Each week during the campaign, I’ll dish out my best NFL parlay, a longshot parlay, and a same-game parlay.
Last week, I cashed my Broncos vs Chiefs same-game parlay (+134) and hit five of my seven total bets, so there’s hope we can cash in a few more plays this week.
Without further ado, let’s dig into my favorite NFL parlay bets for Week 11.
NFL Parlay Picks Today
All NFL betting odds used for these Week 11 parlays are current as of Friday, Nov. 15, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Parlay: MIN-TEN Under 42.5 + DET -5.5 (+118)
Longshot Parlay: CIN ML + CLE ML + DEN ML (+582)
Same Game Parlay: IND +8.5 + IND-NYJ Over 37.5 + J. Taylor Anytime TD (+202)
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Best NFL Parlay Bets Today For Week 11
Week 11 NFL Best Parlay (+118)
- Vikings @ Titans: Under 42.5 Points (-155)
- Lions -5.5 (-307) vs Jaguars
To kick off my Week 11 best parlay, I’m taking the alternate Under in the matchup between the Minnesota Vikings (7-2) and Tennessee Titans (2-7).
The Titans (17.4 points per game) are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NFL, and I don’t see how they do much against a Minnesota defense allowing the same 17.4 points per game (third-fewest in the league). Will Levis struggles mightily against pressure, which the Vikings create often via the blitz.
While I expect Minnesota to score enough to win this game, I don’t necessarily see Sam Darnold and Co. lighting up the scoreboard, either. The Vikes have amassed just 33 points over the last two weeks, thanks to some putrid play in the red zone. If those struggles continue, this game should go Under this total.
- Get ready for Week 11 with our best NFL prop bets today.
Next, I’ll take the Detroit Lions (8-1) to cover an alternate spread against the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8). I don’t feel comfortable laying double-digits, even against Mac Jones, as this spot could be a sleepy one for a Lions team coming off an impressive comeback win in primetime last week.
Still, Detroit shares the NFL’s best ATS record at 7-2 and is riding a seven-game win streak. Dan Campbell’s squad should feast on a Jaguars defense that is among the worst in the league, leading to a victory of at least six points.
Parlay these two outcomes as one of your NFL best bets today.
Best Football Longshot Parlay Bets For Week 11
Week 11 NFL Longshot Parlay (+582)
- Bengals ML (+105) @ Chargers
- Browns ML (-105) @ Saints
- Broncos ML (-142) vs Falcons
I’m relying on three AFC “B” teams to win outright for my Week 11 NFL longshot parlay.
The Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) are my favorite bet of the week heading into their Sunday Night Football showdown with the Los Angeles Chargers (6-3). The Chargers have fantastic defensive metrics, but they have played some dreadful offenses this season.
That won’t be the case on Sunday night when Joe Burrow and Co. come to town. Burrow has thrown for 679 yards with nine touchdowns and zero interceptions over the last two weeks and boasts a 22:4 TD:INT ratio on the year. The Bengals need this game desperately and should get the win if WR Tee Higgins and LT Orlando Brown Jr. return to the lineup as expected.
- Read more on this primetime matchup with our Sunday Night Football predictions.
Next, I’m backing the Cleveland Browns (2-7) against the New Orleans Saints (3-7). The Saints finally broke their seven-game losing skid last week against the Falcons in Darren Rizzi’s first outing as interim head coach. However, New Orleans caught some favorable breaks to earn that win, and it still has injury issues, especially at wide receiver.
Cleveland comes into this game with a relatively clean bill of health off its bye, which is something we haven’t been able to say about Kevin Stefanski’s squad all year. The defense should be able to get pressure on Derek Carr, so give me Jameis Winston to eat a dub against his former team.
Lastly, I like the Denver Broncos (5-5) to beat the Atlanta Falcons (6-4) at home. This matchup comes down to each team’s ability to pressure the quarterback. Atlanta ranks 29th in pressure rate, which should allow rookie Bo Nix to operate from a clean pocket. Meanwhile, Denver ranks seventh in that category, which should be helpful against an immobile Kirk Cousins.
NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlays
Colts vs Jets Week 11 SGP (+202)
- Colts +8.5 (-214)
- Jonathan Taylor: Anytime TD (-120)
- Over 37.5 Points (-233)
My Week 11 same-game parlay zeroes in on the AFC showdown between the Indianapolis Colts (4-6) and the New York Jets (3-7) at MetLife Stadium. These two teams don’t appear to be going anywhere, but the winner of this matchup could find itself back in the AFC wild-card hunt.
Since I have a hard time trusting either side, I’m going to take the Colts to stay within one possession on the road. Shane Steichen’s decision to go back to Anthony Richardson is a net positive for this matchup, as it makes Indy’s run game more difficult to prepare for.
- Get our opinions on every Week 11 game with our NFL ATS Picks.
On that note, I’m taking Colts running back Jonathan Taylor to find the end zone. The Jets’ defense has been a disaster since Robert Saleh was fired, especially against the run. Lead backs James Conner, Joe Mixon, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Najee Harris have all scored against New York in its last four games, and Taylor is probably the most talented of that group. He should find paydirt.
Lastly, I’ll juice this same-game parlay with an alternate Over of 37.5 points. We’ve already discussed the demise of the Jets’ defense, but Indy’s hasn’t been great, allowing 20-plus points each of the last three weeks. This game should be played in the 20s.
Parlay these three outcomes for a 2-to-1 return on your investment.
How NFL Parlay Betting Works
NFL parlay betting is when you choose multiple games, totals, or props and combine them to create a higher payout for the wager. You would need to get each wager correct in order to win.
For example, I could parlay the Cowboys +3.5 with the Giants +7.5. If both bets hit, I would win my parlay. You can also choose the side and total in the same game. For instance, I could parlay the Chiefs -9.5 with Over 51 points.
The more bets that you include in your parlay, the higher your payout. For example, if I include two bets at -110 odds in my parlay, I would receive a +264 payout. That means if I bet $100, I would win $264.
On the other hand, if I included six bets at -110 odds in my parlay, I would receive a +4700 payout, meaning that I would win $4,700 off of a $100 bet. Obviously, it’s more difficult to win this type of parlay because you need to get six bets correct, so the odds reflect this challenge.
Parlay payouts are also calculated based on the odds of each specific game. For instance, if you parlay two games where teams are +200 underdogs, your payout would be +800. That means that if you bet $100 on this parlay, you would receive $800 if you won.
You might also choose to bet two heavy favorites in a parlay in order to minimize your potential loss. For example, if you parlay two games where teams are -200 favorites, your payout would be +125. That means that if you bet $100 on this parlay, you would receive $125 if you won.
Parlays are so appealing because you can maximize your earnings if you’re able to hit, especially if it’s on a larger parlay. With that said, it’s important to understand the difficulty with such a bet.
This means that you need to be comfortable with losing a fair share of parlays because this is the likely outcome. In order to balance this, you might opt for a couple of parlays with heavy favorites to offset your losses from your long-shot parlays.
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Best NFL Parlay Betting Sites
DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook has an accessible interface that creates a user-friendly experience. This is a reputable operator that is one of the most trusted platforms in this space
There is an assortment of choices at DraftKings, including alternate lines on player props, which work great for parlays because they give you a chance at securing a high payout.
Be sure to include DraftKings in your selection of online sportsbooks, especially if you enjoy parlay wagering.
Caesars Sportsbook
Caesars Sportsbook purchased the popular British online sportsbook William Hill in August 2021 and has taken the online sports gambling space by storm with an aggressive marketing push.
The site is an official partner of the NFL and offers betting on every NFL game from the preseason through the Super Bowl, with elite odds and no shortage of parlaying options.
Plus, every wager with Caesars, win or lose, comes with Caesars Rewards, the company’s loyalty program that gives hotel and restaurant credits, free bets and much more.
FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel Sportsbook is another great option because not only is it among the most popular sites in the industry, but it’s also easy to navigate, so you’ll never have trouble finding your preferred wager.
If you’re into parlays, you’ll be able to combine several bet types, including futures wagers, which is an option not always offered on other platforms.
In addition to this, you’ll find a number of useful promotions at FanDuel.
bet365 Sportsbook
bet365 Sportsbook stands out with its parlay betting because there are so many options to choose from, including a robust selection of player props.
They also have one of the most expansive live betting platforms, where you can even create parlays on live wagers.
Features such as this help bet365 stand out from the competition.
BetMGM Sportsbook
BetMGM Sportsbook carries the reputable MGM brand that helps you feel at ease in using this platform. There are several banking methods to make the payment process efficient for you, which is a major positive here.
You’ll also find a number of promotions to enhance the value on your bets, including parlay insurance.
BetMGM has become one of the top online sportsbooks in the country because of how easy it is to use, so be sure to take advantage.
We break it down even further if you are interested in more parlay betting sites.
How To Pick the Best NFL Parlay Betting Sites
- Welcome Bonus: It’s great when a sportsbook matches your deposit. You can then use these funds on a parlay and try to hit big on a parlay.
- Parlay Insurance: Parlay Insurance is a great promotion that gives you some money back if you get most of your parlay correct.
- Props Parlays: Player Props are great for parlays because they are a bit easier to project than single-game results. This means that you can really maximize your earnings with a parlay of prop bets. It’s best if your sportsbook allows you to choose alternate lines for higher payouts.
- Cash-out: Allows you to cash out when you win one or more games to secure some winnings. This is best if you hit multiple games on your parlay.
NFL Parlay Betting Promotions
Parlay Bonus: You can get a bonus between five and 70 percent of your winnings, depending on how many selections. If you hit on a two-game parlay, you’ll receive a five percent bonus, but if you hit on a 14+ game parlay, you receive a 70% bonus.
Parlay Insurance: Provides up to $25 if you hit all bets except for one. This is helpful because it gives you some money back for a close call.
Best NFL Parlay Bets
When choosing the best NFL parlay bets, I would make sure to focus on player props because these are the best types of wagers to make. Player props are a lot easier to project because we can heavily research the matchup. We can see how teams fare against certain positions.
For example, last season, the Texans were horrendous against the run. Opposing running backs routinely went off against them. In this case, I’d bet the over on the opposing team’s running back’s rushing yardage.
We can also project game script pretty easily, which helps with player props. For instance, if the Lions are +5.5 point underdogs in Kansas City, we can expect Jared Goff to air it out often to keep pace with the high-powered Chiefs offense.
This means that we should bet the over on props such as Jared Goff pass attempts. These are the benefits of player props. Be sure to take advantage of them and check out all of our NFL betting picks for more guidance.
NFL Same Game Parlays
What are NFL Same Game Parlays and how do they work?
Same Game Parlays are when you bet on the result, total, and props in the same game. For example, I can parlay the Titans -5.5 with the Over 47 points in the same game. I might also include the Over on Derrick Henry’s rushing yards.
This would be a highly correlated play because if the Titans win the game and play with a lead, there’s a good chance that Henry is getting his fair share of rushing yards due to the favorable game script.
Remember though, when you make a Same Game Parlay with a positive correlation, the payout will be lower. Sometimes it could be beneficial to incorporate negative correlation to try to have a higher return on investment.
An example of this could be betting the Under on rush attempts but Over on rushing yards for a running back. These two plays are contradictory, but they’re still possible to hit if the player has a highly efficient game.
How to Place an NFL Parlay Bet Online
- Select your potential bets, such as spread, totals, props, and more.
- Determine the amount of money that you will risk.
- Check the payout and see if it’s worth the parlay.
- Limit your parlays to six games to keep the difficulty at a reasonable level.
NFL Parlay Betting Strategy
The NFL season is a sprint with only 17-weeks for you to build your bankroll. This means that maximizing your earnings through parlays can be an optimal strategy.
It’s a good idea to diversify your portfolio with your parlay bets. In other words, you should combine longshot parlays with favorite parlays.
For instance, let’s say that I wanted to do a long-shot, five-team Fanatics parlay. This parlay includes Cowboys -3.5, Eagles +4.5, Chiefs -9.5, Broncos/Chargers OVER 47, and A.J. Brown OVER 80.5 Receiving Yards. This parlay would pay +2435, so I would put less money on it, let’s say $25, which would give me $608.75.
I could add a favorite parlay with something like Cowboys -200, Chiefs -1000, and Bills -450. This parlay would pay +100, so I would risk $100 on it to win $100. It’s a much more likely outcome, so there’s a good chance that I’d hit on this parlay. It would help offset any losses on my long-shot parlay. I’d have a good opportunity to be +$75 for the day in this scenario.
Benefits of NFL Parlay Betting Online
There are many different ways to bet on the NFL, but the main benefit of parlay betting is that it can lead to big payouts. The NFL has a short season of 17 weeks, so this makes it even more appealing to wager on a parlay to maximize your earnings.
This isn’t like the long grind of the 162-game season where you can slowly build your bankroll with straight bets. This is a sprint, not a marathon, which is why parlays align so well with the NFL.
NFL parlay betting is best used through online sportsbooks. This is because you can do it on your phone while on the run or within the comfort of your own home.
It’s quick and easy to deposit money and your payout is immediately put into your account following the result of your parlay. This is much more convenient than going to the casino, making your parlay, then returning to the sportsbook when you won and collecting your money.
Where Can I Legally NFL Parlay Bet Online?
- Arizona
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New York
- Nevada
- North Carolina
- Ohio
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- Tennessee
- Virginia
- Washington D.C.
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
Choose More Than One NFL Parlay Betting Site
When making parlays, it’s important to check different websites to make sure you’re getting the best odds on your wager. Some websites might offer different odds. For instance, bet365 might have the Chiefs at -7.5, but BetMGM might have them at -7.
That extra half point is huge in the NFL. If a team is winning by more than 7, there’s a good chance that they’re winning by 10 or more. This is also true for -3.5 and -10.5 point spreads. If a team is up by more than 3, there’s a chance that it isn’t 4. Be sure to monitor the differences among each sportsbook.
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