The Tennessee Titans will look to extend their four-game win streak when they go on the road to NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans.
Tennessee has won their last four games, including two wins over their divisional foes, the Colts, and is 4-2 on the year.
The Texans have lost four of their last five, most recently a 38-20 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders that dropped them to 1-4-1 on the season and likely out of the playoff hunt.
Titans vs Texans Odds
The Titans opening as 1.5-point favorites on the road after winning their last four games is about the line many expected.
The low total is a combination of these two defenses and the run-heavy game scripts of the two offenses, leading to the total of 40, one of the lowest in the NFL this week.
Titans vs Texans Implied Totals
Titans 20.75, Texans 19.25
The bookmakers are expecting the Titans to win a close game on the road against a divisional opponent.
Both offenses have had some struggles, especially through the air, which leads us to one of the lowest totals in the NFL this week.
Titans vs Texans Pick of the Day
Read more on this Titans vs Texans bet below.
Titans vs Texans Prediction
Titans 21, Texans 17
The Texans are still in the midst of a rebuild, and after six games this season, would have the No. 2 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Granted, expectations were low coming into the season, but the offense, led by Davis Mills, has had its fair share of struggles, especially through the air.
Mills has completed 62.8% of his passes for 1,350 yards and seven touchdowns, but he has thrown five interceptions. Any glimpse of offensive success has come in large part from the emergence of Dameon Pierce as a true RB1.
Pierce is top 10 in the NFL in both attempts (106) and yards (504), and is viable in the receiving game (17 catches/82 yards) through six games this season.
The Titans’ offense is less dynamic than last year, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill has struggled without his former top receiver AJ Brown. Without Brown, veteran Robert Woods has been Tanehill’s top target, reeling in 20 receptions for 230 yards and a touchdown.
Tannehill is completing 65.1% of his passes and has thrown for six touchdowns, but is 25th in the NFL with a 40.8 QBR. The Titans are 28th in passing with just 160.9 passing yards per game.
Tennessee still runs its offense through superstar running back Derrick Henry, who is fourth in the NFL in rushing yards and tied for fifth in touchdowns with five. Henry has come on especially strong during the Titans’ win streak, averaging 107.3 yards per game while scoring four touchdowns in four games.
Neither team has had much success throwing the ball, but the Titans seem to have found their rhythm in the run game.
The Texans are dead-last in the NFL in run defense, allowing 164.7 yards per game. Henry should run all over the place on the way to securing a Titans win.
Titans vs Texans Bet Tips
Here are some Titans vs Texans betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- Tennessee are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games.
- Tennessee are 4-1 straight up in their last five games against Houston.
- Houston are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
- The total has gone Over in Houston’s last five games at home against Tennessee.
Titans vs Texans Best Bets
Under 40 Total Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Two run-heavy teams who play in the same division is a recipe for a low-scoring, last-possession-wins type game, especially with both teams leaning on the run game. The clock will be running.
Any drive that is long enough to end in points, will surely drain plenty of time off the clock for this total to stay Under.
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Titans Moneyline (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
This should be a close game between two familiar foes, but Derrick Henry will prove to be too much for the Texans’ run defense.
The Titans are rolling after winning four straight, but heading on the road to face a divisional foe is a tall order (yes, even if it’s the Texans).
With that in mind, rather than laying the points, I’ll take the safer option with the Titans’ moneyline at the risk of losing the extra juice.
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