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Astros Odds & Predictions | 2022 MLB Playoff Futures & Award Props

Posted: Mar 31, 2022Last updated: Apr 1, 2022

The Houston Astros have suffered some highly significant losses in the last six months, both in the World Series and during the offseason.

First, they lost in the Fall Classic for the second time in three years, falling to the Atlanta Braves in six games.

Then, star shortstop Carlos Correa moved on, signing with the Minnesota Twins. He was a homegrown standout who played a key role for Houston after winning AL Rookie of the Year honors in 2015, earning a pair of All-Star selections along with a Gold Glove in the years since.

But no one will be shedding tears for the Astros, especially as the stench of their sign-stealing scandal still lingers. They have reached the American League Championship Series in five consecutive seasons — winning three pennants and a World Series during that time — and appear capable of winning it all again.

Astros Top Betting Odds 2022

Houston Astros MLB betting odds are current as of March 31, 2022, at Caesars Sportsbook.

  • World Series Winners (+1000)
  • Win American League pennant (+450)
  • Win American League West title (-160)
  • 2022 Win Total Over/Under: 91.5 (-110)

Houston has the second-best odds to win the World Series, behind only the Los Angeles Dodgers (+500). They have the best odds to win the American League outright and are also favored to win their fifth AL West title in six seasons.

Even without Correa, the Astros still have one of the best lineups in baseball, especially in the top six spots of their batting order. Jose Altuve remains a prominent producer at the top, while Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are two of the most exciting young offensive forces in MLB.


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A bounce-back season from 2019 AL MVP runner-up Alex Bregman could also help Houston make another deep postseason run. Meanwhile, veterans Michael Brantley and Yuli Gurriel are still essential “glue” hitters despite being well into their 30s.

Former MVP Justin Verlander will be a big key to Houston trying to win its second World Series title in franchise history. The 39-year-old two-time Cy Young winner is making his long-awaited return from Tommy John surgery and will attempt to recapture his better form this season.

The Astros have a promising rotation behind Verlander as well. Framber Valdez had 11 wins in 22 starts with a 3.14 ERA while leading the majors in ground-ball rate last year. Luis Garcia also won 11 games with a 9.7 K/9 and a 3.48 ERA en route to finishing second in last year’s AL Rookie of the Year race, while Jose Urquidy won eight of his 11 decisions with a 3.62 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP.

Given their impressive collection of talent all over the diamond, it’s easy to see why Houston looks poised for more success in 2022.

Astros Futures Bets 2022

Astros To Win World Series (+1000) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Astros would like nothing better than to get Dusty Baker his first World Series ring as a manager. That could happen if Verlander and Lance McCullers Jr. put their injuries behind them and return to form.

The Toronto Blue Jays figure to be Houston’s primary competition in the postseason from the American League. Astros pitchers will likely have to limit a loaded Blue Jays lineup that has added Matt Chapman, then possibly a formidable Dodgers lineup should they advance to the World Series.

That said, Houston’s offense stacks up with anyone’s, their rotation is solid even with McCullers sidelined, and Ryan Pressly is an effective closer who should lock the door in big moments. That’s why we’re picking the Astros to go all the way for our MLB bet of the day.

Justin Verlander Houston Astros SP

Much of the Houston Astros’ 2022 World Series hopes depend on the health and performance of SP Justin Verlander. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Astros To Win AL Pennant (+450) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1.5 Units

It almost seems inevitable that Houston will get to the ALCS again; it’s just a matter of who will face them. An Astros-Blue Jays showdown is the top preseason projection, but the Yankees could improve closer to the trade deadline. The Rays and White Sox should be in the mix, too.

Once again, though, Houston looks like the team to beat. Almost everyone on the roster has postseason experience, which should take them far in October. This is also a veteran, balanced team that can beat you with both hitting and pitching.

On paper, the Astros match up well with any of the other top teams in MLB, especially if their starting pitching holds up. Houston’s potential for a sustained championship drive is evident, but the starters beyond Verlander must deliver when it counts.

Astros To Win OVER 91.5 Games (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 3 Units

This wager, and also the one for Houston to win the AL West at (-160), both look like strong bets, but the odds are better here. Given the Astros’ depth, losing Correa shouldn’t prevent them from soaring over 90 victories again, especially if talented rookie shortstop Jeremy Pena steps up in his absence.

Houston has won at least 95 games in each of the last four full seasons, topping the century mark three times. They have a proven lineup and a manager with tons of winning experience, positioning them for continued regular-season success in 2022.

Astros Player Prop Bets 2022

Yordan Alvarez OVER 38.5 Home Runs (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

With Alvarez turning 25 in June, it’s possible we haven’t seen the best of him yet, so it’s certainly worth wagering on the Over here.

Alvarez mashed 33 home runs in 144 games last season. His .253 ISO ranked 20th among MLB hitters who qualified for the batting title, just behind Aaron Judge (39 homers), Pete Alonso (37 homers), Rafael Devers (38 homers), and Joey Gallo (38 homers).

Alvarez is also at (+1800) on BetMGM to lead MLB in home runs this year. That’s another wager worth considering, although it’s more daring than betting on this prop.

Kyle Tucker OVER 157.5 Hits (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

With 149 hits in 140 games last season, Tucker didn’t miss his projected number for 2022 by much. It’s also fair to expect some improvement from him as he enters his age-25 season.

Tucker is a tough out, as his 15.9% strikeout rate ranked in the top 30 for all qualified hitters last year. Meanwhile, his 47.0% hard-hit rate ranked 26th according to Statcast.

So while Tucker hit .294 last season, his expected batting average was even better at .307. Accordingly, better luck and/or minor strides to some of his advanced stats, such as his 11.6% barrel rate, will easily boost him past the Over on this number.

Author

Scott Engel

Scott Engel is a Web Content Creator at The Game Day. Previously he was at SportsLine.com and The Athletic. His work is also featured at RotoBaller and on Seahawks.com. Scott is a host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. He is an inaugural member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Scott is a four-time FSWA award winner and 10-time finalist. He was an Associate Editor and featured writer at ESPN.com. and his career began at CBS SportsLine, where he was a Senior Writer and Managing Editor. Scott was the Managing Director at RotoExperts.

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