Mariners Odds & Predictions | 2022 MLB Playoff Futures & Award Props

Posted: Mar 31, 2022Last updated: Apr 1, 2022

The Mariners went just 68-94 in 2019 and appeared to still have a ways to go before seriously contending. Yet, by 2021, Seattle managed to win 90 games and was in the playoff mix until the final week of the season.

This offseason, the M’s president of baseball operations, Jerry Dipoto, displayed an aggressive approach befitting a team that believes it’s on the verge of getting to the next level. They made some prudent offseason acquisitions that should give the offense a significant boost, snagging a pair of high-average, left-handed bats in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker, while adding a prolific slugger in Eugenio Suarez.

Dipoto also went right after AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray, giving the Mariners a legitimate ace and No. 1 starter that pushes the ultra-reliable Marco Gonzales to the more fitting No. 2 slot in the rotation.

Factoring in high-upside incumbents such as Ty France and Mitch Haniger, and elite ascendant pieces like Jarred Kelenic, Kyle Lewis and Julio Rodriguez, Scott Servais’ squad has the makeup of a team that could legitimately threaten for the AL pennant.

Mariners Top Betting Odds 2022

Seattle Mariners MLB betting odds are current as of March 31, 2022, at Caesars Sportsbook.

  • World Series Winners (+3500)
  • Win American League pennant (+1800)
  • Win American League West title (+460)
  • 2022 Win Total Over/Under: 84.5 (-110)

With the confidence of that aforementioned 90-win season and their offseason upgrades, the Mariners are a team that could well be set to take another major step forward in 2022. However, given they have to overcome the Astros — one of several formidable obstacles in the AL — just to take the division crown, Seattle undoubtedly has its work cut out.

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Scott Servais’ lineup is overshadowed by the more star-laden Yankees, Blue Jays and Astros, but the Mariners offense could ultimately prove to be significantly underrated.

The Ray-led rotation could also surprise if prized prospect Logan Gilbert continues tapping into his vast potential, and fellow promising young arms Matt Brash and George Kirby can do the same.

Mariners Futures Bets 2022

Mariners: To Win 2022 AL Pennant (+1800) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Much like how the Rays have outmaneuvered powerhouses like the Yankees and Red Sox to win their division and the AL in recent years, the ’22 Mariners could have the talent base to pull off a similar feat.

The Seattle lineup’s combination of power and speed, and their rotation and bullpen, which have the arms to exceed expectations, could prove a winning combination against the AL’s best.

Seattle was an impressive 81-61 last season vs. AL opponents, and held its own against teams like Toronto (4-2), Boston (3-4) and Chicago (3-3). The Mariners were just 8-11 against the Astros and 2-4 versus the Yankees, but they went a sparkling 6-1 against the Rays and were operating with a notably less potent roster than they’ll boast this season.

At this price, the Mariners are worth a roll of the dice to emerge from the AL in today’s MLB bet of the day.

Mariners: To Win 2022 AL West (+460) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

As mentioned, the Mariners had some struggles against the Astros last season, and Houston once again projects as their biggest obstacle to the AL West crown in 2022. However, a year ago, Seattle was an impressive 47-29 in division play, thanks in large part to 15-4, 13-6 and 11-8 marks against the Athletics, Rangers and Angels, respectively. Each of those teams has question marks to contend with again this season.

The A’s have already divested themselves of two major corner-infield bats in Matt Olson and Matt Chapman, and there could certainly be more shedding of payroll as the season unfolds.

The Rangers made a pair of big-name acquisitions in Marcus Semien and Corey Seager, but the team’s perpetual pitching questions persist, despite the arrival of Jon Gray at the head of their rotation.

The Angels, while undoubtedly intriguing with a healthy Mike Trout and Noah Syndergaard providing significant boosts to the Shohei Ohtani-led offense/pitching staff, will still have to prove they’re capable of producing a winning record for the first time since 2015.

Meanwhile, the reigning AL champion Astros are still a force to contend with, but the departure of Carlos Correa plus Lance McCullers’ lingering flexor tendon strain — he hasn’t pitched more than six months since it cropped up in the ALCS — could certainly prove a hindrance to their chances of winning the division again.

Mariners: To Win OVER 84.5 Games (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Simply put, for a team that managed to win 90 games last season without the quartet of key offseason acquisitions mentioned earlier, this total seems particularly low. As already outlined, the Mariners have made an already solid roster even deeper with some prudent offseason shopping, and should definitely be in the mix for a win total in the high 80s, at minimum, barring a disastrous rash of injuries.

Mariners Player Prop Bets 2022

Julio Rodriguez: To Win 2022 AL Rookie of the Year (+550) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Rodriguez is a homegrown talent that could perfectly complement the Mariners’ new additions. It’s very difficult to find any type of appreciable flaw in the precocious 21-year-old’s game, and his .304 average and .925 OPS through nine spring games only serves to support the notion he could be with the big-league club right from the start of the season.

Rodriguez has yet to hit lower than .293 at any minor-league stop, and his work at Double-A Arkansas last season – his highest level of the minors thus far – included a jaw-dropping .362/.461/.546 line, 18 extra-base hits, 16 stolen bases, a 14.1 percent walk rate and a modest 18.0 percent strikeout rate.

While there will be the inevitable growing pains, Rodriguez’s talent and the strong lineup he’ll have around him make him a highly worthwhile consideration at this price.

Robbie Ray: To Lead 2022 MLB in Strikeouts (+800) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Betting on Ray to win back-to-back Cy Youngs will bring you a better price, but those longer odds are warranted given the difficulty of such a feat. However, banking on the left-hander running it back with a second-straight strikeout crown carries a much higher probability that still would pay off handsomely.

Ray is only missing more bats the older he gets, with last season’s 248 Ks being a career high. He recorded 235 Ks back in 2019, and his 11.9 K/9 in the COVID-shortened 2020 campaign was actually higher than last year’s figure (11.5).

There’s no reason to doubt Ray will be mowing down hitters again this season as the ace of the Mariners staff, wielding a fastball and slider that are both reportedly already in top form this spring.

Also, the universal DH will undoubtedly rob his prime NL competition, Zach Wheeler and Jacob deGrom, of some gimme strikeouts they would have enjoyed in the past, boosting Ray’s chances in the process.

Ty France: To Lead 2022 MLB in Hits (+5000) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

France’s name is still not top of mind when it comes to pacesetters in hitting categories, but that could change this season. The 27-year-old may be ready for a breakout after forging a collective .294/.368/.449 line with 209 hits in 805 plate appearances over the last two seasons.

France also lowered his strikeout rate to an impressive 16.3 percent last year, and his 7.1 percent walk rate in each of the last two campaigns underscores the fact he’s not shy about swinging when he’s at the plate.

The idea of France as the hits leader isn’t without support when looking at his prior body of work. His final season in the minors back in 2019 at Triple-A El Paso saw him generate a .399 average and 118 hits in 348 plate appearances while striking out just 14.7 percent of the time.

Meanwhile, his 166 hits in 152 games last season quietly ranked him No. 19 in all of MLB (No. 12 in the AL) and just 29 base knocks behind MLB hits leader Trea Turner.

With more protection in the lineup around him and his proven penchant for consistently putting the ball in play, France has the offensive profile that could carry him to the top of the heap in this category, if he remains healthy.


Juan Carlos Blanco

Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports since 1997 and actively writing about the fantasy sports and sports betting industries since 2015 for multiple websites. He has covered a wide variety of professional sports leagues, including the NFL, MLB, NBA, CFL, Arena Football League, Alliance of American Football, XFL, NPB and KBO. He was the recipient of the FSWA's 2016 Newcomer of the Year award for his work with RotoWire.

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