Twins Odds & Predictions | 2022 MLB Playoff Futures & Award Props
@FAmmiranteTFJPosted: Mar 31, 2022
Last updated: Mar 31, 2022
The Minnesota Twins are coming off a disappointing season where they finished with a 73-89 record.
This team came into the year with playoff aspirations, but they ultimately fell short, resulting in a trade deadline fire sale where they dealt away Jose Berrios and Nelson Cruz.
This led many observers to believe that the Twins were headed towards another rebuild, but that hasn’t been the case. Instead, Minnesota traded for Sonny Gray, who shores up the rotation and replaces Berrios.
They also signed star shortstop Carlos Correa, giving them an imposing lineup that features Byron Buxton, Jorge Polanco, and Alex Kirilloff.
While the pitching staff still needs some work, it’s clear that this team still views themselves as playoff contenders.
These offseason improvements will likely help the Twins finish with a much better record this time around. With that in mind, let’s take a look at Minnesota Twins Bets for the 2022 season.
Twins Top Betting Odds 2022
Minnesota Twins MLB betting odds are current as of Thursday, March 31 at 11:30 a.m. ET at Caesars Sportsbook.
- World Series Winners (+5000)
- Win American League pennant (+2500)
- Win American League Central title (+525)
- 2022 Win Total Over/Under: 81.5 (-110)
The Twins have one of the best offenses in baseball. There is power up and down the lineup, with Byron Buxton, Jorge Polanco, Carlos Correa, Miguel Sano, Max Kepler, Gary Sanchez, and Alex Kirilloff capable of hitting 25+ home runs.
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New ace Sonny Gray should benefit after leaving the bandbox that is Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati. They also have intriguing young arms like Bailey Ober and Joe Ryan, both of whom will need to take the next step if the Twins are to make the playoffs.
Taylor Rogers anchors a bullpen that finished with a 4.39 ERA last season (T-20th in MLB). However, there is some hope for improvement, as their 14.5 percent strikeout-to-walk ratio ranked 16th. Reliever Jorge Alcala has some potential, putting up 21 percent K-BB percent last season.
Twins Futures Bets 2022
Over 81.5 Wins (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
While the Twins may not have the pieces to contend for a World Series, they have a chance to put a scare into the Chicago White Sox for the AL Central division.
Having said that, taking the Over on their season win total looks like a prudent play. This team combined to go 137-85 in the 2019 and 2020 seasons, including 101 wins in 2019.
Their offense should score enough runs to put their record above .500. While the pitching is questionable, Joe Ryan and Bailey Ober have nice upside.
We also have to acknowledge that the AL Central is one of the weaker divisions in baseball, with three rebuilding teams in the Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals, and Detroit Tigers.
The Twins have a chance to take advantage of weaker competition, allowing them to sail past this number.
prop bet
-110
Twins OVER 81.5 Wins
Bet $20, Payout $38
Can Minnesota Twins OF Byron Buxton remain healthy for a full season and be contender for the AL MVP in 2022? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)
Twins Player Prop Bets 2022
Byron Buxton to Win AL MVP (+4000) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Byron Buxton is the total package, making him an ideal longshot candidate for AL MVP. The dynamic outfielder slashed .306/.358/.647 with 19 home runs and nine steals in only 254 plate appearances last year.
He plays excellent defense, which helped him finish with 4.2 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) despite playing only 61 games. Compare that to last year’s winner Shohei Ohtani, who posted an 8.1 WAR.
Buxton has struggled with injuries throughout his career, which is reflected in this price. However, if he’s finally able to stay on the field for a full season, he looks as good of a candidate as anyone in the AL.
This makes him a terrific value at +4000 odds for our MLB bet of the day.
Player Prop
+4000
Byron Buxton: To Win 2022 AL MVP
Bet $20, Payout $820
Joe Ryan to Win AL Rookie of the Year (+3000) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
In a short stint last season, Joe Ryan looked impressive, putting up a 30 percent strikeout rate with a 5 percent walk rate in 26.2 innings. You love to see the ability to miss bats paired with elite control.
The Twins will need to rely on the 25-year-old righty to help their thin rotation. After Sonny Gray, it’s riddled with question marks like Ryan, Bailey Ober, and Dylan Bundy.
That means that the team could be a little more lenient with Ryan’s innings, allowing him to go deeper into games. It’s clear they want to win now, so we could see more volume than expected for Ryan.
If he can get to 140 innings, he will be a legit contender to win AL Rookie of the Year. At +3000 odds, this is a terrific price.
Player Prop
+3000
Joe Ryan: Wins 2022 AL ROTY
Bet $20, Payout $620
Luis Arraez to Lead in Hits (+2500) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
Luis Arraez is an elite contact hitter who rarely strikes out, putting up a 10 percent strikeout rate last season. Arraez’s ability to put the bat on the ball makes him a contender to lead the league in hits. This is reflected in his 93.5 percent Zone-Contact rate.
Since he doesn’t strike out or walk much (9 percent rate in 2021), we could see him put up a ton of hits. Arraez has hit .334, .321, and .294 in his three MLB seasons, demonstrating his strong hit tool.
The question here is playing time, as he’ll need to have 550 or more plate appearances to contend for this award. However, it’s firmly in play and worth a look at the +2500 price.
Player Prop
+2500
Luis Arraez: MLB Hits Leader
Bet $20, Payout $520
