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Open Championship Predictions 2024

Last Updated: Jul 15, 2024

The final golf major of the year has arrived.

The 2024 Open Championship will take place this week at Royal Troon Golf Club in Scotland, which last hosted this major championship in 2016. That year, Sweden’s Henrik Stenson outdueled Phil Mickelson over the weekend to win the Claret Jug and set the scoring record at The Open, which still stands today. Stenson finished at 20-under par, three shots ahead of Mickelson and 14 clear of J.B. Holmes, who finished third.

Could rising PGA Tour star Ludvig Aberg follow in his countryman’s footsteps after falling just short at last week’s Scottish Open? Or will a more established name be crowned the Champion Golfer of the Year?

Let’s look at the latest winner odds and make our Open Championship predictions for 2024.

Open Championship Winner Odds 2024

Golf odds are current as of Monday, July 15, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Scottie Scheffler (+450)
  • Rory McIlroy (+750)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1200)
  • Ludvig Aberg (+1400)
  • Collin Morikawa (+1400)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1400)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+2200)
  • Jon Rahm (+2200)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+2500)
  • Viktor Hovland (+3000)
  • Brooks Koepka (+3500)
  • Robert MacIntyre (+3500)
  • Tony Finau (+4000)
  • Tom Kim (+4000)
  • Shane Lowry (+4000)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+4000)
  • Cameron Smith (+4000)

Open Championship Winner Prediction

Collin Morikawa (+1400)

The 2021 Champion Golfer of the Year has missed the cut at the two Open Championships since, but I’m not going to hold that against one of the ten players to win this tournament on their debut.

Morikawa is enjoying a sterling stretch of golf. If you exclude the PGA Tour’s team event in New Orleans, the two-time major champion has finished 16th or better in every tournament since the Masters in April.

That stellar play continued last week in Scotland, where he finished in a tie for fourth at The Renaissance Club. After coming 14th or better at each of the year’s three majors, including top-fives at Augusta and the PGA Championship, it’s easy to see Morikawa being in contention again this weekend.

I’m backing the 27-year-old as one of my best golf bets today.

Open Championship Best Bets

Tyrrell Hatton (+2500)

Hatton is one of the top links golfers in the world, so backing him at The Open is always an enticing option.

The Englishman won the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in 2016 and 2017 and finished runner-up in that Scotland-based event in 2018 and 2021. He also has a strong record at the Open Championship, finishing in the top 20 in three of his last four tries.

Hatton finished T-5 at Royal Troon in 2016 and comes into this year’s event in strong form, having won LIV Golf’s Nashville event in June and backing that up with a third-place finish last week in Andalucia.

The 32-year-old can win regardless of the scoring conditions and weather, making him an intriguing option this week.

Tony Finau (+4000)

Finau could be a popular pick this week thanks to his recent run of form and relatively longer odds.

The 34-year-old American enters The Open on the back of three consecutive top-10 finishes at the Memorial, U.S. Open, and Travelers Championship.

Finau has been consistently solid at the Open Championship, making six of seven cuts and posting two top-10 finishes, including a solo third in 2019. He came T-18 at Royal Troon in 2016 but was inside the top six after each of the first three rounds before shooting a Sunday 74.

It wouldn’t be surprising if he breaks through here.

Open Championship Longshot Bets

Akshay Bhatia (+10000)

The Open Championship has produced longshot winners like Brian Harman last year at Royal Liverpool, so there’s no shame in taking a few stabs down the odds board this week.

Bhatia represents a valuable option as one of the top up-and-coming talents on the PGA Tour. The 22-year-old earned his first victory this season at the Valero Texas Open and enters his Open Championship debut on the back of top-five finishes at the Travelers and Rocket Mortgage.

The sweet-swinging lefty finished T-35 at the Masters and T-16 at the U.S. Open this year, proving he can hang with the game’s best players in major championships.

Although a win this week is unlikely, backing Bhatia’s talent at these long odds is worth a shot.

Matthieu Pavon (+20000)

Pavon has made a name for himself on the PGA Tour this year, earning his first victory at the Farmers Insurance Open in January. Since then, the 31-year-old Frenchman has finished T-12 in his Masters debut and solo fifth at the U.S. Open.

He finished T-6 at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship last year, proving he can compete on links courses when his game is sharp. Based on his results in the majors this year, I think we’ll see a strong showing here.

Author

John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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