The Kansas City Chiefs (9-4) take on the Los Angeles Chargers (8-5) this Thursday in a pivotal AFC West clash that has significant playoff implications. If the Chargers win, they would move into the driver’s seat for the division lead.
The Chiefs are a different team than the one that lost to the Chargers at home back in Week 3. Kansas City’s defense has made dramatic improvements, allowing only 65 points during the course of their current six-game winning streak. Meanwhile on the Chargers’ side, Justin Herbert has emerged as an MVP candidate.
Let’s dive in to find the best Chiefs vs Chargers prop bets for this primetime showdown.
Please note that all NFL Week 15 odds and lines are current as of 2:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 16.
Chiefs vs Chargers Prop Bets: NFL Week 15 Prop Betting Picks
Chiefs vs Chargers: Under 53.5 Total Points (-110) at Caesars
Chiefs games have gone Under the total in six of their last eight. Not only has the defense been dominant, but the offense has continued to struggle. If we remove their two wins against the Las Vegas Raiders (in which they scored 89 combined points), the Chiefs have only scored a total of 77 points across their other six games.
The Chargers’ offense has been playing really well lately, scoring 35+ points in three of their last four games. Justin Herbert has thrown for nine touchdowns in those three high-scoring performances.
However, I’m betting on the Chiefs’ defense to continue its strong play in this one. Add in the short week and you have a recipe for a lower-scoring game.
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Patrick Mahomes: Under 282.5 Passing Yards (-105) at Caesars
Patrick Mahomes has failed to eclipse this number in nine of 13 games this season. The Chargers are a run-funnel defense, allowing 4.61 yards per carry (T-29th) but 6.9 passing yards per attempt (T-9th).
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We could see the Chiefs rely on the running game a bit more than usual given the Chargers’ struggles against the run. Add in the Chiefs’ offensive struggles and you have a likely Under here.
Austin Ekeler to Score a Touchdown (-124) at Caesars
Austin Ekeler has scored 16 total touchdowns this season. The Chargers have an implied team total of 24.5 points, which indicates that they are projected to score some points in this one.
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Ekeler is used often in the red zone, ranking fifth among running backs with 36 attempts inside the 20. This puts him in a great position to find the end zone on any given week. Ekeler can also score through the air, as he’s one of the best receiving backs in football.
Ekeler has scored a touchdown in 10 of 13 games this season. Bet on it happening again.