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Phillies vs Pirates Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Posted: Aug 26, 2022Last updated: Aug 26, 2022

The Phillies (70-55) will square off against the Pirates (47-77) in Philadelphia on Friday, August 26 at Citizens Bank Park. As we move through the home stretch of the regular season, each of these teams will of course be searching for a win. Be sure to catch first pitch at 7:05 p.m. ET!

This season, the franchises have competed in six contests and the Phillies have claimed victory against their opponents. In their most recent meeting on July 31, 2022, the score was 2-8 in favor of the Pirates. The Phillies had four runs to the Pirates two runs. We’ll see what plays out when it all goes down at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Pirates Prediction

The oddmakers believe that the Phillies have better chances of taking this one. Per FanDuel, they are at -270 odds for victory, while Pittsburgh are +220. Total runs for this contest is predicted to be 9.

The last time they played, the Phillies outplayed the Reds on Thursday, by a 4-0 margin. Led by their top hitter, Alec Bohm, who has a batting average of .288, the team is currently batting .251 so far this season. In terms of defense, the team holds an ERA of 3.74 and a .988 fielding percentage.

In their last game on Wednesday, the Pirates outplayed the Braves by a score of 2-14. So far this season, the team is currently batting .188, thanks in large part to their top hitter, Kevin Newman, who has a batting average of .265. Defensively, they have an ERA of 4.77 and a .981 fielding percentage. Be sure to take a look at our odds analysis and make your choices based on the teams’ recent performances!

Going into this clash, the Phillies are without Hans Crouse (Biceps), Zachary Eflin (Knee), James McArthur (Elbow), Brandon Marsh (Ankle), Seranthony Domínguez (Triceps), Bryce Harper (Thumb), Zachary Wheeler (Forearm), Damon Jones (Shoulder) and Corey Knebel (Lat). Then, the Pirates are without Max Kranick (Elbow), Yerry De Los Santos (Lat), Dillon Peters (Elbow), Canaan Smith-Njigba (Wrist), Colin Holderman (Shoulder), Roberto Pérez (Hamstring), Blake Cederlind (Elbow) and David Bednar (Back).

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-270) at FanDuel

The team is considered the favorite per oddsmakers. In their last confrontation against these opponents, the Pirates got the W 2-8.

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Phillies vs Pirates Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia (-270), Pittsburgh (+220) at FanDuel
  • Run Line: Philadelphia -1.5 (-128), Pittsburgh 1.5 (+106) at FanDuel
  • Over/Under: Under 9 Runs (-105), Over 9 Runs (-115) at FanDuel

View all the top MLB betting odds with our awesome lines comparison feature.

Phillies vs Pirates Betting Trends

  • Win % as favorite: Phillies 0.6%, Pirates 0.13%
  • Win % as underdog: Phillies 0.27%, Pirates 0.48%
  • Win-loss record last 10 games: Philadelphia 6-4, Pittsburgh 2-8

Runline Pick: Phillies -1.5 Runs (-128) at FanDuel

Wager: 1 unit

For our spread pick to win, the Phillies will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order to cover.

Over/Under Pick: Under 9 Total Runs (-105) at FanDuel

Wager: 0.5 units

The Phillies have averaged 5.0 runs per game over their last 10 matches. By comparison, the Pirates have recorded 5.0 runs during the same timeframe.

Author

TGD Computer Picks

The Game Day's staff computer crunches the numbers to create daily bet picks for sports including NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, soccer, and more.

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