NFL Week 14 Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Dec 19, 2022

Week 14 has another loaded NFL betting slate chock full of games with playoff implications.

While this 13-game slate only features two games where both teams have a winning record, this is a prime chance for some of the inferior teams around the league to play spoiler to their superior foes.

Last week, I had my best NFL best bets record of the year, going 4-1 and up a much-needed four units. Can this begin a heater to finish the year strong? It’s time to find out.

Anthony Cervino’s 2022 NFL Best Bets Record: 31-43 (-14.5 Units)

All NFL odds and lines are current as of 1 p.m. ET, on Tuesday, Dec 6.

Week 14 Best Bet: Vikings vs Lions

Over 53 Points (-107) at PointsBet Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

This Vikings vs Lions matchup features two of the best offenses in the NFL, along with questionable defensive units. Minnesota’s offense is ranked 11th in scoring while the Lions are ranked sixth.

Meanwhile, both defenses are ranked in the bottom 12 in scoring, with Detroit ranking dead last.

On the year, the Over is 7-5 in Vikings games while the Over is 8-4 in Lions games.

The Over is also 4-1 in the past five meetings between these two teams overall while going 4-1 in the past five Vikings-Lions matchups in Detroit.

Week 14 Best Bet: Chiefs vs Broncos

Chiefs -9 (-107) at PointsBet Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Chiefs are coming off of a loss to the Bengals last week and are out for revenge. The good thing is that they get the Broncos in Week 14.

Normally, the Broncos play the Chiefs close at home. They covered the NFL point spread in two of their past three meetings with the Chiefs, one of which was in Denver.

However, this is a much different Broncos team with Russell Wilson under center. Somehow, they managed to get worse.

Historically speaking, when the Chiefs cover against the Broncos, they cover by a wide margin. In the past four games that Kansas City has covered the spread against the Broncos, they have won by at least 13 points.

Keep up with all of our NFL lines for Week 14 and beyond:

Week 14 Best Bet: Dolphins vs Chargers

Over 52.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

This Dolphins vs Chargers matchup is another game on the slate featuring a pair of high-octane offenses. The Dolphins are the sixth-best scoring offense. The Chargers are 14th, but can pop in the right matchup.

The Dolphins present the right matchup since their defense is ranked 25th in scoring. Meanwhile, the Chargers’ defense is not much better — they’re ranked 30th.

If we connect the dots, we should expect an abundance of points in Los Angeles on Sunday.

When it comes to NFL totals betting, the Over is 4-1 in the past five games the Dolphins have played while the Over is 2-1 in the past three Chargers’ games.

Furthermore, the Over is 4-0 in the past four Dolphins’ road games and 5-1 in the past six games the Chargers have faced a team with a winning record.

These trends are hard to ignore.

Week 14 Best Bet: Jaguars vs Titans

Titans -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

When it comes to the Jaguars vs Titans rivalry, it is one that the latter has dominated with NFL moneyline betting. The Titans have won nine of their past 10 games, including five in a row, against the Jaguars.

Tennessee’s dominance over the Jaguars has also trickled into NFL points spread betting. The Titans have covered in eight of their past 10 games against the Jags, covering the spread in each of their past three meetings.

While both teams got blown out by their respective NFC opponents last week, the Titans are still the superior team with control of the AFC South in their own hands. They can begin to put it out of reach with a win in Week 14.

The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings between the Jaguars and Titans, while Jacksonville is 0-3-1 ATS in their past four road games overall.

Week 14 Best Bet: Panthers vs Seahawks

Seahawks -3.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Seahawks are one game behind the 49ers, who just lost their quarterback for the year. Translation: The Seahawks know they must win games to catch up to the 49ers and keep the NFC West within reach.

Getting the Panthers in Week 14, the Seahawks should be able to win and cover the spread at home where their defense plays much better than in road games.

While the Panthers are no pushover, covering the spread in five of their past six games, this should be a spot where the Seattle offense blows the game open and puts it out of reach.

The Panthers will not have an answer if the Seahawks’ offense gets going.

The Panthers are 1-4 in their past five meetings in Seattle, a trend that will continue into Week 14.


Anthony Cervino

Anthony Cervino is an NFL Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day. He is also a lifelong NFL savant and self-proclaimed league historian. In the industry, Anthony has excelled in both the fantasy football and sports betting space with fantasy his proverbial bread and butter. Anthony has made appearances on SiriusXM, amongst other publications. He is also the co-creator of the FF Faceoff (Faceoff Sports Network) and the FF Faceoff Mental Health Podathon partnered with the Hayden Hurst Foundation. Industry Clout: 15th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for both draft and in-season accuracy (2019) | 8th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for sleepers (2020) | 13th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for in-season accuracy, including 2nd at quarterback and 3rd at tight end (2021).

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