After four straight years in the playoffs, the Milwaukee Brewers took a step back in 2022.
The Brewers hung with the St. Louis Cardinals for about half the season until the Cardinals took off, and the Brewers cratered. Milwaukee went 29-32 after July 30, and St. Louis closed the season with a 40-21 run over the final two months.
Maybe it was the in-season deal-making that shook up the team’s psyche since the Josh Hader-to-San Diego trade reportedly sent shockwaves through the team’s clubhouse. But the Brewers finished just a game behind the 2022 NL champion Phillies for the last wild-card spot, and that fact has to nag Milwaukee fans everywhere.
It should be a two-team race for the NL Central crown between the Brewers and Cardinals again in 2023. Can Milwaukee get over the hump and win its second divisional crown in three seasons? Or can the Brewers sneak into the playoffs as a wild card and then go on a run?
Here’s a look at the Brewers’ 2023 outlook.
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Brewers Top Betting Odds 2023
Brewers MLB betting odds are current as of March 6, 2023, from Caesars Sportsbook.
- World Series Winners: (+4000)
- Win National League pennant: (+1800)
- Win NL Central title: (+170)
- Win Total: Over 84.5 (-110) | Under 84.5 (-110)
The Brewers were active in the offseason, acquiring William Contreras in a three-team trade with the Braves and A’s and Jesse Winker and Abraham Toro from the Mariners in a trade for Kolten Wong.
The big question for Milwaukee’s offense is whether Christian Yelich can return to MVP form after three straight inexplicably dormant offensive seasons. Yelich carried the Brewers to the postseason as the MVP in 2018 and runner-up to Cody Bellinger in 2019 but is slashing just .242/.357/.387 with just 35 homers between 2020-22.
The Brewers should be competitive with arguably the NL’s best pitcher Corbin Burnes and have a lockdown back end of its bullpen highlighted by closer Devin Williams. Burnes, the 2021 NL Cy Young winner, led the majors in starts (33) and set career highs in wins (12) and innings pitched (202) in 2022, and Williams was an All-Star, pitching to a 1.93 ERA while locking down 15 of 17 save chances.
2023 MLB Futures Odds
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Brewers Futures Bets 2023
Brewers To Win World Series (+4000) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.25 Units
Milwaukee has never represented the National League in the World Series, advancing to its lone Fall Classic in 1982 from the American League East. The Brewers fell just a game shy of the Series in 2018 but haven’t won a postseason series since.
Still, Milwaukee has pieces in place to be a contender from the NL if it all comes together and are well managed by Craig Counsell.
I always say that if you’re a bettor and a fan, you should always put a little money on your team to win its league and/or championship since it adds a tangible victory to the excitement of your team winning it all.
Brewers To Win NL Pennant (+1800) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
The NL is loaded, but the Brewers have the seventh-longest pennant odds, which means sportsbooks think they will be a playoff team in 2023. Could the Brewers shock the titans of the NL like the Dodgers, Mets, and Braves? The Phillies did it in 2022.
With a solid base of starters, including Burns and Brandon Woodruff, who led the Brewers with 13 wins, plus a punchy offense and a bullpen led by Williams, the Brewers have the pieces for a potential deep run.
Brewers Win NL Central (+170) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Brewers have the second-shortest odds of any NL Central team, but the Cardinals have minus-money odds, given their roster and the fact they win the division in 2022.
Milwaukee wouldn’t need to win its division to go on a playoff run. But it certainly could win the division, and the odds are too good to pass up.
Brewers Player Prop Bets 2023
Corbin Burnes Wins NL Cy Young (+500) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Burnes is the co-favorite to win the award for best pitcher, along with reigning AL Cy Young winner Justin Verlander, who signed with the New York Mets in December. Given the fact Burnes finished seventh in award voting last season but won it in 2021, plus with Jacob deGrom in the AL now, he’s as good a bet as any to win his second such award.
Rowdy Tellez Win Home Run Title (+6000) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.25 Units
Tellez has found a home thanks to the full-time DH in Milwaukee and is one of my favorite big-boy batters. He led the Brewers by mashing 35 dingers in 2022, a career-high.
Would it be out of the question to see that total hit 42-48 and for the players ahead of him to have off seasons? The odds are way too good to pass up here, plus Tellez is fun to root for.
How to Bet Brewers Moneylines
Moneyline betting is the simplest way of wagering on MLB games. Simply pick the team that will win and win your wager.
The odds will vary depending on the Brewers’ opponent, pitching matchup and other factors. But if the Brewers are favored to win in a game against the Cubs, the line may look like this: Brewers moneyline (-140) vs Cubs (+115). In that wager it would require a $140 bet on the Brewers to win $100, or a bettor would win $0.71 profit per dollar bet.
- Brewers 2022 Moneyline Record: 86-76
How to Bet Brewers Run Line
Run-line betting is the baseball equivalent to spread betting. Typically the run line will be -1.5 or +1.5, and the odds will vary depending on how lopsided the game expects to be.
Betting the run line is a good way to get more lucrative odds, especially in baseball where games are often decided by two-plus runs. A run-line wager may look like this on a sportsbook: Milwaukee (-1.5, +100) vs Chicago (+1.5, -120).
But be careful when betting run lines because there is inherent risk when a team is playing to win by one run but you need it to win by two-plus to hit your bet.
- Brewers 2022 Run-Line Record: 67-95
How to Bet Brewers Over/Unders
If you’re unsure about whether the Brewers can or will win on a given day but believe the game will be either high or low scoring, you can wager on the totals. Typically in baseball betting, the total is around eight runs, and bettors will determine if there will be over or under that total in a given game.
Over betting is good for when there is an expected slugfest. Under betting is the play when there’s a pitcher’s duel, usually involving Burnes.
The odds on over or under are fairly standard, usually between +100 and -120, so the payout will be consistent.
- Brewers 2022 Over/Under Record: 76-77-9