Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season will give us one of the most-meaningful NFL betting slates of the year. This is because it features six games where both teams have a winning record.
With the NFL Playoffs picture beginning to take shape, this betting slate could have a significant impact on how things will look come the season’s end.
One of the worst parts of this job is being on a bad losing streak. Personally, I am in the midst of a historically bad season. While I had hope for last week, Week 12 was a slate full of backdoor covers and bad beats. Still, we must keep going since something has to give, right?
Anthony Cervino’s 2022 NFL Best Bets Record: 27-42 (-18.5 Units)
All NFL odds and lines are current as of 1 p.m. ET, on Tuesday, Nov. 29, at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Week 13 Best Bet: Jets vs Vikings
Vikings -3 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Despite being exposed by the Cowboys two weeks ago, the Vikings have bounced back with an impressive shootout win over the Patriots on Thanksgiving. And while you wouldn’t think it, they will be tested by the Jets on Sunday, a team that keeps winning despite massive holes at running back and quarterback.
However, Week 13 against the Vikings could be a letdown spot for New York. While Mike White played well last week against the Bears, the Vikings will be a tougher out.
Sure, we know that you can throw on the Vikings, but they are also opportunistic as they are fifth in the NFL with 16 takeaways. Keep in mind that the bad White showed up against the Bills last season where he threw four picks.
White may be an upgrade over Zach Wilson, but he is still a work in progress, especially in big games.
On the other side, the Vikings could have trouble moving the ball on one of the best defenses in the NFL. We thought that last week too against the Pats and Justin Jefferson proved to be too much.
This game could be close early, but if it turns into a blow-for-blow shootout, I trust 1 p.m. Kirk Cousins and his loaded arsenal of weapons to get the job done and cover the -3 when it is all said and done.
The Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six games overall.
Week 13 Best Bet: Titans vs Eagles
Over 44.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
When it comes to NFL over-under betting, the Eagles and Titans are vastly different. While the Under is 8-3 in 11 games the Titans have played this season, the Over is 7-4 in 11 Eagles’ games.
However, I like the Over in this spot because the Eagles are beginning to show wear and tear defensively. While you can run on them, you can now also throw, which bodes well for Over-Under betting everywhere.
One of the reasons why you can now pass on the Philadelphia secondary correlates with recent injuries to Avonte Maddox (hamstring) and Chauncey Gardner-Johnson (kidney), two significant holes on the back end of the Eagles’ defense.
With Ryan Tannehill beginning to heat up as a passer following a slow start to the year, we could see Treylon Burks, who has been emerging in recent weeks, put together another strong showing.
We know the Eagles will do their part offensively, but hitting this Over will come down to which Titans’ offense shows up. They dropped 27 on the Packers two weeks ago.
If they can score in the 20s against the Eagles, this Over will be cashed.
The Over is 10-1 in the past 11 games the Eagles have played at home. I am following that trend in Week 13.
Keep up with all of our NFL lines for Week 13 and beyond:
Week 13 Best Bet: Packers vs Bears
Packers Moneyline (-154) at FanDuel Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
This season has not gone according to plan for the Bears or the Packers. However, we know that we did not expect this type of fall-off from Green Bay if any at all.
As of this writing, the starting quarterback spot on both sides is in question. While Justin Fields is still up in the air with his shoulder injury, Aaron Rodgers is undergoing further testing on his ribs.
We do know that if Rodgers is able, he will be out there, which spells disaster for Chicago.
No matter how bad things could be for Rodgers and the Packers, they both do two things really well, which are beating the Cowboys and the Bears. In fact, the Packers have won nine of their past 10 against the Bears, including seven straight.
Even if we do see Jordan Love draw the start, the Packers have more firepower to move the football on an inept Bears defense that made Mike White look like Joe Namath on them last week. What’s more, Chicago’s already light wide receiver room took a blow after Darnell Mooney suffered a season-ending ankle injury last week.
While the Packers have covered the NFL point spread in each of their past seven games against the Bears, the NFL moneyline is the safer play despite the juice.
Week 13 Best Bet: Dolphins vs 49ers
Dolphins +3.5 (-104) at FanDuel Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
All eyes will be on the Dolphins vs 49ers for so many reasons. While it is a revenge game for Mike McDaniel, Jeff Wilson, and Raheem Mostert, this is a significant test for both sides.
The Dolphins look for real, but the 49ers will provide their most legitimate test since defeating the Bills in September. Miami’s five-game winning streak has come at the hands of teams with losing records.
Meanwhile, the 49ers have won four in a row with only one win over a team with a winning mark.
Both teams will enter this game with injury question marks. Last week, the Dolphins lost Terron Armstead to a torn pec - he is day-to-day - while the 49ers took a blow to their backfield.
Elijah Mitchell is dealing with an injured MCL and will miss the next 6 to 8 games while Christian McCaffrey is day-to-day with a knee issue.
Although the 49ers field one of the best defenses in the NFL, we know two things: 1. McDaniel is very familiar with the 49ers’ defense from his long tenure with the team. 2. The Dolphins have enough weapons to blow anyone out of the water.
If this game turns into a shootout, I will lean on the side of the Dolphins to cover or win outright.
Week 13 Best Bet: Chiefs vs Bengals
Bengals +3.5 (-146) at FanDuel Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
I am taking an alternate line in the Chiefs vs Bengals matchup. Yes, I will pay the juice, but it is the safest bet to make since it covers you if Cincinnati wins outright or if the Chiefs win by fewer than three points.
The main line is at +2.5, which is cutting it close.
While I do believe the Bengals will win this game outright, it will not be an easy task for the Cardiac Cats to defeat the Chiefs for a third straight time. This game will likely come down to the team with the ball in their hands last.
Although the Bengals have been dealing with injuries, they will enter this matchup on a three-game winning streak and could get some help in the expected return of Ja’Marr Chase, who did a number on the Chiefs last season.
With a loaded arsenal of pass-catchers, the Bengals should have enough firepower to out-score the Chiefs even if Joe Mixon is not yet ready to return from his concussion.
For the Chiefs, they have won seven of their past eight games, including five straight. This could be a letdown spot for the Chiefs, especially considering how the Bengals won both of their games over Kansas City last year in come-from-behind fashion.
That trend will be hard to shake upstairs no matter who you are.
Furthermore, the Chiefs are 0-3-1 ATS in their past four games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings at Cincinnati.
Buy the points and take Cincy to cover.