Red Sox Odds & Predictions | 2022 MLB Playoff Futures & Award Props

Posted: Mar 22, 2022Last updated: Apr 1, 2022

The Boston Red Sox continued their decade-long trend of ups and downs in 2021, improving upon a disastrous 2020 with 92 regular-season wins and a playoff berth last season.

Last year’s campaign was a rollercoaster in and of itself, marked by a sensational first half, a sloppy second half, and postseason fireworks before ending in a sudden collapse against the Houston Astros in the ALCS.

Under the steady hand of Chief Baseball Officer Chaim Bloom, the Red Sox are built to contend in the present as well as the future. They’ve continued to add depth at both the major and minor league levels in an effort to emulate perennial contenders such as the Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay Rays.

While Boston’s patient approach is already paying dividends, will it provide enough firepower for another deep postseason run this year? Let’s explore with some of the best Red Sox futures bets for 2022.

Red Sox Top Betting Odds 2022

Boston Red Sox betting odds are current as of Monday, March 21 at 8 a.m. ET at Caesars Sportsbook.

  • World Series Winners: +1800
  • Win American League pennant: +900
  • Win American League East title: +500
  • 2022 Win Total Over/Under: 85.5 (-110)

Despite falling just two wins shy of a World Series berth last year, there is a sense that Boston overachieved in 2021. Their actual record was four wins better than their expected record based on run differential, and their mediocre second half aligned more with the team’s preseason expectations.

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The Red Sox are expected to be in the postseason mix again, but they still have multiple question marks to address and are not title favorites by any means. The AL East is shaping up to be the toughest division in baseball with four legitimate playoff teams, and Boston currently has the longest odds of any of them to finish first.

While several of their rivals improved this offseason, the Red Sox’s winter was more of a mixed bag. As such, their outlook appears similar to last year — good enough to make the playoffs, but not enough to go all the way.

Red Sox Futures Bets 2022

Red Sox To Win OVER 85.5 Games (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Even if the Red Sox did play a bit over their heads last year, they still have the pieces to surpass 90 wins again.

Boston’s offense should remain one of the best in the league with Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, and J.D. Martinez anchoring the lineup, not to mention newcomer Trevor Story. Chris Sale and Nate Eovaldi will provide a formidable 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation when Sale ultimately returns from injury, while the bullpen appears solid.

The Red Sox have several promising young players capable of providing a boost this year as well, including Tanner Houck, Jarren Duran, Triston Casas, and Jeter Downs. They also have an outstanding manager in Alex Cora, who’s averaged 95 wins per season in his three years at the helm,  along with a savvy front office and one of the highest payrolls in the sport.

Accordingly, Boston is well-positioned to win around 90 games again and compete for a playoff spot, making the Over an easy call here.

Red Sox To Win AL East (+500) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

As mentioned above, the AL East is going to be a scrum this year. Every team except the Baltimore Orioles has a fighting chance to win it and are all closely matched on paper, which means any one of them has a viable path to finish first.

Since the Red Sox have the longest odds of the four contenders, that makes them the best value pick in their division. They finished second last year, after all, and could be even better this year if some of their young talent breaks through and Sale returns to form.

Red Sox To Win AL Pennant (+900) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

After slogging through an ugly second half last year, the Red Sox hit their stride during the postseason, winning six of their first eight playoff games before falling apart against a superior Houston squad. If their bats hadn’t gone cold at the worst possible time, Boston likely would’ve advanced to the World Series.

A big reason for the team’s recent postseason success is Cora, who’s won a World Series as a player, coach, and manager. He’s proven to be remarkably adept at guiding his teams through the playoffs, compiling a 17-8 postseason record as Boston’s manager.

If the Red Sox reach the playoffs, Cora has the acumen to take them deep into October, making this our MLB bet of the day.

Rafael Devers Boston Red Sox 3B

With a little more polish, Boston Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers could be an MVP candidate in 2022. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)

Red Sox Player Prop Bets 2022

Rafael Devers To Win 2022 AL MVP (+2500) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Units

With Mike Trout on the wrong side of 30 and breaking down from injuries over the past few years, the door to the AL MVP Award is wide open.

One player who seems ready to step through that door is Devers, who finished 11th on last year’s ballot and 12th in 2019. Still just 25, Devers has already established himself as one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball with a pair of monster offensive seasons in the past three years.

While he wields a big stick, Devers still has room to grow by improving his defense at the hot corner, making smarter decisions on the bases, and maintaining a more consistent approach at the plate. If he continues to develop under Cora’s tutelage, he could be poised to take his game to new heights in 2022.

Triston Casas To Win 2022 AL Rookie of the Year (+3000) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.25 Units

A former first-round draft pick, Casas is one of the most exciting prospects in Boston’s system and is expected to make his MLB debut at some point this year.

The 22-year-old corner infielder displayed impressive power and plate discipline last year, batting .284/.395/.484 in Double-A and tearing up the Arizona Fall League. While he’ll likely open the season in the minors for additional seasoning, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him make the Opening Day roster if he has a hot spring training.

Casas projects to be a future star and could wind up winning Rookie of the Year honors if he hits the ground running in the majors, making this bet worth a sprinkle.


Tyler Maher

Tyler Maher is a Content Editor for The Game Day, where he edits and writes for the site. Prior to joining The Game Day, he was a fantasy baseball writer and social media editor for A graduate of Tufts University, Tyler is a die-hard Boston sports fan who can't wait for the next duck boat parade.

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