Premier League Best Bets Matchweek 20

Last Updated: Jan 13, 2023

It’s Derby Week in the Premier League. In North London, Tottenham will take on the current head of the table, Arsenal. Meanwhile, the Red Devils and City will face off in the battle for Manchester.

The January transfer window is approaching, so now is the time for clubs to position themselves for an end-of-season run.

What are the best bets for Matchweek 2o in the Premier League? Read on for my picks and predictions below.

Brentford vs Bournemouth Best Bet

Brentford Wins & Over 2.5 Goals (+135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Brentford is undefeated in the Premier League since October, defeating Manchester City and Liverpool during that stretch.

I expect the Bees to dominate the Cherries at home while possibly keeping a clean sheet. However, Brentford usually affords plenty of chances to their opponents, so a Bournemouth goal would not surprise me.

The Cherries have lost every match since domestic football resumed after the World Cup, having lost three EPL fixtures and two cup matches. In addition, Bournemouth has conceded a league-worst 39 goals this season.

This is a mismatch, making it an easy EPL pick of the day.

Newcastle vs Fulham Best Bet

Newcastle Wins & Under 3.5 Goals (+135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Since being promoted back to the Premier League this season, Fulham has been very impressive on the back of their star striker Aleksandar Mitrović.

Unfortunately for the Cottagers, they will travel to Newcastle to take on one of the most complete clubs in English football this season. The Magpies sit just four points behind Manchester City as of Jan. 10 and are in a solid position to finish in the top four.

Newcastle has conceded a league-low 11 goals this season, which should limit the opportunities of Fulham on the road.

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Best Bet

Chelsea or Tie & Under 2.5 Goals (+110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Crystal Palace has lost five out of their last six competitive matches, being held scoreless in four of those fixtures.

Even with the recent struggles for Chelsea, I would expect their defense to limit Palace at Stamford Bridge. That being said, I also do not trust the Blues to reach the back of the net and claim victory in a very winnable match.

For this reason, I am going to combine a Double Chance Chelsea Win or Tie with the Under.

Aston Villa vs Leeds United Best Bet

Over 2.5 Goals (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Aston Villa has struggled to post a clean sheet all season, and it is unlikely that Unai Emery‘s club will start this weekend against Leeds United.

Villa is fresh off an unfortunate loss to Stevenage in the FA Cup, while Leeds was forced into a replay against Cardiff.

Each side carries a goal differential of negative six, having conceded 57 goals between them. In fact, the Whites have allowed an average of nearly two goals per match this season in the Premier League.

With Leeds hovering near the relegation zone, having not won a match since early November, and Villa looking to jump into the top 10, I would expect a high-scoring match for two clubs in desperate need of a victory.

Premier League Matchweek 20 Fixtures

  • Aston Villa vs Leeds United (Fri, Jan. 13)
  • Manchester United vs Manchester City (Sat, Jan. 14)
  • Brighton vs Liverpool (Sat, Jan. 14)
  • Everton vs Southampton (Sat, Jan. 14)
  • Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City (Sat, Jan. 14)
  • Wolverhampton vs West Ham (Sat, Jan. 14)
  • Brentford vs Bournemouth (Sat, Jan. 14)
  • Newcastle vs Fulham (Sun, Jan. 15)
  • Chelsea vs Crystal Palace (Sun, Jan. 15)
  • Tottenham vs Arsenal (Sun, Jan. 15)


Matt Williams

Matt Williams is the Lead MLB Editor for The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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