We have four NFL teams on byes this week, but I wish I had been on my own bye last week. Losing weeks must be taken ownership of, though, and my 3-8 Week 4 record must be quickly forgotten, like a defensive back who gets burned and then moves on to the next play.
The most painful loss was Sam LaPorta ending up with four receptions on five targets when his Over/Under prop was 4.5. Yet I am now just two games under .500 overall at 16-18, so one bad week is behind me, and the approach is to confidently bounce back, as the Dallas Cowboys did last week following a stunning loss to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 3.
Week 5 NFL Prop Bets
NFL Week 5 odds used for prop bets are current as of Thursday, Oct. 5.
Dolphins vs Giants: MIA 1st To Score/Moneyline (-140)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
This matchup, which is more of an apparent mismatch, features two teams that could not be more different on offense. The Miami Dolphins are averaging an impressive 37.5 points per game to lead the NFL, while the New York Giants rank last with 11.5 points per game.
The Giants are also allowing 30.5 points per game, which ranks 30th in the league. Only an early New York field goal could potentially topple this recommended wager.
Lock in Miami to get on the board early and often with your NFL bet of the day.
Lions vs Panthers: DET To Win Both Halves (-130)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Detroit Lions should be able to coast easily against the winless Carolina Panthers. The Lions are averaging 26.5 points per game, and the Panthers are averaging 16.8.
This is the type of matchup that the Lions will roll to make it clear they are a true winning team that won’t fall victim to a “trap” game. Detroit will follow the projected domination script from the outset, making this one of my favorite NFL props for Week 4.
Jaguars vs Bills: Both Teams To Score 20+ Points (-105)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Jacksonville Jaguars want to prove they can indeed hang with the best in the AFC. Jacksonville may be chasing the lead all day or will definitely have to score more than 20 points to have a shot of upsetting the Buffalo Bills.
Buffalo is averaging 34.8 points per game, so it will definitely do its part to ensure you can head to the pay window with this wager. Jacksonville will keep pace for a while or pad the point totals when playing catch-up.
Jets @ Broncos: NYJ Over 9.5 1st Half Points (-125)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
Last week, the New York Jets offense looked respectable against the Kansas City Chiefs. He completed 28 of 39 attempts with two TD passes and no interceptions.
If Zach Wilson continues to make defenses honor the New York passing game, then the team can possibly post decent point totals often enough. The Denver Broncos have allowed the most first-half points per game (20.0), which is obviously inflated by the Miami game, but the ranking is still heavily applicable.
Bengals @ Cardinals: CIN Last To Score (-125)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The disappointing Cincinnati Bengals need a win badly, but the Cardinals won’t go down as easily as many expected before the season. Arizona lost two games by four points or less in the first three weeks and won one game.
Cincinnati will pull off the desperation victory but may have to do so via a decisive field goal or TD.
Eagles @ Rams: PHI To Win By 1-6 Points (=275)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Philadelphia Eagles aim to remain undefeated but will have to fight hard for a fifth win against a Rams team that has performed much better than expected. This looked like a mismatch on the preseason schedule, yet this game can be decided in a tight finish.
The Eagles have won three of their four games by six points or less, against teams with four combined wins.
- Read up on more of our favorite NFL Week 5 Bets.
Week 5 NFL Player Props
Jerick McKinnon: Anytime TD Scorer (+220) @ Vikings
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
McKinnon is listed as one of my fantasy football sleepers for Week 5. I am playing the “revenge game” angle with the former Minnesota Viking.
He caught nine TD passes last season and has a two-TD outing this year.
Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime TD Scorer (-115) vs Panthers
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
David Montgomery has been dominant in the Detroit Lions backfield so far, yet staying in line with the game theme previously mentioned, Gibbs can see more late-game work, and both Lions RBs might find the end zone. Carolina has allowed six rushing TDs to RBs, second-most in the NFL.
Michael Pittman Jr.: Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs Titans
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Tennessee Titans rank 28th in receiving yards allowed to WRs. Pittman has totaled 56-plus receiving yards in three of four games this season and should be able to sail past the projected number in an exploitable matchup.
Matthew Stafford: Over 277.5 Passing Yards (-105) vs Eagles
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Stafford of past seasons is back. After four weeks, he ranks second in the NFL with 1,229 passing yards. As I previously indicated, I expect the Los Angeles Rams to stay right in this game with the Eagles, and the QB will be the key.
Philadelphia ranks 28th in passing yards allowed to QBs.
Find Top NFL Props
Check out the best player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on a game below to see all of its prop bets.
