Premier League Best Bets Matchweek 21

Last Updated: Jan 23, 2023

Entering Matchweek 21, Manchester City, Manchester United, and Newcastle sit just one point within each other in the top four, while Arsenal sits eight points clear at the top.

The battle for the top six is even tighter, with clubs such as Tottenham, Fulham, Brighton, Brentford, Liverpool, and Chelsea all within five points.

This week several of those teams are featured in our betting picks against clubs in the bottom half of the EPL.

What are the best bets for Matchweek 21 in the Premier League? Read on for my picks and predictions below.

Leicester City vs Brighton Best Bet

Tie or Brighton Win & Over 2.5 Goals (+145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Brighton have secured three points in three of their last four league matches, and five of their previous seven.

In addition, each of the Seagulls’ previous eight matches have ended with more than 2.5 goals (six have produced more than 3.5 goals).

I expect that trend to continue against Leicester City, who has conceded the third-most goals in the Premier League this season (33).

Look for Brighton to earn a result in a high-scoring showdown on the road in our EPL pick of the day.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Best Bet

Newcastle Win to Nil (+190) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Newcastle leads the Premier League in clean sheets this season, having conceded a league-best 11 goals in 19 matches. The Magpies have earned 11 shutouts on their way to a 10-8-1 record.

Meanwhile, Palace has managed to outscore just four other clubs in the EPL. The Eagles have failed to reach the back of the net in four of their five previous games.

Look for Nick Pope to shut down Crystal Palace.

Leeds United vs Brentford Best Bet

Tie or Brentford Win & Over 2.5 Goals (+200) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Leeds United have seen 12 of their 18 Premier League matches produce at least three goals this season, with Over 2.5 goals hitting in seven of their previous eight games.

On the other side, the Bees have seen 11 of their 19 matches produce more than 2.5 goals.

I expect Ivan Toney to find the back of the net against a Leeds side that has conceded 33 goals.

Premier League Matchweek 21 Fixtures

  • Liverpool vs Chelsea (Sat, Jan. 21)
  • Leicester City vs Brighton (Sat, Jan. 21)
  • Southampton vs Aston Villa (Sat, Jan. 21)
  • West Ham vs Everton (Sat, Jan. 21)
  • Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest (Sat, Jan. 21)
  • Crystal Palace vs Newcastle (Sat, Jan. 21)
  • Manchester City vs Wolverhampton (Sun, Jan. 22)
  • Leeds United vs Brentford (Sun, Jan. 22)
  • Arsenal vs Manchester United (Sun, Jan. 22)
  • Fulham vs Tottenham (Mon, Jan. 23)


Matt Williams

Matt Williams is the Lead MLB Editor for The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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