Heat vs Hawks Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Apr 11, 2023

The Miami Heat will host the Atlanta Hawks in the first play-in game of the 2023 NBA Play-In Tournament.

The winner of Tuesday’s game will be the seventh seed in the Eastern Conference and earn a first-round matchup with the Boston Celtics. The loser will have to defeat the winner between the Chicago Bulls and Toronto Raptors to claim the conference’s eighth seed and a date with the Milwaukee Bucks.

Here are my Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat best bets.

Heat vs Hawks Odds

NBA odds used for these best bets are current as of Monday, April 10, 2023, at 8:00 a.m. ET and were found at Caesars Sportsbook.

  • Moneyline: Heat (-195) • Hawks (+162)
  • Spread: Heat -4.5 (-1105) • Hawks +4.5 (-110)
  • Total Points: Over 226.5 (-110) • Under 226.5 (-110)

Heat vs Hawks Prediction

Heat 116, Hawks 107

The Heat took three of four regular-season matchups against Atlanta. In the Hawks’ lone victory, the difference was three-point shooting.

Atlanta shot just 28-for-95 (29.5 percent) from downtown in their three losses against the Heat, but 13-for-27 in the game they won.

Read more of our NBA Playoffs betting tips for this series:

I expect Miami to prioritize defending the three-point line, with Trae Young being the focal point.

Young was 3-for-6 from three when the Hawks defeated the Heat, but just 2-for-18 in their three losses. Limiting Young should enable Miami to secure the win in this game.

Heat vs Hawks Best Bets

Heat -4.5 (-110) • Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Betting against the Miami Heat at home has been a fruitful play this season, but the playoffs are a different story, and Playoff Jimmy Butler is about to take the stage. Butler averaged 30.5 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 5.3 assists in Miami’s first-round victory over Atlanta a season ago.

I expect the Heat to get after the Hawks on the perimeter and contest their three-point shots. While my prediction does have this game going Under, my best bet is that they will cover the spread and advance to the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs.


Mick Ciallela

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