The NFL’s Week 15 slate is packed with big games, including a key divisional matchup between the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots.
Ahead of the action, let’s check out my top NFL prop bets today.
Best NFL Props Today
All NFL odds used in these Week 15 prop bets are current as of Friday, Dec. 12, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Travis Etienne Jr.: Over 72.5 Rushing Yards (-115) vs Jets
Etienne has become the focal point of head coach Liam Coen’s offense.
The former first-rounder ranks 10th in the NFL in carries (201), 11th in rushing yards per game (70.5), and 12th in yards before contact per attempt (2.50).
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The Jaguars are whopping 13.5-point favorites over the Jets at home, suggesting Etienne is in for another heavy workload after logging 20 carries for 74 yards and a pair of touchdowns in last week’s 36-19 beatdown of the Colts.
The Jets are 30th in the NFL against the run, allowing an average of 139.5 rushing yards per game. Given those struggles, I’m forecasting a big day for Etienne and grabbing the Over on his rushing total as my NFL pick of the day.
Jacoby Brissett: Over 38.5 Passing Attempts (-105) @ Texans
Brissett has thrown at least 40 passes in five straight games and six times overall, and he’s averaging 43.1 attempts in his eight starts.
Conversely, the Cardinals’ 26th-ranked rushing attack ran the ball just 14 times in last week’s 45-17 loss to the Rams.
The Cardinals are 9.5-point underdogs on the road against the Texans, increasing the likelihood that Brissett is in for another busy day.
Philip Rivers: Under 151.5 Passing Yards (-115) @ Seahawks
The 44-year-old Rivers is coming out of retirement to try to rescue the free-falling Colts (8-5), who have lost three straight and four of their last five games.
- Read more on this game in our best NFL parlays today.
This prop is low, but I’m still leery of taking the Over on a quarterback whose last regular-season pass came in the COVID-shortened 2020 season.
The Seahawks rank sixth in total defense, including 11th against the pass (197.1 yards allowed per game).
Josh Allen: Anytime TD (-110) @ Patriots
Allen continues to find the end zone at a tremendous clip.
He has rushed for a touchdown in seven of his 13 games and has 12 scores overall, which leads all quarterbacks and is tied for third in the NFL.
- Find the end zone with our Week 15 NFL TD props.
Needing to win to keep pace with the AFC East-leading Patriots (11-2), Allen will take matters into his own hands and score at least once to cash this NFL player prop.
Best NFL Player Prop Odds This Week
Check out the best NFL player prop odds this week with our props comparison tool. Click on a game below to see all of its prop bets.
How NFL Prop Betting Works
When betting on NFL props, you can bet on either player, team, or game.
Player props involve an individual player’s performance, either in one game or for the entire season. Team props have to do with a team’s performance in one game. Game props refer to specific situations within a game.
For example, let’s say you’re betting on a player prop in the Chiefs vs. Raiders. You decide to bet on Travis Kelce over 90.5 receiving yards. This means that for you to win your bet, Kelce would need to have at least 91 receiving yards.
If you’re interested in a player prop that pays more with plus moneyline odds, you can wager on a player to score a touchdown in a specific game. For example, if I bet Javonte Williams to score a touchdown against the Giants (+170), I would win $17 on a $10 bet.
You can also decide to bet on a player’s season-long totals. For example, you can wager on Derrick Henry under 1575.5 rushing yards. You would need Henry to get fewer than 1576 rushing yards to win your bet.
Keep an eye out for any minimum games requirements, because if the player doesn’t meet this threshold, the bet could become void.
Team props are available in specific games. For example, you can wager on the Seattle Seahawks to get over 3.5 sacks, where you would need four or more sacks to win the game.
NFL betting picks can also be made on game props, such as the longest field goal or longest touchdown.
Best NFL Prop Betting Sites
DraftKings
DraftKings props are some of the best for NFL prop betting. Game, team, and player props are all available for you to wager on.
There is an extensive list of player props, especially season-long props, which helps set it apart from other sportsbooks that only include a few. You can bet on a player’s passing yards, receptions, rushing yards, and much more.
There are even specific props called specials, which include things like starting quarterback battles for Week 1 of the NFL season.
You can also parlay player props in single games to increase your payouts. This is not always available at other sportsbooks.
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FanDuel
FanDuel is similar to DraftKings, as both only used to provide daily fantasy before expanding into sports betting. You’ll also find a wide variety of props available here.
One thing that helps set FanDuel apart from other sportsbooks is that just like DraftKings, you’ll find several marquee players available for you to place a season-long player prop.
You can also parlay single player props in single games to increase your payouts.
bet365
bet365 Sportsbook features several game, player, and team props. There are many options for season-long props, whether you want to wager on a player to win MVP or if you think Chris Godwin will go under on his receiving yards line.
bet365 also includes “Bet Builder” for specific primetime games. This allows you to build a parlay featuring several props for higher payouts.
bet365 also allows you to request specific props if they aren’t available, making it one of the more user-friendly sportsbooks around.
BetMGM
BetMGM has a sleek and appealing website that makes the betting process easier for you. One thing that sets it apart on props is how detailed some of the season-long props are.
For example, you can wager on the exact win total for a team instead of just going over on a specific line. You’re also able to bet on the week of a team’s first loss, which can help you earn higher payouts. It’s a cool feature that isn’t available at other sportsbooks.
How To Pick the Best NFL Prop Betting Sites
Variety of Props
It’s great to have a variety of props available. Some sportsbooks like BetMGM have gotten creative in their season-long props, allowing you to bet on specific win totals.
Other sportsbooks like DraftKings give you several players to choose from, whether you’re betting on a specific game or season totals.
Variety is great because not only does it give you more opportunities to win, but it’s more fun.
Odds on Props
Prop bets usually differ on sportsbooks, especially player props. It’s important to explore different sportsbooks to see where you get the best line.
For example, bet365 currently has Travis Kelce’s receiving yards prop line set at 1400.5 receiving yards, but FanDuel has it at 1375 receiving yards. Often it’s best to just choose the sportsbook that gives you the better line.
With this specific prop example, it would be better to go with bet365.
Parlay Options
Prop bets are not usually available for parlays. There are only a few sportsbooks that allow users to combine their props into a parlay for a higher payout.
DraftKings and FanDuel allow users to do this on certain player props when making their NFL parlay bets. bet365 also does this with its Bet Builder feature, which is available for primetime games, such as Sunday Night Football.
Welcome Bonuses & Promotions
It’s always great to choose a sportsbook that provides you with a welcome bonus because it allows you to have a trial run for the sportsbook to see if you like its prop selection. Promotions are great as well, as they help you get more value on your bet.
For example, odds boosts are when a specific prop gets higher odds, even on regular lines, which is helpful for users since it increases the potential winnings.
NFL Prop Betting Promotions
There are a few promotions that help users get more value on their bets. Prop boosts are when the odds on a prop are moved towards the bettor’s favor.
For example, if I bet on Chris Godwin over 88.5 receiving yards, the moneyline might be at (+200) instead of (-110). This means that I would win $20 on a $10 bet, instead of risking $11 to win $10.
There are also welcome bonuses, where a sportsbook matches your deposit up to a certain amount, as well as second-chance bets, where you are refunded your first wager on the website.
Be sure to take advantage of football betting promotions — they can help put you in a better position to succeed in sports betting.
Best NFL Prop Bets
The best types of NFL prop bets are season-long and single-game player props, as it’s easier to project how much usage a player will get during the season. It’s much more simple to analyze this than a team prop like total sacks or longest field goal.
Let’s take a deeper look at why player props are the best option for you.
NFL Player Props
NFL player props are when you bet on a player’s performance, whether in a single game or for the entire season.
If I wager on Mike Evans over 84.5 receiving yards against the Falcons, I need him to get at least 85 yards for me to win that bet. Likewise, if I bet on D.K. Metcalf over 1,300.5 receiving yards for the season, I need him to finish with more than 1,300 yards to win.
Player props are the best choice for NFL prop betting.
NFL Prop Betting Strategy
Player props are the best because it’s much easier to anticipate a player’s usage in a single game. You can also pay attention to the points spread, game totals, and player injuries to help guide you in your prop.
Let’s say that I wanted to wager on Josh Jacobs to go over 18.5 rush attempts against the Lions. First, I’d check his season-long usage and see that he averaged 19.1 rush attempts per game last season. Next, I’d take a look at the points spread. The Packers are 3-point favorites against the Lions.
In this case, the over would be a solid play because the Packers are short favorites, which means that they are projected to play with the lead. What happens when teams are leading, especially by multiple scores? They run the ball more.
This scenario is what’s called a positive game-script for Jacobs, because he’s likely in a position to receive more rush attempts, since the Packers could control this game.
When you take a look at a player’s performance combined with the spread, total, and any relevant injuries, player props will become easier.
Benefits of NFL Prop Betting Online
Betting on NFL props is better online because of how easy it is. You just need to deposit your funds and click your preferred wager and you’re ready for action. This is much more efficient than traveling to your local casino and wagering at the sportsbook.
You can also parlay your props on a few websites which can lead to bigger payouts. Lastly, online is best for live betting. Live betting requires you to make a quick decision, usually during a commercial break, so you need that efficiency that betting online provides.
How to Place an NFL Prop Bet Online
- Register at your preferred sportsbook
- Click ‘Deposit’ to deposit your funds into the account
- Check to see if there are any promotions related to props
- Use your ‘Welcome Bonus’ before using your own funds
- Click ‘NFL’ and ‘Props’
- Look at the spread and game total to help guide your selection
- Choose your wager
Where Can I Legally NFL Prop Bet Online?
- Arizona
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Missouri
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New York
- Nevada
- North Carolina
- Ohio
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- Tennessee
- Virginia
- Washington D.C.
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
Choose More Than One NFL Prop Betting Site
It’s very important to choose multiple sites to place bets on props. For one, you need to compare the odds.
You can also check to see if there are any promotions like odds boosts. For example, you might see that Derrick Henry’s rushing yards at 77.5 against the Browns is boosted to (+200) on DraftKings, but it’s only (-110) at bet365.
Using multiple sportsbooks for player props puts you in the best position to succeed. Take advantage of any disparities in odds and use these promotions.
