Week 14 features a huge matchup between the AFC East playoff-hopeful Buffalo Bills and the reigning Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Buccaneers enter week 14 as winners of three straight and are 9-3 with an undefeated record at home. The Bills have not had the same fortune of late.
The Bills have been alternating wins and losses since Week 5, falling from first to second in the division, leaving them with a 7-5 record.
Let’s dive into the Week 14 prop bets for this potential game of the week candidate.
Please note that all NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of 12:00 p.m. ET on Friday, December 10.
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Bills vs Buccaneers Prop Bets: NFL Week 14 Prop Betting Picks
Leonard Fournette Over 5.5 Total Receptions (+130) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
The Buccaneers’ top running back has gone Over 5.5 receptions in four straight games. I do not see this stopping anytime soon with Antonio Brown under suspension.
Fournette has carved out a role where he’s seen eight or more targets in three of his last four games, despite being the fourth receiving option behind Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski. With the Bills likely focusing on those three names, Fournette should be able to make things happen in the passing game.
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Bet on Fournette going Over 5.5 receptions for the fifth-straight game and win you some money.
Josh Allen Over 290.5 Total Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
I had to do a double-take to be sure that Josh Allen’s over was really 290.5. This is incredibly low for a quarterback coming off a bad loss on the road, and who is now desperate at 7-5.
The Buccaneers also allow more passing yards per game than any other team in the league. Allen may run the ball a lot, but if the Bills want to take down the undefeated-at-home Buccaneers, they will need to attack their biggest weakness.
The Bills may have struggled through the air against the Patriots last week, but the Buccaneers aren’t the Patriots as far as pass defense is concerned.
Give me Allen Over 290.5 for our NFL bet of the day.
Double Result: Buccaneers/Buccaneers (+235) at Caesars
Wager: 1.25 Units
The Buccaneers score more than any team in the first half of games with 16.6 per game. As good as that sounds, they are actually scoring more per half of late, averaging 17 per game over their last three. At home they are averaging 23.6 first-half points per game, which leads the NFL by far.
While Buffalo is eighth on that list with 13.4 first-half points per game, they have absolutely struggled to find points over the last three games, averaging just eight points per half. They average more on the road than at home when it comes to first-half scoring, but I’m going to take the Bucs to lead going into the second half and to win the game outright.
Buccaneers Winning Margin 7-12 Points (+430) at Caesars
Wager: 1.25 Units
I wouldn’t be shocked if the Bills came out and played well enough to keep this game close, giving themselves a chance to win. But even if they lose by a touchdown, this would still clear.
I think the Buccaneers are getting to that part of the season where they are gearing up for playoff time. Even though the Bills are desperate, they are simply unraveling.
The Bucs have the momentum of a three-game winning streak and Buffalo can’t get any sort of consistency (see their winning-every-other-game-since-Week 5 pattern above). If that pattern holds, the Bills would be due for a win here, but I think the Patriots might’ve really rattled Buffalo in Week 13 and I don’t know if they’ll recover.
I will take Tom Brady and company to win this game 34-23, which would cover this winning margin bet.
Thanks for reading our Bills vs Buccaneers Prop Bets! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 14 Prop Bets.