The Cincinnati Reds are going to look a bit different than they did a season ago.
Last season, the Reds went 83-79 (third in the NL Central) while having a roster that featured the likes of Joey Votto, Nick Castellanos, Jesse Winker, Eugenio Suarez, Jonathan India, Wade Miley, Sonny Gray, and Luis Castillo. The only three players above that are still with the team entering the 2022 campaign are Votto, India, and Castillo.
Castellanos signed with the Philadelphia Phillies in free agency. Winker and Suarez were traded to the Seattle Mariners. Miley signed with the Chicago Cubs, and Gray was traded to the Minnesota Twins.
Ahead of the upcoming season, there aren’t many expecting Cincinnati to perform well given the outlook of their roster.
Taking all of that into consideration, how should we bet on the Reds in 2022?
Reds Top Betting Odds 2022
Cincinnati Reds MLB betting odds are current as of March 29 at Betway Sportsbook and, where noted, Caesars Sportsbook.
- World Series Winners (+15000)
- Win National League pennant (+7000)
- Win National League Central title (+1700)
- 2022 Win Total Over/Under: 74.5 (-110) – Caesars Sportsbook
The Reds are projected to be one of the worst teams in the MLB this season and that’s reflected in their odds to win the World Series, the NL pennant, and the NL Central. Only four teams have worse odds to win the World Series (same with the NL pennant) and only the Pittsburgh Pirates are expected to perform worse in the NL Central in 2022.
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The current season win total is set at 74.5 for the Reds entering the 2022 season at Caesars. That being said, what bets am I liking — and not liking — for the Reds in 2022?
Reds Futures Bets 2022
I’m all for throwing a dollar on a bet here and there to try and earn a massive payday for the fun of it, but you’d be donating to the sportsbooks if you bet on the Reds to win the World Series. You’d also be burning money wagering on Cincinnati to win the NL pennant or the NL Central this season.
While the Reds are assumed to be a woeful team in 2022, I’m siding with the Under on the season win total.
Under 74.5 wins (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Wager: 1 Unit
Throughout the offseason, the Reds have shown no indication of wanting to be a competitive team this season. Even though they have talented players scattered throughout their roster, their lineup and pitching rotation aren’t doing them any favors in the confidence department. Before winning 75 games in 2019 and 83 games in 2021, Cincinnati won 68 games or fewer in each season from 2015-2018.
Given the moves that the Reds have made thus far — along with the fact that Castillo is expected to miss the start of the season — I envision them winning somewhere around 64-70 games in 2022.
Divisional Trifecta (NL Central): MIL/STL/CIN (+375) at Betway Sportsbook
Wager: 0.5 Units
Over on Betway, there’s a tab that says ‘divisional trifecta’ that allows you to place a wager on the top three teams in each division. Seeing that the Milwaukee Brewers, the St. Louis Cardinals, and the Cubs have the three highest odds to win the NL Central in 2022, they have the highest odds to finish in that order in the division.
But with the Cubs, the Reds, and the Pirates all expected to be among the worst teams in the MLB this season, who is to say that Cincinnati can’t be the best of the worst teams in the division? Even with fewer than 70 wins, the Reds can still finish in third behind the Brewers and the Cardinals in the NL Central, making this a bet worth throwing a few dollars on.
Reds Player Prop Bets 2022
Hunter Greene to win NL Rookie of the Year (+900) at Caesars Sportsbook
Wager: 0.5 Units
The rotation of the Reds could be an absolute mess in 2022, especially with Castillo opening the season on the injured list. Miley is with the Cubs now and Gray is a member of the Twins, making Cincinnati extremely thin at starting pitcher.
With Castillo sidelined, Tyler Mahle and Vladimir Gutierrez are projected to be the team’s first two pitchers in the rotation.
However, Hunter Greene should have every opportunity to become a main fixture in the team’s rotation this season. Greene, a rookie former first-round pick of the Reds from the 2017 amateur draft, is already primed to be the third or fourth pitcher in the rotation right now. Seeing that Greene should get plenty of starts under his belt and the potential he brings to the Reds, he has the fifth-best odds to win NL Rookie of the Year in 2022.
We’ve only seen four pitchers win NL Rookie of the Year since 2004, but Greene can become the fifth if he can produce formidable numbers on a rebuilding team.
Most HRs: Joey Votto (+15000) at Caesars Sportsbook
Wager: 0.25 Units
Votto recalibrated his swing in 2021, resulting in him having a renaissance season, launching 36 HRs (tied for 14th most in the league).
Some people are skeptical that Votto can do the same in 2022 at 38 years old, but I’m siding with old-man strength in this one. We’ve seen Votto hit 36-plus HRs in three seasons throughout his impressive career, and with the designated hitter now being universal in the NL, we could see Votto get a few more PAs in 2022.
While there are players that are better bets to hit the most homers this season, Votto is a decent longshot to wager on even in the latter part of his career.