Dolphins vs Jets Predictions Week 11 | NFL Pick of the Day

The Miami Dolphins (3-7) will head to MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (2-7) in this Week 11 AFC East battle.

The Dolphins have disappointed this season and seem to be in the same tier of team as the lowly New York Jets at this point. Miami is currently sporting a -75 point differential on the season, a mark that is only better than three other teams in the AFC. However, the Jets are somehow worse as they hold a -135 point differential, the worst mark in the NFL.

Dolphins head coach Brian Flores has said that he will be sticking with Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback in Week 11, but his job security is at an all-time low. If the Dolphins can’t beat the Jets, expect a change to be made in short order in a variety of ways in Miami.

This game is not a pretty one on paper given the standing of these two teams, but let’s try and see if we can find any value from a betting perspective.

Please note that all NFL gameday odds are current as of 10:00 a.m. ET on Friday, November 19.

Dolphins vs Jets Prediction

Let’s stop beating around the bush here and just say that both of these teams are the NFL equivalent of dumpster fires.

After a 10-6 season last year, the Dolphins have already lost more games this season and it’s only Week 11. Meanwhile, the Jets will likely be picking at the top of the NFL Draft once again.

New York has a spinning wheel at quarterback right now as we have seen Zach Wilson, Mike WhiteJoe Flacco, and Josh Johnson see game action across the past few weeks.


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This week, Jets head coach Robert Saleh has chosen the veteran Flacco to start against Miami, with Wilson (knee) still not quite ready to return from injury and White coming off a four-interception performance last Sunday against the Bills.

On the injury front, the Jets will also still be without second-year left tackle Mekhi Becton and placed corner Brandin Echols (thigh) on IR this week. The loss of Echols weakens a secondary that was already allowing the second most passing yards per game (283.2) in the NFL this season.

All in all, I’m expecting the Dolphins to handle the Jets with relative ease on Sunday, even on the road.

Prediction: Dolphins 30, Jets 21

Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins defense caused all sorts of problems for the Ravens in Week 10 and will now look to build on their best performance of the season when they take on the New York Jets. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Dolphins vs Jets Best Bets

Best Bet: Dolphins -3 (-120) at Caesars

Wager: 1.5 Units

As previously mentioned, I see the Dolphins as the far better team in this matchup and I’m fully expecting them to come out on top. With such a small spread, the moneyline is enticing, but I believe Miami should easily cover this field-goal spread on the road against a battered Jets team.

The Dolphins are not a good team by any means, but I would place the Jets in another tier beneath them. Miami has had a lot of close losses to respectable teams this season, which has me confident in them covering against one of the worst teams in the NFL.

I’m going with the Dolphins in this NFL pick of the day.

spread

-120

Miami Dolphins -3 (MIA @ NYJ, NFL Week 11)

MIA @ NYJ | 11/21, 1:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $37

Best Bet: Over 44.5 Total Points (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1.5 Units

I like the over in this game a decent amount. Neither of these offenses are very good, but neither are the defenses.

The Dolphins are averaging just 19.6 points per game across the last five weeks and are surrendering just 19.6 points per game across that span as well. Meanwhile, the Jets are giving up 40.4 points per game over their last five and that is what keeps me confident in the over.

The Patriots and Falcons, two teams who are not necessarily great offensively, combined for 81 points in a two-game span against the Jets. If Tua can find any semblance of his old self, this over should hit with ease.

The Jets currently sport the worst defense in the league by DVOA, while the Dolphins have the 16th-best unit, placing them in the middle of the pack. Back the Over in this matchup, with the poor defenses being more of a factor than the lackadaisical offenses.

over-under

-110

Total Points Over 44.5 (MIA @ NYJ, NFL Week 11)

MIA @ NYJ | 11/21, 1:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Thanks for reading our Dolphins vs Jets NFL Week 11 Predictions! For more NFL betting tips, check out our Week 11 Best Bets and Week 11 Parlays.

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