Until early January, Twins fans were ready to head into the new season with a lingering sense of frustration. The team had struck out on any attempts to secure a major impact player in the offseason after coming off a 78-win campaign.
But in a stunning turn of events, Carlos Correa landed back in Minnesota on a six-year contract after his attempts to leave the Twins for the Giants or Mets flamed out. Now the team can take realistic aim at its third AL Central title in four years.
In late January, Minnesota upgraded their starting rotation by acquiring Pablo Lopez in a trade with Miami. The move gives them a better chance of competing for the AL Central title.
The Twins also added power source Joey Gallo and a solid catcher in Christian Vazquez during the offseason.
While the Twins have failed to win 80 games in the past two seasons, last year’s finish was heavily attributed to several key injuries. As noted by MLB.com, Minnesota hired veteran head athletic trainer Nick Paparesta away from Oakland in an effort to hopefully improve the team’s health outlook.
If the Twins can steer clear of any significant player injuries this season, they can contend for the division crown behind a strong infield and a very competitive pitching staff.
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Twins Top Betting Odds 2023
Twins MLB betting odds are current as of March 14th at 12 p.m. EST from Caesars Sportsbook.
- Win World Series: (+4000)
- Win American League pennant: (+2200)
- Win AL Central title: (+240)
- Win Total: Over 83.5 (-115) | Under 83.5 (-115)
The Twins rank 14th in World Series odds, 9th to win the American League pennant, and 3rd in AL Central odds. Their season win total is the 14th-highest in MLB.
Minnesota realistically is not in the running to win the World Series (+4000) or AL Pennant (+2200), as it does not have the star power to compete deep into the postseason with the elite teams in the AL.
There is a path, though, to possibly winning the AL Central. Minnesota is solid enough across the board to make a run at the division title, even if Cleveland looks more formidable on paper/depth chart on your computer or mobile screen.
If the Twins’ key players stay mostly healthy, they should ease past the projected win total.
2023 MLB Futures Odds
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This widget will update with more bets as the offseason progresses.
Twins Futures Bets 2023
Below you’ll find the top Twins futures bets for the 2023 season.
Twins Win Over 83.5 Games (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 2 Units
The Twins’ win total opened at 78.5 but was bumped up after the Lopez trade. The projected win total looks like an achievable mark to clear.
Minnesota ranked 11th in MLB and 17th in runs scored last season, but the lineup is capable of better production, especially with Correa returning. Byron Buxton, a major all-around threat, had a career-high 28 home runs in 92 games, and a healthy Jorge Polanco adds more power as he hit 33 HRs in 2021.
Jose Miranda showed a lot of promise with 15 HRs and 66 RBI in 444 at-bats, and he is now set to take over full-time at third base. The starting pitching has impressive depth and the back of the bullpen looks good with Jhoan Duran and Jorge Lopez anchoring the crew.
Twins To Win AL Central (+240) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
For the Twins to have a true chance of winning the division, they need to have some key guys remain available and effective for much of the season.
Among the starting pitchers, Tyler Mahle could benefit from a move away from Cincinnati ballpark-wise if he works past last season’s persistent shoulder issues, and we will watch Kenta Maeda closely in his return from Tommy John surgery.
The rotation can perform well enough to help spur an AL Central title push, with Lopez now at the top after he pitched 180 innings last season and had a 3.75 ERA with a 3.56 xFIP. Sonny Gray (3.08 ERA, 1.13 WHIP in 2022) is a strong projected No. 2 starter, and Joe Ryan (3.55, 1.10) rounds out a starting staff that also has ample further depth if needed.
If Buxton can play close to a full season for the second time in his career, he could combine with Correa to elevate the team beyond expectations. He is one of the most electric and impactful players in the game when he is on the field.
We also have to wonder what the Twins can get from a healthy Alex Kirilloff. Royce Lewis is a top prospect with good speed who may now be ticketed for the outfield if he can effectively return later in the year from another significant knee injury suffered in 2022.
Twins Player Prop Bets 2023
Byron Buxton To Win AL MVP (+2500) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
If we actually get a full season from Buxton in 2023, he can certainly contend for the AL MVP award. I would be recommending at least one unit on this Buxton wager if he was not such a significant annual health risk.
Buxton had a .303 ISO last season, and he can steal 15 bases over a full season. I would also expect the 30.3 K rate to lower and he has finished with a Hard Hit percentage of over 50.0 last the last two seasons.
It should also be noted that Buxton is a proven Gold Glove outfielder, and his all-around game makes him a viable MVP candidate if he can somehow remain available for most of the regular season.
How to Bet Twins Moneylines
Moneyline bets are a simple way of wagering on MLB games. All you need to do is pick the winner of the game, and you’ll win your bet.
The odds are quite easy to understand, too. For example, if the Twins are a (-200) favorite, you would have to bet $20 to win $10. If they’re a (+200) underdog, you can win $20 off a $10 bet.
These odds will change every day depending upon the Twins’ matchup, so there’s always an opportunity for value every step of the way.
How to Bet Twins Run Line
Run Line betting is another common way to bet on MLB games, and you’re probably already familiar with it. You may know it as how much a team is “picked by" to win.
If the Twins are 1.5 run favorites over the Tigers, the Run Line would look something like this: Cardinals -1.5 (-200) vs Tigers +1.5 (+200).
In this scenario, the Twins would have to win by more than one run to cash your bet.
How to Bet Twins Over/Unders
If you’re unsure about the Twins’ moneyline or run line on a given day, you can still place a bet on the Over/Under — or total — in the matchup.
Sportsbooks will set a line for how many combined runs they project will be scored. From there, you can bet on the Over or Under.
For example, if you believe in the Twins’ offense and think it’ll be a high-scoring game, then you’ll want to take the Over. However, if it’s supposed to be more of a pitcher’s duel, you should go with the Under.