Giants Odds & Predictions | 2022 MLB Playoff Futures & Award Props
The San Francisco Giants were the surprise team in 2021. They were one of just three teams to win at least 100 games, leading Major League Baseball with 107 wins. They were simply excellent across the board.
According to FanGraphs, the Giants were fifth in weighted runs created plus (108 wRC+), fourth in defensive value, third in ERA (3.44) for starting pitchers, and first in ERA (2.99) for relievers. As a result, per Baseball-Reference, they had the second-best Pythagorean record (103-59) and tied for second in run differential.
San Francisco lost Buster Posey to retirement and Kevin Gausman and Kris Bryant to free agency. However, they’ve added Carlos Rodon and Alex Cobb to the rotation, and they re-signed Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. Thus, they have a high-quality, deep rotation built for the entire post-lockout, 162-game season.
Additionally, they might not be done splashing in the free-agent pool, as San Francisco’s owner Larry Baer has indicated a willingness to spend, per The Athletic’s Andrew Baggarly. The Giants caught fans and opponents off guard last year, but are preparing to stay in the mix this season.
Giants Top Betting Odds 2022
San Francisco Giants betting odds are current as of March 23, 2022 at Caesars Sportsbook.
- World Series Winners (+2500)
- Win National League pennant (+1300)
- Win National League West title (+525)
- 2022 Win Total Over/Under: 85.5 (-110)
Let’s add some context to San Francisco’s season-long betting lines. The lines will have more significance when viewed through the lens of all of MLB.
First, they’re tied for the 12th-best odds to win the World Series. Second, they’re tied for sixth in wagering odds to win the National League pennant.
Third, coincidentally, they have the third-best odds to win the National League West, behind the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres. Finally, the Giants are tied for the 11th-highest Over/Under total for wins, ranking sixth in the National League.
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Giants Futures Bets 2022
Giants To Make Playoffs (-140) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.7 Units
The postseason is expanding from 10 teams in 2021 to 12 in 2022 as part of the new Collective Bargaining Agreement. To appreciate the impact of that change, the Cincinnati Reds would have reached the postseason in 2021 as the sixth team with only 83 wins.
So, if it strikes you as strange that the Giants’ odds are shorter to reach the playoffs than than to hit the Over on their win total, they could have gone Under and made the playoffs last season. I like this bet a pinch better than their Over and am willing to pay the extra juice in today’s MLB bet of the day.
Still, I’m merely a recreational gambler, so the wager amount for all of the Giants futures I like are small. Of course, you can adjust accordingly to the size of your bankroll.
Giants to Make 2022 MLB Playoffs
Bet $20, Payout $34
Giants To Win OVER 85.5 Games (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.55 Units
The Giants won the most games in MLB last year, and they’ve retained most of their integral pieces from 2021. Sure, losing Posey hurts, and Rodon’s shoulder makes him a substantial health risk relative to Gausman. Still, San Francisco has tons of room for regression while still winning at least 86 games and cashing their Over.
In addition, I’m taking Baer’s words at face value about being active and adding to the roster. Last year, they made a big splash at the trade deadline by acquiring Bryant. So, if they’re in the mix, it wouldn’t be surprising for the Giants to follow suit again this year.
Finally, even if regression hits one facet of the club hard, they were a top-five team in offense, defense, and pitching, giving them multiple avenues to eclipse their Over/Under.
I like this bet, and it’s an excellent one to make in conjunction with the previous pick to make the playoffs.
Giants: OVER 85.5 Wins
Bet $20, Payout $38
Giants To Win 2022 World Series (+2500) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.25 Units
I hate to beat a dead horse, but the Giants had the best record in MLB last year. Also, their underlying metrics were excellent. Now, they’re outside the top 10 in odds to win the World Series, tying for the 12th-shortest odds.
Therefore, bettors are sleeping on them, despite San Francisco retaining most of their core and having the means to continue offsetting their offseason losses. I view the analytically-driven Giants as a top-10 team.
There are enough questions around them that they’re rightfully priced behind other elite teams. Still, I’m happy to sprinkle a small bet on them since they appear undervalued and have tasty long odds.
Giants: To Win 2022 World Series
Bet $20, Payout $520
Giants Player Prop Bets 2022
Logan Webb To Win 2022 NL Cy Young (+3000) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.25 Units
Logan Webb is an ascending young talent backed by a top-shelf defense, noteworthy for a pitcher with the highest groundball rate (60.9 GB%) among pitchers with at least 140 innings in 2021.However, he’s not a pitch-to-contact hurler that’s completely reliant on the defense behind him.
Instead, he was tied for 20th out of 68 pitchers with at least 140 innings in strikeout rate (26.5 K%) and 10th in called-strikes plus whiffs percentage (30.9 CSW%).
Webb’s elite ground ball and high-strikeout rate helped him spin a 3.03 ERA that was 13th best in the same group of pitchers, and his ERA estimators were sparkling as well. Finally, he pitched 165.0 innings last year, opening the door for a full workload approaching 200 innings in 2021.
As a result, he’s grossly undervalued, tying for the 10th-best odds to win the National League Cy Young Award.
Logan Webb: To Win 2022 NL Cy Young Award
Bet $20, Payout $620