Alabama vs Georgia Predictions & CFB National Championship Odds

Table of Contents

By Kevin Davis

Jan 10, 2022

The 2021 CFP Playoffs are set to conclude with the CFP National Championship game on Monday, January 10, 2022, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana.

In the Cotton Bowl, the Alabama Crimson Tide triumphed over the Cincinnati Bearcats in a 27-6 blowout win. Georgia, meanwhile, easily beat Big Ten champions Michigan 34-11 in the Orange Bowl.

Here are our top 2021 CFP National Championship betting picks and Alabama vs Georgia predictions.

Alabama vs Georgia National Championship Odds

NCAAF gameday odds for the 2022 National Championship Game are current as of Monday, January 10, at noon ET at Caesars Sportsbook.

  • Moneyline: Georgia (-135), Alabama (+115)
  • Spread: Georgia -2.5 (-110), Alabama +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 52 (-110), Under 52 (-110)
  • Implied Totals: Georgia 27.25, Alabama 24.75

Alabama vs Georgia National Championship Prediction

In the SEC Championship game in December, Alabama shocked the world as a six-point underdog against Georgia.

Not only did Alabama win, but they did so convincingly as they won 41-24. UGA by far has the most dominant defense this season as they have only allowed 9.8 points per game. Despite this, the Crimson Tide broke through the Bulldogs’ iron curtain.

Both Georgia and Alabama have 13-1 records and play in the same conference, but stylistically, the two SEC powerhouses are starkly different.


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Alabama’s offense is led by Heisman Trophy winner QB Bryce Young, who despite playing against tough SEC defenses put up strong numbers. Young has 4503 passing yards, a 67.6% completion percentage, 46 passing touchdowns, and only five interceptions.

On defense, Bama has also been strong as they allow only 19.6 points per game which is the 14th-best in the FBS. As a result, Alabama has an average scoring margin of 21.3 points, the third-best in the FBS.

Alabama may win each game by an average of three touchdowns, but Georgia wins each game by an average of four touchdowns. UGA has an average scoring margin of 27.8 points, the best in the country.

Brian Robinson moves Alabama's logo into the National Championship Game on the bracket during the 2021 Cotton Bowl postgame celebration

Even though the Bulldogs have a high average scoring margin based on their defense, their offense is still pretty good. Georgia averages 37.7 points per game which is the 8th-best in the country.

From a betting angle, the CFP National Championship game comes down to how you view both teams’ last two games.

Georgia was favored by six points against Alabama in the SEC championship, yet they lost by 17 points. Then in the CFP Semi-Final game against Michigan, UGA won 34-11 against a dynamic Michigan team as a 7.5 point favorite.

Based on this, Georgia is favored by only 3.5 fewer points in their rematch against Alabama.

Alabama vs Georgia Prediction: Alabama 35, Georgia 24

Going into the season Alabama was the favorite to win the SEC, yet after losing to Texas A&M, Georgia became the favorite. Then Bama won the conference, but the consensus still is that UGA is the best team.

In Alabama’s Semi-Final game against Cincinnati, they easily covered as a 13.5 point favorite, winning 27-6 against a stout Bearcats defense.

Even with Georgia playing better this season, based on Alabama’s recent body of work, the game should be closer to a tossup than Georgia being a slight favorite.

Alabama vs Georgia National Championship Best Bets

Best Bet: Alabama Moneyline (+115) at Caesars (would bet up to +105)

Wager: 0.75 Units

The Alabama/Georgia line hasn’t changed since opening at Georgia by 2.5 points, which is where it will likely stay until kickoff.

Georgia opened as a 7.5-point favorite against Michigan and closed at the same price. Alabama opened as a 13.5-point favorite against Cincinnati and closed at 13 points. Once you have high-profile games where large amounts of money is wagered, the lines are more efficient.

As a result, the timing of when you bet on the CFP National Championship is not as important as the timing for lower-profile regular-season games.

Alabama is a slightly better team than Georgia and they shouldn’t be slight underdogs. The Crimson Tide won the conference and beat Georgia by a large margin in the SEC conference championship game.

UGA’s gameplan is to never let their opponents score, and Alabama has already found a way to break through that gameplan. That is why I like them to win.

moneyline

+115

Alabama Defeats Georgia

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Best Bet: Alabama -6.5 Alt Spread (+245) at Caesars

Wager: 0.75 Units

If Bama beats Georgia it will probably be in another blowout, by at least a touchdown. I love the value here at +240 and would bet anything over +180 on this.

spread

+240

Alabama Covers -6.5 Spread vs Georgia

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Want to add a National Championship parlay ticket? Read our Alabama vs Georgia parlay bet.





Author

By Kevin Davis

Kevin Davis is a Betting Analyst at The Game Day residing in Hoboken, NJ. Previously a Bronx resident, Kevin got his start betting on sports at his local Bronx barbershop. When sports betting was legalized across the river in Jersey, Kevin was there on the ground floor making regular trips to the Hoboken PATH station or for soup dumplings in Fort Lee. Previously, Kevin has written for The Action Network, and Vegas Insider.

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page