It is the end of the Big 12 as we know it.
With a number of new faces coming in this season, and Texas and Oklahoma set to move onto the SEC next season, the new era of the Big 12 conference is beginning. Can Texas and Oklahoma overcome everyone’s best shots in their final season?
Find out below with the full odds, and my Big 12 Conference Best Bets (and a fade) for the new look Big 12 conference.
Big 12 Conference CFB Futures Odds
Keep track of the best Big Ten betting lines for the college football season:
CFB odds used to make these predictions were current as of Friday, July 14, and were found at DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Texas +105
- Oklahoma +340
- Kansas State +500
- Texas Tech +12000
- TCU +1600
- Baylor +1800
- TCU +2100
- UCF +3500
- Iowa State +4000
- Kansas +4800
- Oklahoma State +5000
Best Bet To Win Big 12 Conference
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
I love the value on Oklahoma – not only to make the Big 12 Championship but to win it in Year 2 under Brent Venables.
I love quarterback Dillion Gabriel, the running back room is deep and talented, and the offensive line is going to be one of the best in the country with 143 starts returning.
The main area of concern will be the wide receivers, as top weapon Marvin Mims heads to the NFL, but Oklahoma stole highly regarded assistant Emmett Jones from Texas Tech as the wide receiver coach and passing game coordinator.
The issue for Oklahoma – dating back to the Lincoln Riley era and before – has been the defense. Venables is regarded in college football circles as one of the top defensive minds, and this side of the ball should be greatly improved.
Even with only six starters coming back, Venables was able to add a number of key transfers and should have guys that fit his scheme.
In my opinion, at this price, Oklahoma is a steal and my Big 12 Best Bet.
Favorite To Win Big 12 Conference
Texas is the favorite coming into the year, and rightfully so. Quarterback Quinn Ewers is right up near the top of the Heisman Trophy odds and is expected to be vastly improved in Year 2.
The Longhorns will have to replace superstar running back Bijan Robinson, but outside of that everyone on the offense is back and behind a top offensive line, the running game will be fine.
Texas had a top defense unit in the conference last season and return six starters in addition to a ton of key depth pieces.
Texas has consistently been a top preseason contender in the Big 12 but hasn’t been able to break through and win the Big 12 since 2009. Personally, I’m staying away from the hype, at least at this price.
Find the best Big 12 Conference CFB betting sites.
Sleeper Bet To Win Big 12
Texas Tech (+1200)
We saw TCU’s breakthrough last season, and Texas Tech could be in line for a similar breakout in 2023.
The Red Raiders return 17 starters in total, and after injuries in the quarterback room – they had three 1,000-yard passers last season – they should be able to settle with Tyler Shough expected to start the year. The wide receiving core is one of the best in the country led by Jerand Bradley.
The defense has consistently been an issue – finishing seventh in the Big 12 in scoring defense last year – but return all four secondary starters and should be able to stake a step forward in the second year under Tim DeRuyter.
The schedule isn’t easy – highlighted by road trips to Texas and Baylor – but the experience factor is huge and this team could make a run at the Big 12 title game.
Big 12 Team To Fade
TCU was the darling of College Football last season, breaking through with an undefeated regular season, and a win over Michigan in the CFP Semifinal before being trounced by Georiga in the National Championship.
TCU and Sonny Dyles were able to consistently silence haters last year, but I don’t see a recreation this year. They lost quarterback Max Duggan, the top two running backs, the top three wide receivers, and their top two offensive linemen.
The schedule is also far less favorable with trips to Oklahoma, Kansas State, and Texas Tech, as well as Texas and Baylor at home. With the Horned Frogs being extraordinarily lucky with the injury bug and winning a ton of close games last season; they slip back into the middle of the conference this season.