the All-Star break was fueled by a drastically improved defense.
The Warriors allowed 118.2 points over 53 games before the break and 109.6 in the final 29. Opponents were less efficient from three-point range during that span, and they also attempted nearly six fewer free throws per game, which is a crucial component of this prop bet.
Sacramento converted a league-worst 74.5% of its free throws and ranked inside the bottom 10 in attempts per game in 2023-24. Not only will it struggle to get to the line against Golden State — especially in a playoff setting — but it’s likely to have difficulty getting them in, even in front of the home crowd.
The Kings eclipsed this total in three out of four matchups with the Warriors this year, but with both teams improving defensively down the stretch, this one is likely to be lower-scoring than expected.
Warriors: Win By 1-10 Points (+175) @ Kings
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Whichever team wins this game is likely to do so by a slim margin. All four matchups during the regular season were decided by an average margin of just 2.8 points per game, with the most lopsided result coming by eight.
With that said, I have to give the edge to Golden State. The Warriors have been in this position before, and unlike in years past, they played their best basketball on the road this year.
The Dubs went 21-20 at home and 25-16 on the road in 2023-24 and wrapped up the season by winning nine of their last 12 away from Chase Center. Moreover, Steve Kerr’s side posted an NBA-best 27-14 record against the spread in road games.
