Best Commanders Betting Lines 2022
The 2021 season didn’t go so well in Washington. The hope for the newly re-branded Commanders is that things turn around in 2022.
After nearly a full season of Taylor Heinicke, who stepped into the starting role after Ryan Fitzpatrick went down early in the season opener, the Commanders are starting over with Carson Wentz.
Washington acquired the veteran quarterback from Indianapolis in the offseason for a pair of third-round picks. The deal marked the second time in as many years that Wentz was traded, having been dealt to Indianapolis from the Philadelphia Eagles the previous February.
In his lone season with the Colts, Wentz threw for 3,567 yards and had a solid 27:7 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He led Indianapolis to a 9-8 record, but missed out on the postseason after a massively disappointing Week 18 defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars.
With Wentz now leading the Commanders, do Washington’s playoff hopes get stronger? And what are the Commanders’ best bets for this season?
Note: These Commanders futures bet odds are current as of Friday, Sept. 2, at 3:30 p.m. ET at Caesars Sportsbook. You can find more odds at these US betting sites. But be careful, as many of these NFL futures odds might shift as we get closer to the 2022 NFL season.
Commanders Futures Betting Odds
- Win Total: Over 7.5 (-125) / Under 7.5 (+105)
- Make Playoffs: Yes (+158) / No (-190)
- Win NFC East (+575)
- Win NFC Championship (+4000)
- Win Super Bowl 57 (+8000)
🏈 to place any of these Commanders futures bets at Caesars Sportsbook.
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Commanders Super Bowl 57 Odds
Commanders To Win Super Bowl (+8000) at Caesars
The new-look Commanders remain a longshot to win Super Bowl 57. Only nine teams have worse odds than Washington to lift the Lombardi Trophy next year.
The Bills still have the best odds of any team to win the Super Bowl at (+600), and the Buccaneers (+750) are the NFC team with the shortest odds after Tom Brady ended his 40-day retirement and returned to Tampa Bay.
Entering 2021, the Commanders were a trendy dark horse pick to emerge from the NFC East and even win the Super Bowl at 40-1 odds. A lot of that hype was banking on the experience of Fitzpatrick and consistent production from a defense that ranked third in DVOA in 2020 and featured a dominant pass rush.
However, that didn’t end up materializing. 2020 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Chase Young played just nine games and Washington regressed in the secondary as well, dropping back to 27th in DVOA on that side of the ball.
Obviously, the Fitzpatrick solution didn’t pan out for the offense either, which also suffered from injuries to newly-acquired playmaker Curtis Samuel and tight end Logan Thomas. Wentz should benefit from getting those guys back healthy to supplement the offense, which featured heavy doses of Antonio Gibson and Terry McLaurin in 2021.
If the defense can regain its 2020 form, Washington could make a run at the postseason. The Super Bowl seems unlikely, but once you’re in, anything can happen.
Commanders NFC Championship Odds
Commanders To Win NFC Championship (+4000) at Caesars
Caesars lists the Commanders at (+4000) to win the NFC. It may seem weird to hear it, but that’s something a Wentz-led team has done before.
Sure, Nick Foles was technically the one that led the 2017 Eagles to the Super Bowl, but Wentz played at an MVP level that season before tearing his ACL in the game Philadelphia clinched the NFC East. And let’s face it, if you bet the Eagles to win the NFC that offseason, you’re happy you cashed and you were betting on Wentz.
To replicate that feat this season, Washington will have to take down the Buccaneers (+330) and the defending Super Bowl champion Rams (+500), among others. The Packers (+500), 49ers (+700), and Cowboys (+900) are also strong competitors, while even teams like the Eagles (+1100) are further along in their rebuild.
Washington does have a proven coach in Ron Rivera, but he’ll have to work wonders to get this team to win the NFC.
Commanders NFC East Winner Odds
Commanders To Win NFC East Championship (+575) at Caesars
Wentz is heading back to his old division, which also happens to be one of the worst in the NFL. Sure, the Cowboys and Eagles represented the NFC East in the postseason last year, but they also made quick exits on Wild Card Weekend.
Dallas is currently favorite to reclaim the division (+135) in 2022, with Philadelphia (+150) chasing the Cowboys after a strong offseason. There is a sizable gap to Commanders (+575) and the rebuilding Giants (+800), who are expected to struggle once again.
While the Cowboys are the favorite, there hasn’t been a repeat winner of the NFC East since the Eagles won four straight division titles from 2001-2004. At that time, Andy Reid was the best coach to not win a Super Bowl and Donovan McNabb was throwing passes to Terrell Owens.
It’s been a while.
Wentz’s showdowns against his former team will certainly go a long way towards making a push at the division title, and two games against the Cowboys won’t be easy either. Given the volatility of the NFC East in recent years, I think you could make worse bets. I’m just not sure I’m there at this number.
Commanders Make Playoffs Odds
Commanders to Miss Playoffs (-190)
It’s easy to forget that the Commanders won the NFC East just two seasons ago. That team, which relied heavily on its defense, gave Brady and the Buccaneers the most trouble of any opponent that postseason as Tampa Bay went on to win the Super Bowl.
Still, that team also finished the regular season with a 7-9 record, which won’t be good enough in this division anymore. While it’s no AFC West, the Eagles and Cowboys are decent teams that could push the perennial NFC elite.
I think we could see a bounce-back season from Washington, but the playoffs will be a tall order, especially with Chase Young set to miss at least the first four weeks of the season.
Commanders Win Total Bets 2022
Commanders: UNDER 7.5 Wins (+105)
The schedule presents enough opportunities to go Over this number as Washington will face non-divisional opponents that include the Jaguars, Lions, Falcons, Bears, and Texans. Taking care of those games and a pair of matchups against the Giants would leave the Commanders needing just one more win from their remaining schedule.
Still, there are a lot of questions about the defense following their fall from grace last season and I don’t really trust Wentz to get the job done in crunch time, especially after the late-season collapse in Indy. There’s a reason teams keep moving on from him.
The Under is the safer play.
Commanders Prop Bets 2022
Terry McLaurin: UNDER 1,025.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
There’s no doubting McLaurin’s ability as a No. 1 wideout and his role in this offense. The former Ohio State Buckeye has posted back-to-back seasons going Over this number (1,118 yds in 2020 and 1,053 yds in 2021).
Betting the Under is always the way to go on season-long player props as you get additional outs for missed games due to injury, illness, suspension, or whatever the case may be.
There’s also a reason to worry that his target share may drop a little with Samuel returning and Washington drafting Penn State wideout Jahan Dotson in the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft.
How to Bet Commanders Moneylines
The simplest form of NFL bet is a moneyline wager. Betting on a Commanders moneyline means you’re backing Washington to win a specific game, and if they do, you win your bet.
Since not all matchups are created equal, the odds for this type of bet can vary based on each team’s implied probability of winning. Favorites are recognizable by a minus sign in front of their odds (-225), while underdogs are represented by a plus sign (+225).
The Commanders will be favored in a handful of games this season, but Washington will typically fall in the latter category. That does present a better betting opportunity, however, as wagering on a Commanders moneyline at (+225) odds would return $22.50 on a $10 bet.
- 2021 Commanders Moneyline Record: 7-10
How to Bet Commanders Spreads
Against the spread betting is the most efficient way to wager on NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options, regardless of the potential talent differences between two rosters. The spread, which is given a value by the oddsmakers, represents the number of points that the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Commanders are 3-point favorites at home over the rival Giants, the spread for that matchup would look like this: Commanders -3 (-110) vs Giants +3 (-110).
In this scenario, Washington would have to win by at least four points to cover the spread and pay out of your wager. If they win by exactly a field goal, you’d get your money back. If fail to win by at least three points, then you would lose your bet.
Last season, Commanders spreads weren’t particularly profitable. Washington wasn’t always competitive in games, losing six by double digits. I’d expect their ATS record to improve a bit in 2022 with Wentz at the helm and some key pieces returning from injury.
- 2021 Commanders Against the Spread Record: 7-9-1
How to Bet Commanders Over/Unders
A third way of wagering on Washington games this season is by betting Commanders Over/Unders.
Each week, oddsmakers will set the moneyline, spread, and total, the latter of which is the number of points they expect both teams to combine to score. Interested parties can then bet on either the Over or the Under.
Commanders Unders were a profitable venture in 2021, hitting at a 58.8% clip. I think there’s a good chance the Under is successful again this year in Washington’s games, as I don’t think Wentz will light it up and the Commanders’ defense should improve.
- 2021 Commanders Over/Under Record: 7-10