Commanders Futures Odds After Carson Wentz Trade | Super Bowl, NFC, Division Lines
The NFL quarterback carousel continued spinning on Wednesday, as the Indianapolis Colts traded Carson Wentz for a pair of third-round picks, according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter. The two teams will also swap selections in the second round of the 2022 NFL Draft as part of the deal.
This marks the second time in as many years Wentz has been traded. Indianapolis acquired the 29-year-old from the Philadelphia Eagles for a conditional second-round pick (which turned into a first-round selection) last February.
In his lone season with the Colts, Wentz threw for 3,567 yards and had a solid 27:7 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He led Indianapolis to a 9-8 record, but missed out on the postseason after a massively disappointing Week 18 defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Wentz will join a Washington franchise that entered the 2021 campaign with journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick as their starting quarterback. A Week 1 hip injury proved to be season-ending, leaving Taylor Heinicke to start the remaining 16 games.
With Wentz now leading to the Commanders, do Washington’s Super Bowl 57 hopes get stronger? What are the Commanders’ best bets for 2022-2023?
Note: These Commanders futures bet odds are current as of Wednesday, March 9, at 4 p.m. ET. Be careful, as many of these NFL odds might shift as sportsbooks look to adjust after this trade.
Commanders Super Bowl 57 Odds with Wentz
Commanders To Win Super Bowl (+6000) at Caesars
The new-look Commanders remain a longshot to win Super Bowl 57. Only seven teams have longer odds than Washington to lift the Lombardi Trophy next year.
The Bills still have the best odds of any team to win the 2023 Super Bowl at (+750), and the Packers (+1000) are the NFC team with the shortest odds after Aaron Rodgers announced he’d be staying with the franchise.
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Entering 2021, the Commanders were a trendy dark horse pick to emerge from the NFC East and even win the Super Bowl at 40-1 odds.
A lot of that hype was banking on the experience of Fitzpatrick and consistent production from a defense that ranked third in DVOA in 2020 and featured a dominant pass rush.
However, that didn’t end up materializing. 2020 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Chase Young played just nine games and Washington regressed in the secondary as well, dropping back to 27th in DVOA on that side of the ball.
Obviously, the Fitzpatrick solution didn’t pan out for the offense either, which also suffered from injuries to newly-acquired playmaker Curtis Samuel and tight end Logan Thomas.
Wentz should benefit from getting those guys back healthy to supplement the offense, which featured heavy doses of Antonio Gibson and Terry McLaurin in 2021.
While Gibson is no Jonathan Taylor, he’s a talented young running back that can give Washington the offensive balance Wentz needs to succeed.
If the defense can regain its 2020 form, Washington could make a run at the postseason. The Super Bowl seems unlikely, but once you’re in, anything can happen.
Commanders NFC Championship Odds with Wentz
Commanders To Win NFC Championship (+3000) at Caesars
Caesars lists the Commanders at (+3000) to win the NFC. It may seem weird to hear it, but that’s something a Wentz-led team has done before.
Sure, Nick Foles was technically the one that led the 2017 Eagles to the Super Bowl, but Wentz played at an MVP level that season before tearing his ACL in the game Philadelphia clinched the NFC East. And let’s face it, if you bet the Eagles to win the NFC that offseason, you’re happy you cashed and you were betting on Wentz.
To replicate that feat this season, Washington will have to take down the Packers (+400) and the defending Super Bowl champion Rams (+425), among others. The 49ers (+550) and Cowboys (+650) are also strong competitors, while even teams like the Eagles (+1800) are further along in their rebuild.
Washington does have a proven coach in Ron Rivera and could look like a completely different team by the time we get to Week 1. With Wentz at the helm and a number of key players on track to return from injury, Washington could surprise some people next season.
Commanders NFC East Division Odds with Wentz
Commanders To Win NFC East Championship (+500) at Caesars
Wentz is heading back to his old division, which also happens to be one of the worst in the NFL. Sure, the Cowboys and Eagles represented the NFC East in the postseason last year, but they also made quick exits on Wild Card Weekend.
Dallas is currently favorite to reclaim the division (-145) in 2022, with a sizable gap separating the Cowboys from Philadelphia (+340). The Commanders (+500) come in shortly after that, while the rebuilding Giants (+900) are expected to struggle once again.
While the Cowboys are the prohibitive favorite, there hasn’t been a repeat winner of the NFC East since the Eagles won four straight division titles from 2001-2004. At that time, Andy Reid was the best coach to not win a Super Bowl and Donovan McNabb was throwing passes to Terrell Owens.
It’s been a while.
Wentz’s showdowns against his former team will certainly go a long way towards making a push at the division title, and two games against the Cowboys won’t be easy either.
Given the volatility of the NFC East in recent years, I think you could make worse bets.
Commanders Win NFC East
Bet $20, Payout $120
Carson Wentz 2022 Prop Bets
NFL player prop bets are tough to find this early in the offseason and will be provided as soon as they become available, which should be sometime shortly after the NFL Draft.
Wentz (+12500) is a massive longshot to win NFL MVP in his first season with Washington, which isn’t much of a surprise given his and Washington’s disappointing 2021 campaigns.