Notre Dame had arguably the two worst losses of the 2022 FBS college football season and perhaps its best win as well.
The Fighting Irish persevered with a 9-4 record through Marcus Freeman’s turbulent first season. Notre Dame started 0-2, lost starting QB Tyler Buchner in its incomprehensible home loss to Marshall, lost at home to 3-9 Stanford, yet ripped off wins in six of its final seven games including a stunning blowout of fifth-ranked Clemson.
The Irish should be on much more stable ground in 2023 and easily qualify for a bowl game again. They’ll also host some national-championship hopefuls in colossal games that could boost their sights even higher if they can win.
Here’s the 2023 Notre Dame outlook.
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Notre Dame odds used in this report are current as of July 20, 2023 and noon ET, at the sportsbooks cited.
Notre Dame: Win National Championship (+2800)
The Irish have the 11th-shortest odds to win the national championship and will open as a sure-fire top-20 team.
To have a legitimate chance at winning the national title, the Irish will likely need to go 2-1 against Ohio State, USC, and Clemson and run the table otherwise. It’s not an impossible scenario, since ND has a stout defense and an experienced offense, has defeated Clemson twice in the past three seasons, and has not lost to USC in South Bend since 2011.
Yet, most of the Irish’s championship hopes will hinge on Wake Forest transfer quarterback Sam Hartman. ND started slow offensively in 2022 until Drew Pyne took over at QB, then took off by averaging 38.7 points per game over its final seven games.
If the Irish can bring their customary tough defense and add a high-octane offense, the sky is the limit. But even if it gets to the final four, ND has never won a College Football Playoff game in either of its two previous appearances, so keep that in mind before wagering the Irish to win it all.
Find more updated CFB National Championship odds and bets at The Game Day.
Notre Dame Best Prop Bets
Over 9 Wins (+135)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit
If I were betting, I’d wager this pushes, but at these odds, the Over is the play. There’s absolutely nine wins on the ND schedule, even if it loses all three to Ohio State, USC, and Clemson.
The Irish have experience and skill everywhere, even without leading receiver Michael Mayer, who moved on to the NFL. They will likely be 4-0 ahead of their game against Ohio State and should have a relatively easy ACC slate outside of that road trip to Clemson in November.
Consider also that ND is a shoo-in for a bowl as well, where it could easily pick up a 10th victory. I think this will push, at worst, especially when you consider the Irish reached the threshold even with an inexperienced coach and losses to Marshall and Stanford in 2022.
Sam Hartman: Heisman Trophy (+1600)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 units
The Wake Forest transfer will have a serious chance to generate some buzz while playing on national TV every week for the highest-profile football school in the country.
Granted, no ND player has won the Heisman since Tim Brown in 1987 but Hartman will enter the season tied for sixth-shortest odds, with trendy picks Michael Penix Jr. of Washington and Drake Maye of North Carolina.
If Hartman has a big year, and ND is in the national-championship conversation, he’ll almost certainly be in New York as a finalist.
Get the latest Heisman Trophy odds and bets from TGD’s Lance Patton.
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