The 2022 college football National Championship Game is all set. The SEC reigned supreme once again with the Alabama Crimson Tide and Georgia Bulldogs taking care of business (and then some) against the Cincinnati Bearcats and Michigan Wolverines, respectively.
Now, in a rematch of the SEC Championship that saw Alabama dismantle Georgia, will Georgia get their revenge on January 10?
Here, we have a two-leg Same Game Parlay wager that you should keep in mind when you’re ready to wager on this game. Remember, wagering early might allow for better lines and better opportunities to make some money.
Please note that all NCAAF gameday odds and lines are current as of 6 p.m. ET on Friday, January 7.
Alabama vs. Georgia Parlay Bet (+264) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Georgia Bulldogs -2.5 (-110)
- Alabama vs Georgia Point Total: Over 52 (-110)
Wager: 1 Unit
With a line at -110, this could very well get pushed out to a -3 spread soon, so make sure to grab this parlay as soon as possible.
After getting throttled by the Crimson Tide 41-24, you may be wanting to take the Crimson Tide here once again, and I can understand why.
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However, it’s important to keep in mind that the Crimson Tide offensive line played at a level unlike anything we’ve seen this season in that game. Could they repeat? Sure. Is it likely? Well, not so much.
One of those players, guard Emil Ekiyor Jr., left the game against the Bearcats with a shoulder injury and was seen wearing a sling on the sidelines. His status for the National Championship is up in the air. He’s been a consistent performer all year long. According to Pro Football Focus, Ekiyor Jr. has played over 550 pass-blocking snaps and has allowed 18 pressures this season.
Without Ekiyor Jr., a consistent component of this offensive line, and the likelihood that the success against the Bulldogs defensive front which consists of multiple NFL Draft first-round picks, we could see quarterback Bryce Young under duress more than we saw in the first game.
If you recall, during the Bearcats game, they were able to generate pressure on Young. The Crimson Tide were held to just 17 points at halftime, and seven of those came at the end of the half.
A big part of this was the Bearcats excellent pass defense, holding Young to 188 passing yards and picking him off once, but the pass rush did cause many short-yardage plays and make Young roll in and out of the pocket and was uncomfortable.
- Read our full Alabama vs Georgia prediction for the 2022 CFB National Championship.
The problem for the Bearcats was they could not do anything offensively and could not defend the run.
Well, the Bulldogs defend the run quite well and even when they allowed 41 to the Crimson Tide, they still held them to 124 yards on 23 carries. Keep in mind one of those carries was from Young and it was a 39-yard touchdown.
The Bulldogs could not defend the pass whatsoever, but you have to believe that Georgia has a new game plan in place, such as sending a corner to get hands on him and get physical while also having a safety lean toward his side and do their best to bracket him.
Without John Metchie in this one, who caught six passes for 97 yards and a touchdown last time out, the Crimson Tide will then need to turn to the same options they did in his absence against the Bearcats, such as Slade Bolden and Ja’Corey Brooks.
Expect the absence of Metchie and Ekiyor Jr. to be felt in this one for the Crimson Tide.
Alabama vs Georgia Point Total: Over 52 (-110)
Scoring a combined 62 points their last time out, we’ve seen that there can be offense in this game. However, as outlined above, it’s going to be hard to expect the Crimson Tide to put up 40+ in this one.
Even without that, the Bulldogs showed us against the Wolverines that quarterback Stetson Bennett can get rolling on offense, utilizing his legs.
Bennett has his problems, though. In the middle of the third quarter, he had one pass that he threw rolling out of the pocket that fortunately fell in between multiple Wolverines defenders.
With his legs, the running attack for the Bulldogs, and what should be a better play-action offense, the Bulldogs will put up a better effort than 21 points.
It’s worth noting that the Crimson Tide will be without cornerback Josh Jobe in this game and the status for fellow cornerback Jalyn Armour-Davis is unknown after leaving the game against the Bearcats.
If he is unable to go, his replacement, Khyree Jackson, has played just 50 total coverage snaps this season, with 32 of those coming against the Bearcats, per PFF.
Even though the Crimson Tide may have some holes on defense, it’s still going to be impossible to block linebacker Will Anderson. He is going to be a problem they’ll hope to slow down but will not be able to completely neutralize.
This is going to be a different-looking Alabama team and we could see a mini-shootout in this one.
Bulldogs win 31-27.
All stats courtesy of Pro Football Focus (subscription required).