NFL Week 14 Prop Bets | Best NFL Prop Predictions & Picks Today

Everything was going to plan. Then the wind came.

What looked like a dominant week of prop bets was undone when the Bills were unable to do much of anything against the Patriots. It didn’t matter that Mac Jones essentially handed the ball off for three hours. The Pats still won, and I had to “settle” for a 5-3 week.

Oh, what could have been.

Still, we’re on a roll. The only thing that seems to stop us these days are enormous wind gusts. Outside of that, we’ve been consistent.

This week, I have thoughts about Packers-Bears on Sunday Night Football. I’m also eyeing the 49ers vs. the Bengals.

So, let’s do that.

Here are the latest prop bets.

NFL Week 14 Best Prop Bets

Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Francisco 49ers

Welcome to the ‘lick your wounds’ bowl. (I’m sorry I just can’t help myself. It’s bowl season after all.)

Cincinnati couldn’t stop turning it over against the Chargers. The 49ers couldn’t help but allow Seattle’s offense to look functional for the first time in a long time.

Translation: Not great for either.

Joe Burrow’s finger? Also, not great. While it sounds like Burrow will attempt to play through the injury, this doesn’t seem like an optimal situation. Running back Joe Mixon also was banged up last weekend, and his status is worthy of keeping an eye on.

San Francisco, meanwhile, saw its three-game winning streak go up in flames. The 49ers are also dealing with injuries, and star wideout/running back Deebo Samuel could potentially return this week.

We have uncertainty and star power and enormous stakes. Just how we like it.


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Cincinnati Bengals -1 After First Quarter (+140) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit

Playing at home will certainly help. I expect far less mistakes for Cincinnati this week as it continues its rollercoaster year.

prop bet

+140

Bengals to Cover -1 First-Half Point Spread vs 49ers (SF @ CIN, NFL Week 14)

SF @ CIN | 12/12, 1:00 PM ET

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Under 24 First Half Points (-110) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit

The injuries will play a role, as well the lackluster play of both teams. It should be a great game, although I think it starts slow.

prop bet

-110

49ers at Bengals Under 24 First-Half Points Scored (SF @ CIN, NFL Week 14)

SF @ CIN | 12/12, 1:00 PM ET

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Washington Football Team vs. Dallas Cowboys  

It wasn’t always pretty against the Saints, although the Cowboys used a mix of offense—and some defense—to get by Taysom Hill and New Orleans. 

As Ezekiel Elliott continues to run injured, the Cowboys’ offense still has plenty of firepower. There have been blips along the way this year, although the unit has been largely good. And a defense, led by rookie pass rusher Micah Parsons, has thrived.

Washington has somewhat quietly won four games in a row, covering the spread in all four. And despite being without star pass rusher Chase Young, the defense has reemerged. In the last five games, it has allowed 20 points or more only once.

That is likely to change this week, especially on the road. And if that isn’t a tease for what’s coming next, I’m not sure what is.

Dallas Cowboys First-Half Moneyline (-165) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit

Washington beat the Bucs, which is a great win. But close victories over Carolina, Seattle and Las Vegas don’t exactly dazzle. Cowboys start early.

prop bet

-165

Cowboys To Win First Half at Washington (DAL @ WAS, NFL Week 14)

DAL @ WAS | 12/12, 1:00 PM ET

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Dallas Cowboys Over 26.5 Points (-115) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit

Regardless of Elliott, Dak Prescott will still do the heavy lifting. I look for Washington’s defense to regress this week.

prop bet

-115

Cowboys To Score Over 26.5 Total Points (DAL @ WAS, NFL Week 14)

DAL @ WAS | 12/12, 1:00 PM ET

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills

Buffalo, let’s talk about it.

Well, technically I already did in the open, although losing to a team that threw the ball a grand total of three times is somewhat spectacular. Well, not for me. I lost money.

Still, it’s hard not to obsess over the Bill’s loss to the Pats. And yet, it’s easy to look beyond it. Josh Allen is still superb, and he should be much better in reasonable conditions.

Tampa Bay has rallied nicely since dropping the game to Washington, winning three in a row and covering the spread in all three games. Tom Brady isn’t the only vet delivering a superb year. Rob Gronkowski, now healthy, has become a touchdown machine in recent weeks.

While many are likely off the Bills after such a meh showing on Monday night, I think they respond in a big way. Unless there is a big wind.

If that’s the case, all bets are off. Literally.

Over 10 First Quarter Points (+100) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit

I love these QBs, and I think they could both produce early. Both offenses can move the ball fast. And although I like both of these defenses quite a bit, they don’t stand a chance.

prop bet

+100

Bills at Buccaneers Over 10 First-Quarter Points (BUF @ TB, NFL Week 14)

BUF @ TB | 12/12, 4:25 PM ET

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Over 26.5 First Half Points (-115) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit

I’m doubling down on points, and it feels lovely. Sit back, relax and watch the QBs go to work.

prop bet

-115

Bills at Buccaneers Over 26.5 First-Half Points (BUF @ TB, NFL Week 14)

BUF @ TB | 12/12, 4:25 PM ET

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Best NFL Prop Bets Today 

Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

“I still own you.”

Those words, courtesy of the spectacular Aaron Rodgers, emerged during the first installment of Bears-Packers. Rodgers, who indeed owns Chicago, simply hasn’t said the obvious part out loud much.

Last week, Rodgers and the Packers didn’t do or say much of anything. It was a bye week, and it couldn’t come at a better time given the QB’s gimpy toe.

The point spread, nearly two touchdowns, says a lot about how this game might go. And while the Bears finally hit 20 points for the first time in three games, I’m not sure how we can trust this offense on the road against a superior team in pretty much every facet.

QB Justin Fields’ status remains a bit of a mystery, although I’m not sure it matters much. For the Bears to be close, it’s going to require a monumental effort. While football has been weird, this one could very well go as planned.

Green Bay Packers First to Score (-210) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit

This is incredibly chalky, and for that I am sorry. Wait, no I’m not. This is the right play, the smart play and actually decent value at 2/1.

prop bet

-210

Packers First to Score vs Bears (CHI @ GB, NFL Week 14)

CHI @ GB | 12/12, 8:20 PM ET

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Green Bay Packers Over 27.5 Points (-115) at Betway

Wager: 1 Unit 

It’s not just the Packers’ offense. It’s the Bears’ offense, which should give the Packers even more chances. Look for Rodgers to make another statement. Again.

prop bet

-115

Packers To Score Over 26.5 Total Points vs. Bears (CHI @ GB, NFL Week 14)

CHI @ GB | 12/12, 8:20 PM ET

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page