Browns vs Packers Predictions Week 16 | NFL Pick of the Day

After COVID-19 upended the NFL schedule in Week 15, hopefully things will improve for Week 16. We have games being Thursday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday, which makes for an interesting week.

One game with playoff implications features the Green Bay Packers hosting the Cleveland Browns on Christmas Day. Let’s break down this matchup and discuss which sides of the spread and total to consider.

Browns vs Packers Prediction

It was a rough week for the Browns, who had their game against the Raiders moved from Saturday to Monday because of an outbreak of COVID-19.

The two extra days didn’t help them much, though, as it didn’t leave enough time for either quarterbacks Baker Mayfield or Case Keenum to be activated from the reserve/COVID-19 list.


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Even with those two out, the Browns almost pulled out the win with Nick Mullens at the helm. Mullens threw for 147 yards and a touchdown, while running back Nick Chubb added a score on the ground. It wasn’t enough, though, with the Raiders kicking the game-winning field goal as time expired.

The Packers played in a close contest of their own in Week 15, pulling out a one-point win over the Ravens in Baltimore. The Ravens scored a touchdown in the final minute but decided to go for two instead of kicking the extra point to try and force overtime. They couldn’t convert the attempt, which helped Aaron Rodgers and company squeak out the victory.

This is a quick turnaround for the Browns, going from playing on Monday to playing again Saturday. They will hopefully get some players back from the COVID list, but with the Packers sporting a 6-0 record at home, it’s going to be difficult for them to earn a victory.

Prediction: Packers 27, Browns 17


Packers vs Browns Best Bets

Best Bet: Packers -7.5 (-105) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Not only are the Packers 6-0 straight up at home this season, but they are 6-0 at Lambeau Field against the spread. They have won each of their last three home games by at least eight points, and they have won five of their six home games by at least that same margin.

The Browns’ quick turnaround from Monday to Saturday might make it difficult to help them get more players activated from the COVID list, although they should at least get one of the duo of Mayfield and Keenum back.

That being said, keeping this game close might be a tall order with how well the Packers have played at home.

spread

-105

Packers Cover -7.5 Spread vs. Browns

CLE @ GB | 12/25, 4:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $39

Best Bet: Under 45.5 Total Points (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

The Browns have been involved in a lot of low-scoring affairs. In three of their last four games, they’ve combined with their opponent to score 30 or fewer points. For the season, they have had six games in which their combined game total was under 40 points.

Even with Rodgers at the helm, the Packers have been involved in several low-scoring games this season. In fact, seven of their games have ended in a combined total of 44 points or fewer. With the expectation that the Browns struggle offensively, the under could be the way to go here.

over-under

-110

Browns @ Packers: UNDER 45.5 Points

CLE @ GB | 12/25, 4:30 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Mike Barner’s season record: 17-25-1 (-10.43 units)

Thank you for reading our NFL Week 16 Packers vs Browns Predictions! For more NFL betting tips, check out our Week 16 Parlay Predictions.

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page